Hezbollah launches major rocket attack that injures 18

Israel Hayom ^ | 4/17/24 | AP, Reuters

[hardspunned]

Lebanon's Hezbollah said it launched missiles and drones on an Israeli military facility in Arab al-Aramshe on Wednesday, in response to the Israeli killing of Hezbollah members and commanders in Lebanon. This escalation comes as tensions between Israel and Iran are reaching new heights after a series of strikes and counterstrikes.

[hardspunned]

Not fair, not fair! Hezbollah didn’t give the customary 72 hour advance notice of the attack. The vaunted Iron Dome apparently had a 99% miss rate on these uncoordinated Hezbollah attacks.

[frank ballenger]

Is this like juvenile delinquent gangs in the 1950s who would hit and run and some get arrested and then would hit and run again?

Or worse, like Anonymous and others they could have the Hamas and PLO leaders say “We don’t know who they are. They are acting on their own.” And go on with the war during “peacetime” after Israeli concessions.

[wny]

Did FJB approve of this one too?

[SunkenCiv]

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• Saudi Arabia: When it comes to Israel and Iran, the enemy of my enemy is my friend [04/17/2024]
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[Paul R.]

The key is not the vague 72 hour “warning”, as Iran did not specify what base would be hit (etc.) The key is the flight time from Iran vs. from Hezbollah positions. Essentially, difficulty of interception goes up as a sort of extreme inverse function of time (with a hard limit where the difficulty goes to infinity.) Over an hour flight time is gravy if you have sufficient resources. When you are under a few minutes warning, that’s getting tough. The Israelis know that and that’s a major reason they do pre-emptive strikes, which themselves can never have 100% (or 99%) effect either, and no one claims so.

What I’ve not seen anywhere is how many rockets (and drones?) were launched and how many intercepted. This
attack is called “major”, so I’d expect it could have been upwards of 50. If Israel took out 48 or 49 of 50 bogeys launched from short range, that’s superb, as defense statistics go. If they knocked out 2 of 4, it’s not so good.

[jjotto]

Arab al Aramshe was hit by kamikaze drone from Ayta ash Shab, which looks to be a mere few kilometers away.

Since there were IDF training locals there, the question is why there wasn’t higher defensive awareness there on the border.