Posted on 08/18/2024 3:30:12 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
About 240 million people are eligible to vote in this year’s US election, but only a relatively small number of them are likely to settle the question of who becomes the next president.
Experts believe there are only a handful of states that could plausibly be won by either the Democratic candidate, probably Kamala Harris, or her Republican predecessor, Donald Trump.
Six of them - Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin - could hold the key to who will take the White House.
So both parties are campaigning intensively to win over undecided voters in these states.
(Excerpt) Read more at bbc.com ...
Nevada will be a win finally
Well, they don’t have COVID as an excuse to delay things or get courts to allow anything to happen. Also, COVID was used as a fear tactic to get trump out.
The real problem is that if they spend a day or two trying to “count the votes” this time, people are going to be much more vocal about them stealing the election.
I really wonder what will happen with coattails this time. Last time Biden “won” but lost the house. They obviously had to crank out a bunch of one dot ballots quickly.
Yeah, although I personally think at this point that Trump will still pull out wins in PA and WI, I’d like to see more focus on alternate pathways to a win. I did notice on the https://trumpforce47.com/ volunteer site that the Trump campaign does in fact seem to be focusing a lot on Virginia. I just don’t know if all the DC-types in NoVA can be overcome. Trump can really run up the vote in a huge way in the rest of the state, though, with a few exceptions like Richmond and Charlottesville.
I’d really like to see the Trump folks really focus on winning that one Omaha delegate. Tim Walz was just out there giving a rally, so the Harris campaign must be worried about it being in play. If Trump would do a rally there, ask for volunteers, tell people Omaha could decide the whole election, and pump some money into local advertising, he might actually put that into play as a way around the Rust Belt “Blue Wall.”
They will do it in MI, PA and WI anyway. We'll post about it on X. But we don't want it to be that close. If Trump wins in VA, they'll see that it's over.
>They will do it in MI, PA and WI anyway. We’ll post about it on X. But we don’t want it to be that close. If Trump wins in VA, they’ll see that it’s over.
I don’t think they’ll get close, but they’ll need to fill in coattails in case of a blow out. I just don’t see Kamala winning this election, which is why I say watch out for Big Mike during the convention. Those Dem donors aren’t convinced.
Michelle is not speaking. No plans. She’s not that political. It’s too much work for her. She’ll rather hang out with celebrities instead of working.
“Fascist” is simple FR-speak for “bad”.
Almost everyone referred to on FR as a “fascist” is either a communist or an anti-white fanatic.
I don’t think I’ve seen a real fascist referred to as a “fascist” here in years.
I’m not doubting what you say.
But, with the proviso that you’re not In Charge, why isn’t anything being done about it?
If someone told me “Hey Bob, your home is gonna get robbed on November 5. Now, the robbery in toto won’t ALL happen in the 5th, but that’s when a big chunk of the crime will be committed,” you can bet your sweet bippy that I won’t stand around and go “well, yea…them robbers are smart and I can’t do anything about it. I’ll just whine about the Deep State before and after the crime.”
Maybe Trump has a plan. Maybe he’s keeping mum-you never surrender your position to the enemy.
But we KNEW they’d try something in 2020. The result was Joe in the WH - Trump (for some bizarre reason) had NO plan. That CANNOT happen now.
Trump NEEDS to speak about his awareness for fraud in 2024, and at least let us know he’s got an army of people all over it. If he doesn’t, a LOT of people will stay home out of despair.
Stop and steal 2.0 will be a fabulous sucess. The cheat states only improved the ability to steal by codified cheating,more Democrat judges,illegals with ballots and the power of a Democrat Fedgov to back it.
Yep!
And most of them are in foreign countries...
BS
Watch as the shtf in Chicago this week.
Won’t need to watch any other entertainment.
I hope they have a brawl like they did in 68.
>I hope they have a brawl like they did in 68.
Yeah, I don’t think Pritzker and Johnson are going to let the cops crack skulls like 68, so if the crowd gets rowdy and feels that they’ve got free reign, it should be a hellhole. The protest has already started, so the weak college whiners are there, but when the black blok shows up, watch out.
Hey! Just like 2020. Everyone goes to bed thinking Trump won.
But mules in six swing state big cities get biddy in the small hours, and 48 hours later ... surprise!
We get four years of oppression, waste and tyranny.
The poll by Co/efficient (6/26-6/27) had Trump up 41-40, and the poll by United 2024 (7/1-7/2) had Trump up 43-41.
There has been no New Jersey poll published since then to prove whether or not these two polls were outliers. Why not?
Has there been polling in New Jersey but they are withholding the results from the public?
-PJ
Rumor has it Oregon is within 5-10 pts.
There were tiny 2020 margins in the relevant states, so tiny there was probably some cheating.
But cheating can’t really do much as long as Lara Trump’s RNC is ALL IN on getting GOP voters and Independents to Vote by Mail. She has to send her staff to nursing homes to help fill out ballots and then collect them.
This is a very doable thing. Independents do not live necessarily in precincts the cheats can forget to count. They live anywhere, so they are the most valuable votes to have.
Another thing worth remembering. Polling science has counter influences. First, they should get better at it. The underpolling of Trump should get smaller. Second, the Census is the basis of many turnout models — and it was corrupted as one of the first things Biden did in office, to prevent blue House seats going to red states, and increasing black totals for funding distribution.
No minds are being changed. Issues mean nothing. You have to go find the 30% of people who do not vote and appeal to them — with the 2016 Populist message of draining the swamp.
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