Posted on 07/01/2024 8:05:45 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Former President Trump leads President Joe Biden by six points in the probability of winning the popular vote in November, Nate Silver’s election model forecasted June 30 after the first presidential debate.
The last Republican to win the popular vote was George W. Bush in 2004 with 50.73 percent.
Silver’s election model’s forecast is the first time it predicted Trump would defeat Biden with the popular vote. Trump was previously behind by two points one day before the debate, the forecast predicted.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
It has been obvious to anyone following closely Trump has had this in the bag for months now.
The only hope for Dems was the criminal trials against Trump, and that 1st debate to move to numbers. But the trials didn’t work and the debate backfired. So yeah.. it’s over.
Democrats won’t let it happen. Something up their sleeve. Always happens. Sometimes they fail like pushing Bernie out for Hillary or letting Biden run.
You think they’ll let it happen with all that money and motivation? All I can say is we’ll see.
There is really no way to know for sure until Dick Morris weighs in.
nate is most right when he predicts republican victory, because he doesn’t want to predict them, but feels compelled to report the truth.
Does that mean that the National Popular Vote Compact states will have to send their electors for Trump?
Man, that would be something. California FORCED to vote for Trump. Of course, everyone knows that all of these states would quickly rescind their NPVC laws in special sessions, pre-signed by the Governor.
Interesting thanks
A Pearl Harbor event. These are perilous times.
Sorry but since the great red wave of 2022 that wasn’t, election models and polls don’t mean jack squat to me.
Taterhead hid in his basement for 6 months and supposedly got 81 million votes?
I trust predictions about as far as I can throw my Jeep.
We need a Constitutional amendment: if the Democrat candidate wins the popular vote but loses the electoral vote, we count the popular vote = Democrat wins the POTUS.
If the Democrat loses the popular vote, but wins the electoral vote, we count the electoral vote = Democrat wins the POTUS.
If the Democrat loses both the popular vote and electoral vote, we riot in the streets, burn and loot and claim “democracy has failed.”
The National Popular Vote Compact doesn’t come in to play until enough states ratify it.
If too many repubs think he "has it in the bag" sit at home and don't bother to vote, he loses. We lose.
EVERY normal person needs to get out and VOTE so when the dems switch votes electronically or otherwise commit FRAUD the total number of votes will be way more than the number of registered voters.
Then the fraud will be harder to sweep under the rug.
A top-notch candidate faces an absolute sodden pile of human debris.
Put Hunter in Joey’s cell for life. They deserve each other.
Agreed!
yeah sure, if the election was honest. But despite the dems hatred of it, the electoral college is what determines it. All they have to do is steal enough votes in the blue swing states and the popular vote doesn’t matter.
Could we see a Electoral vote over 400 for Trump? Last time that happened was in 1988 426 for Bush 41.
So, Trump has gained 8 points in the Nate Silver poll after the debate. GO TRUMP GO
> There is really no way to know for sure until Dick Morris weighs in. <
Ha, yes. Morris is a reliable counter-indicator. So I’m kinda hoping he predicts a Biden victory.
The presidency is not determined by who wins the popular vote. The Rat Cheat Machine is well oiled and ready to go in the right states, AZ, GA, PA, MI, etc.
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