Posted on 07/12/2024 11:45:29 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
Today's forecast update is out.
More of the same -- though, if you squint, Biden is at his lowest number yet, at a 27% chance of winning the Electoral College vs. 35% pre-debate.
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
(Excerpt) Read more at x.com ...
27% and that’s on a good day. Unless Biden has discovered the Fountain of Youth and is going to recover, it will only get worse. 116 days to go, maybe he’ll be down to DC and California by election day; Trump sweeps the rest.
The statistical asterisk is what really counts in an election, voter’s votes, or counted ballots
More than 50% if you stop and realize that Zuckerberg’s millions will put heavy finger on scale like the last election
as long as Biden trails in both Georgia and Pennsylvania his chances are exactly 0%
Libs take Nate Silver seriously. This is liable to send many Dems into another frenzy calling for Biden to withdraw.
Well that would prove one thing..... 27% of the voters are brainwashed ignorant! .....imho
“Libs take Nate Silver seriously. This is liable to send many Dems into another frenzy calling for Biden to withdraw.”
I think you are correct. What I find interesting is that the MSM does not know what to do. They are going back and forth on backing Biden or supporting him to withdraw.
What if you were a skydiver with a 27% chance your parachute would not open. You’d be scared!
We should be afraid - very afraid.
What are the chances of the election being fair and honest?
About 1 in 10,000.
It has always been a myth that evil groups agree on everything.
This is a case where they are truly fighting among themselves.
Hopefully this circular firing squad will go on and on and on....
“What I find interesting is that the MSM does not know what to do. They are going back and forth on backing Biden or supporting him to withdraw.”
Very unusual to see libs throwing pies at each other.
holy krap, batman!
“They are going back and forth on backing Biden or supporting him to withdraw.”
their problem is that they don’t know WHICH Democrat Party to take their marching orders from ... should they take their orders from the pro-Biden Democrat party or the anti-Biden Democrat Party? ... it’s all just SO confusing ... life used to be SO much simpler when there was only one fascist party to give orders to the media, instead of two fascist parties ...
I think Nate means he has a 27% chance to successfully steal the election.
I think people are ignoring all the Democrats options.
He never said a replacement would have a better chance.
But even if Biden loses, it won’t make much of a dent in Democrats getting everything they want. The game is rigged in their favor.
Yet on the same day polling models show Biden winning 51 out of 100 times and 49 out of 100 times for Trump..so seriously that douche bag is all over the place with his “Predictions”
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