[frog in a pot]

The correct response to your post is that the people who know what is going on don’t talk, and the people who talk don’t know what they’re talking about.

That old simplistic axiom sounds like it is right out of the 1800's.

Our national enemies today, however, know when people such the commander of our Air Force Global Strike Command and the Admiral who is director of strategic system do talk in public, they are almost certainly not offering up their game plan.

In any event, my two questions were directed not to high-ranking officials who do know, but to those like me out here on the sidewalk at the retail level for friendly speculation.

[NorthMountain]

That "old simplistic axiom" is the absolute truth.

those like me out here on the sidewalk at the retail level for friendly speculation.

Speculate all you like. Do so with the understanding that people will sometimes talk with apparent authority who do not know feces from shoe polish.