Posted on 06/12/2024 3:33:21 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
If you read nothing but posts from conservative influencers on X, you’d be convinced that Donald Trump has already won the 2024 election.
The source of this sensationalized optimism comes from public polling data, which shows the former president with leads in key battleground states he needs to win this November. Some surveys also seemingly indicate that traditionally “blue states” like Virginia and Minnesota are in play.
With numbers like these and Biden’s approval rating sinking faster than Rachel Levine in a swimming pool, there’s no way Trump can lose, or so the conventional thinking goes.
While it’s certainly possible the polls are accurate, the outcome of recent elections should give conservatives reason to pump the brakes on celebrating before any ballots have been cast. Case in point: A special election held in Ohio’s 6th Congressional District on Tuesday.
The matchup between Democrat Michael Kripchak and Republican Michael Rulli wasn’t expected to be a close race. According to the Associated Press, former GOP Rep. Bill Johnson — who represented the district until his resignation earlier this year — “won his last four elections by more than 30 percentage points.” Trump similarly won the district by roughly 30 points during the 2020 contest.
While Rulli defeated Kripchak in Tuesday’s matchup and expanded Republicans’ thin House majority, the election was much closer than originally predicted. Preliminary results indicate Rulli won the race by 9.4 points — a more than 20-point shift in Democrats favor.
Then you watch them count the ballots like Glenn Youngkin did.
[The now working-class populist Republican party has a greater number of low-propensity voters, many of whom only show up when Trump is on the ticket as evidenced by the dismal 2018 and 2022 midterms.]
The dead and demented GOP voter segments once again are underperforming against their Dem counterparts.
So this guy comes along and writes ‘hey, look at me, look at me... I’m crapping all over the polls that say Trump’s going to win’.
Go away little creep.
Good! He should!
We all need to be acting like Trump is ten points behind.
You know who thinks he's winning the election? Biden.
He did last time too because he knew they were going to cheat for him... He even told everyone in advance.
There's nothing wrong with The Federalist. They're pretty solid.
The only thing the people hate worse than Democrats - is Republicans.
Trump 360 EV
Senate R+2
House D+60
*yawn*
people vote for the person in the end. Yes party matters, but in the end it is about the candidate and every race is unique to a certain extent.
The same polls showing Trump ahead are consistently showing many of the SAME people who want Trump also wanting Democrats for Senate, Governor or House races.
Trump has an appeal that cuts across party lines.
There’s only one party. It’s cute that lotsa people still think there’s a difference between them.
The point has absolutely nothing to do with whether Rulli will win again. It’s a deep red district. The author is not saying Rulli is in trouble.
The article is not about any primary.
Did they have a turnout problem...?
We’ll never know without an audit, will we.
And I would never assume a turnout issue without one.
So why is The Federalist?
Inquiring minds want to know.
Republicans turnout voters. Democrats turnot votes.
If Northam and the dems in VA hadn’t shit on school parents then Youngkin never gets elected.
What happens when the vast majority of people no longer look to elections to fix the nation’s problems? The country will be headed for a crack up.
************
The sheeple won’t do a damn thing. When the going gets tough they turn to entertainment and other trivial diversions. Bread and circuses don’t you know.
Sauce to cover the steal ...
I don;t know about that. It’s going to get pretty bad. It only takes a few people to make big trouble.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.