Posted on 08/15/2024 11:43:42 AM PDT by lasereye
A new Fox News poll shows former President Trump in the lead against Democrat Vice President Kamala Harris by 1-point in the 2024 matchup.
Surveying 1,105 registered voters between August 9-12 with a sampling error of ±3 percentage points, the poll showed Trump ahead of Harris by one-point – 50 percent to 49 percent. She also trailed him by one-point last month – 49 percent to 48 percent. Per Fox News:
Between those two surveys, there was an assassination attempt on Trump, the Republican National Convention was held, Ohio Sen. JD Vance was chosen as Trump’s running mate, Biden dropped out and endorsed Harris, she was certified as the Democratic presidential nominee and selected Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate, and they held several campaign events with record-breaking attendance.
By one percentage point, more Democrats back Harris (94 percent) than Republicans support Trump (93 percent), while the small subgroup of Independents goes for him by 8 points.
On the gender front, men largely favor Trump by 12 points, while women favor Harris by 10. Trump remains strong among white evangelicals, rural voters, and non-college educated white men. Harris polls strongly with women, black voters, college graduates, and the youth vote. Even Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, served in the national guard, Trump polls stronger with military veterans by 22 points.
As Breitbart News reported recently, a Daily Mail/J.L. Partners poll showed former President Trump leading Harris nationally.
“The latest Daily Mail survey shows Trump still edging out Harris nationally by two percentage points, garnering 43 percent support to Harris’s 41 percent support. However, that two-point gap is outside the ± 3.1 percent margin of error, setting up what the Daily Mail describes as a ‘nail-biter of an election in November,'” said the report.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Yawn.
Harris isn’t in this, the astroturfing and those falling for it are going to be sorely disappointed
What is the margin of cheat? I think 10 - 20%. But, they are getting bolder. They won’t care if the total votes show 120% voter participation.
Yeah, Fox News Polls have never been friendly to Trump and in general polls usually undercount his support. I do believe unlike other polls, this one hasn’t altered the turnout model, which is why there isn’t some wild swing to a 5 point Harris lead or whatever.
If this poll is correct, there are very few undecided voters.
Trump needs to make it clear that any election cheating in this year’s election will not go unpunished. States like Pennsylvania, Arizona and Georgia need to understand that Trump has multiple paths to victory which don’t rely on winning their particular states. They could very easily cheat for Harris in their own state only to witness Trump winning the election, despite them.
States like Nevada, New Mexico and Minnesota are in play this time, so Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, - think very carefully about whether or not you want to expose yourself to such a scenario.
That much I believe.
I agree. The Fox News polls have favored the Democrats.
The Swing States AREN’T EVEN CLOSE | Trump CRUSHES Harris In 2024 Forecast (August 2024)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WLIUFNUTOO8
...record breaking attendance...
Hmmm... Real or AI... Hmmm...
I don’t expect her to survive the DNC convention. She’s a distraction. They’re bringing in someone else.
I’m getting whiplash.
I do not like polls like this because it’s a set up to when all the swing cities come in winning by 10,000 or less votes. It is what happened last time and I bet they are planning it again. We are prepared this time here in Arizona.
Oh no! Won’t there be any more joy?
Indeed the things the media wants to keep hid.
The war on boys is having unintended consequences for the rats.
The national vote doesn’t matter. The vote in about a half dozen “battleground” states is all that matters. Heels Up Harris will beat DJT by 15 million votes in Kalifornia and DJT will beat her by 1,500 votes in NV...AZ...GA...PA...MI...and WI.
If they cheat enough, Trump won’t be in any position to punish anyone. Instead, Harris will be punishing anyone who questions her victory. Trump won’t be able to do anything from prison (if Biden doesn’t manage to have him killed before the election). The Democrats are playing for keeps. The Republicans continue to think the rules of 19th-century and 20th-century elections are still in place.
The Biden/Harris regime glad-handed illegals pouring over
the border, bringing crime and chaos to American communities.
Migrants are being used in a prime election strategy.
How Democrat fraudsters plan to steal 2024 for Kamala:
Battleground America ^ | 7/10/24 | Tara Servatius
FR Posted on 7/11/2024, 8:06:56 AM by Babsig
Source —— Talk radio 989 WORD Greenville SC:
<><>they register illegals at proliferating migrant centers,
<><>they get ballots mailed there (to “harvest” them later)
<><>most illegals dont even know they were registered to vote, and have already moved away.
<><>Dem fraudsters then use the mfg ballots to boost Harris into the WH.
It’s hard to find turnout models nowadays, but Fox shows no change from Biden to Harris (and this poll is a few days old). This means they did not change their turnout model, as was done with pretty much ALL of the other polls showing Harris surge.
A fairly significant item from Emerson . . . they are basing turnout model subgroup likelihood of voting on the Census.
In 2021 one of the very first things Biden did was corrupt the 2020 Census to prevent loss of blue seats to red states, and to define distribution of money to deep blue state cities.
This corrupted parameter is now being used for turnout models. It can’t possibly be correct because the Census numbers were adjusted.
The Trump pollsters know all the nuances and they sent him to Montana. Very powerful evidence, that.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.