People continue to not understand.
The polls are EXTREMELY accurate. All of them. That show different results. They are all accurate.
Polling is taking samples from the population and arranging the samples to fit their decided on electorate profile.
Some pollsters expect a 55/45 turnout of women vs men. Some expect a 12% black turnout vs others expecting 10%.
They will make phone calls or sample online and arrange the respondent total to fit their profile (turnout model). Once they have all those slots filled, they count up the total Trump vs Harris preferences and publish the result.
This means absolutely no one might change their minds. But if they change their electorate profile, they will get different results. And, of course, the different pollsters will have different imagined profiles, and get different results, and all of them accurate measures of the preference of their profile.
So Trafalgar means whatever their electorate profile means, and I have not seen that.
Sounds about right. So the advantage goes to the Democrats.