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Nate Silver?? I have to wait and see
1 posted on 07/01/2024 8:05:45 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

It has been obvious to anyone following closely Trump has had this in the bag for months now.

The only hope for Dems was the criminal trials against Trump, and that 1st debate to move to numbers. But the trials didn’t work and the debate backfired. So yeah.. it’s over.


2 posted on 07/01/2024 8:09:36 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Democrats won’t let it happen. Something up their sleeve. Always happens. Sometimes they fail like pushing Bernie out for Hillary or letting Biden run.

You think they’ll let it happen with all that money and motivation? All I can say is we’ll see.


3 posted on 07/01/2024 8:10:00 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: ChicagoConservative27

There is really no way to know for sure until Dick Morris weighs in.


4 posted on 07/01/2024 8:12:06 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (THE ISSUE IS NEVER THE ISSUE. THE REVOLUTION IS THE ISSUE.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

nate is most right when he predicts republican victory, because he doesn’t want to predict them, but feels compelled to report the truth.


5 posted on 07/01/2024 8:12:26 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Does that mean that the National Popular Vote Compact states will have to send their electors for Trump?

Man, that would be something. California FORCED to vote for Trump. Of course, everyone knows that all of these states would quickly rescind their NPVC laws in special sessions, pre-signed by the Governor.


6 posted on 07/01/2024 8:12:33 AM PDT by fwdude ( )
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Sorry but since the great red wave of 2022 that wasn’t, election models and polls don’t mean jack squat to me.

Taterhead hid in his basement for 6 months and supposedly got 81 million votes?

I trust predictions about as far as I can throw my Jeep.


10 posted on 07/01/2024 8:14:27 AM PDT by V_TWIN (America...so great even the people that hate it refuse to leave!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

We need a Constitutional amendment: if the Democrat candidate wins the popular vote but loses the electoral vote, we count the popular vote = Democrat wins the POTUS.

If the Democrat loses the popular vote, but wins the electoral vote, we count the electoral vote = Democrat wins the POTUS.

If the Democrat loses both the popular vote and electoral vote, we riot in the streets, burn and loot and claim “democracy has failed.”


11 posted on 07/01/2024 8:15:26 AM PDT by FiddlePig (The greatest threat to our sacred liberty is to not value it!โ€โ€)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

A top-notch candidate faces an absolute sodden pile of human debris.

Put Hunter in Joey’s cell for life. They deserve each other.


14 posted on 07/01/2024 8:15:53 AM PDT by ABStrauss (I miss Rlush!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

yeah sure, if the election was honest. But despite the dems hatred of it, the electoral college is what determines it. All they have to do is steal enough votes in the blue swing states and the popular vote doesn’t matter.


16 posted on 07/01/2024 8:16:26 AM PDT by BigFreakinToad (Remember the Biden Kitchen Fire of 2004)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

So, Trump has gained 8 points in the Nate Silver poll after the debate. GO TRUMP GO


18 posted on 07/01/2024 8:17:47 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: ChicagoConservative27

The presidency is not determined by who wins the popular vote. The Rat Cheat Machine is well oiled and ready to go in the right states, AZ, GA, PA, MI, etc.


20 posted on 07/01/2024 8:18:03 AM PDT by Dr. Franklin ("A republic, if you can keep it." )
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To: ChicagoConservative27
Consider that 20% of Democrat voters admitted to breaking at least some election laws with regard to mail-in balloting in 2020. Without the cheat, Trump very likely won the popular vote in 2020 as well. If we just do the simple math and lop off 20% of Biden's "official" total in 2020 (81,000,000), that gives 64,800,000 votes. That puts him at about a million votes less than Hillary in 2016. I think that's a good estimate of how many legit votes Biden received.

It's also about 10 million less than Trump received in 2020.
21 posted on 07/01/2024 8:20:11 AM PDT by Antoninus (Republicans are all honorable men.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Agree. Don’t see it being six, but if it is, this would be close to 400 EVs.


22 posted on 07/01/2024 8:20:56 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." Jimi Hendrix)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Trumpโ€™s win has to be TOO BIG TO RIG.


23 posted on 07/01/2024 8:21:44 AM PDT by piytar (Remember Ashli Babbitt and Rosanne Boyland!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Mark Elias should have this under control. They weren’t ready in 2016 and got caught flatfooted. Won’t happen again, I bet.
keep an eye on democracydocket.com


26 posted on 07/01/2024 8:27:05 AM PDT by griswold3 (Truth, Beauty and Goodness. )
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To: ChicagoConservative27

If a Republican wins the popular vote, then the EV vote will be a landslide victory.


27 posted on 07/01/2024 8:27:14 AM PDT by Signalman (I am not a snob. Ask anyone who matters.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Too bad that’s not the deciding factor. Can the democommies buy enough electoral votes? I know, that can’t happen....


28 posted on 07/01/2024 8:27:48 AM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this๐Ÿ’ฉ? ๐Ÿšซ๐Ÿ’‰! ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‘!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

what margin of fraud did he use?


30 posted on 07/01/2024 8:28:46 AM PDT by joshua c
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Just remember 81 million votes last time.

Its not who votes, it is who counts the votes.


37 posted on 07/01/2024 8:47:26 AM PDT by Mouton (A 150MT hit may not solve our problems now but is a good start. )
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To: ChicagoConservative27
The battleground states in order of importance are:

  1. Michigan (15)
  2. Wisconsin (10)
  3. New Jersey (14)
  4. Pennsylvania (19)
  5. Virginia (13)
  6. Nevada (6)

New Jersey popped onto the list based on the poll from over the weekend. This may be an outlier that drops NJ from the list after the next round of polling.

-PJ

38 posted on 07/01/2024 8:48:18 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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