June 2024 [Emerson College] State Polls: Trump Maintains Edge over Biden

Emerson College ^ | 6/20/2024 | NA

[Redmen4ever]

New Emerson College Polling/The Hill state polls find former President Donald Trump with a slight edge on President Joe Biden in Arizona (47% to 43%), Georgia (45% to 41%), Wisconsin (47% to 44%) Nevada (46% to 43%), Pennsylvania (47% to 45%), and Michigan (46% to 45%), while Biden splits with Trump in Minnesota (45% to 45%) [newly added to the list of Battleground States].

[Redmen4ever]

On the other hand, our Senate candidates aren't doing so well in these states. Our best pick-up opportunities are WV (essentially a walk over) and MT and OH (toss-ups). Otherwise, it's doable but an uphill climb in AZ, MI, MN, NV, PA and WI.

[OttawaFreeper]

But, but Biden is supposedly leading in a Fox News poll.

[EliRoom8]

Wasn’t the Fox poll based on the popular vote? In that case Hillary wins in 2016.

[4 Libertys sake]

I know, right? And Drudge highlighting it like- Trump’s going DOOOWWWNNN..... SMDH, it’s so disgusting!

[gibsonguy]

That FNC poll had Biden up by 4 in rural areas that is how you know it is BS

[Alas Babylon!]

A “slight” edge?

[Redmen4ever]

Polls have margins of error. ONE Fox Poll has a pretty wide MOE (plus or minus 3 points, not including other sources of error in polling). The total of these six battleground polls has an MOE of about 1 point. So, go with the larger sample. In addition, these battleground polls focus on the states that will make the difference in the Electoral College. So what if the Democrats have a 20 point edge in California! Considering the Electoral College, that’s a lot of wasted votes.

[Midwesterner53]

Paul Ryan’s company?

[Sarah Barracuda]

yeah remember that Biden “Won” arizona before the polls even closed according to fox news too

[goodolemr]

So, you can look at the Fox News poll or this poll. Pick your poll/pick your poison.

Biden has had a horrible 2 weeks, the only way the Fox News Poll can be right is if that conviction really does matter that much to voters.

[cowboyusa]

Biden has to win the Popular Vote by 3 to win the Electorial College.( Yes, the cheating, I know)

[nbenyo]

There’s no guarantee of that. It depends on whether swing states move the same as the nation. This may not happen due to much heavier advertising in swing states.

[cowboyusa]

Trump has a comfortable lead in the Swing States. Lara is on the fraud watch, unlike rohnah romney.

[cowboyusa]

My guess is that Trump lost a point Nationaly because of the conviction. But he doesn’t have to win the Popular vote to win.

[Toespi]

FOX reported this morning that in their National Poll, Biden leads Trump by five points.

[38special]

So do y’all really think the deep state will allow Trump to win?

[Redmen4ever]

let’s win this election and find out

[ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas]

I added the topic “Extended News” so that this thread would appear on the sidebar. Also clicked the Abuse Button on 3 duplicate threads.

[Brown Deer]

[ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas]

I am also keeping an eye on Josh Shapiro and Whitmer. They are evil but not brain dead.