Posted on 05/30/2024 8:23:10 AM PDT by Red Badger
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten explained on Thursday that the reason for young voters shifting from President Joe Biden to former President Donald Trump is likely due to their desire for significant change in the country.
Some polling has suggested Biden’s plunge in young voter support is related to his perceived support of Israel in its conflict with terrorist organization Hamas, but the movement away from the president began well before the October 7 Hamas attacks. Enten on “CNN News Central” said that the true reason for Biden’s loss of young voters is that they want “major change,” and believe Trump is the one to deliver on that desire.
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VIDEO AT LINK...................
“Take a look here. Age 18 to 24, Biden won this group by 32 points the last cycle over Donald Trump,” Enten told host John Berman. “Look at where the polling is now. Joe Biden still leads, but just by seven points. That is a drop, John. Let’s see if I can do this math. I believe it is a drop of 25 percentage points.”
“And compare that to the rest of the electorate, where we’re looking at a fairly similar race to where we were four years ago, where Joe Biden won those voters by two points last time around,” he continued. “Now, Donald Trump leads by two. So, that’s a movement of four points. But four points, I don’t need to tell you, John, is significantly less than a movement of 25 points among those voters under the age of 25.”
Berman noted that voters under 25 are a small portion of the electorate, but that the Biden campaign still must be “a little nervous” about these numbers.
“This question, to me, gets really at the reason of why this might be occurring: Do you prefer or want a presidential candidate who promises to restore normalcy to Washington D.C. or bring major change to the country?” Enten said. “Overall, 54% of likely battleground state voters say they want a candidate who will restore normalcy to Washington D.C. But look at voters under the age of 30. It is a total flip of that. ‘Bring major change to the U.S.’ Look at this, 65% of voters under the age of 30 say they want a candidate to bring major change to the U.S.”
“And in that same poll, you know which candidate they thought would bring major change to the country? They thought Donald Trump would,” the data reporter added. “So, all of a sudden, you match up those two questions and you get a pretty clear understanding of why younger voters seem to be becoming more Republican versus four years ago.”
Enten also said this is not unprecedented as young voters have a pattern in recent history of switching parties.
“I want you to go back in time. Look at aged 18 to 24-year-old voters. Look at the margins, and look at this back in the early 2000’s. In 2000, those under the age of 25 were tied between Bush and Gore,” he said. “Look at what happened in 2004: they started shifting, becoming more blue. John Kerry won ’em by 13 points. Barack Obama, in 2008, won ’em by 32 points. We had a movement of 32 points over just eight years.”
“Remember, John, those voters under the age of 25 right now were at best born in 2000,” Enten added. “They were probably born later than 2000. They don’t remember 9/11. They really don’t remember the Bush years. They barely remember the Obama years. It’s perhaps time that we’re going to see a change like we saw earlier in the 21st century.”
Golly gee, how will the “counting centers” compensate??
When voters view Biden as an impotent, loathsome, lying, pedophile, dementia-addled corruptocrat, CNN transmogrifies that to “voters who want major change”, as if it had nothing to do with Biden.
From the article: “Enten also said this is not unprecedented as young voters have a pattern in recent history of switching parties.”
Making a very poor assumption. Those under 25 voters in 2000, are now under 50. Not the same people. Those people have been replaced by voters born after 1999 but prior to 2006.
Why have ‘counting centers’ at all?
Here, votes are counted at the precincts, then the numbers are phoned in to the county seat.........
That’s the old, “Some say …” trick.
Young voters don’t want to be drafted into a war with Russia.
Four years later, two-thirds of a group spanning six years in age is a completely new set of voters.
I’d take polls on the “youth vote” with a grain of salt.
I have no idea how they could possibly poll young people properly.
I mean, have you been polled before? It takes like 20 minutes! There’s no way young people are 1) answering a call from an unknown phone number; 2) talking to a complete stranger about their political opinion; and 3) sitting on the phone for 20 minutes to talk about who they like for president!
I’ve lost faith in political polling.
"...their desire for significant change in the country."My take is they got their four year dalliance with communism, don't like it, and want to revert to normalcy. So "significant change" appears to mean repudiating central command and control and returning to freedom.
For four years during Trump’s presidency, even though the sun was shining, the media pee’d on everyone’s heads and not only did they try to say it was really rain, they were saying Trump was causing it.
Then for four years, the storm clouds came out, and the media not only tried to tell people it was sunny and calm, but Biden was causing it.
For the most part, people will believe what they want to believe, as long as they selfishly believe they are getting what they want, and they will use confirmation bias and selective validation to keep believing it, but for a lot of people, when a real sense of betrayal starts hitting home, they can’t help but open their eyes and look
FJB loosing the McDonalds vote?
Young people miss $1.80/gal, no inflation, wars, or border invasions.
“Why have ‘counting centers’ at all?
Here, votes are counted at the precincts, then the numbers are phoned in to the county seat.........”
That’s how it should be done. But for some reason (cough) in the big cities, it’s necessary to put all the ballots in boxes, then a van, then drive them to a counting center to be counted, which requires chains of custody, etc. and overly complicates things (intentionally). And on the ride, additional boxes of ballots are magically added, and for some reason if polls close at 8, it takes the van drivers sometimes 7 hours (8pm-3am) to gather all the ballot boxes and drive them to the counting center, because we all know that there’s LOTS of traffic late at night in a city on a Tuesday.
Truth is only what can be sold to the people—Truth has nothing to do with it. Nazis got the German people to believe that Jews were evil and enemies of the German state. Russians got the people to believe that well off peasants were evil and had to be jailed or killed. The US Government convinced people that Native Tribes were all bloodthirsty savages to be killed or isolated on reservations. Its a process as old as time. I’m sure Pharaohs in Egypt convinced their people that Hittites were evil and the Gods wanted them gone.
As Stalin said, it’s not who votes it’s who counts the votes... “Counting Centers” give the powers that be more power to “select” the winner...
I don’t think he has any idea why the numbers are changing. Neither do I, but I don’t get paid for pretending.
So the young ones want change, which is Trump. The older ones want normalcy, which for them is Trump
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