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Recent gains point to a growing Russian advantage in the Ukraine war
The Conversation ^ | 3/11/2024 | Group Attributed

Posted on 03/17/2024 12:03:38 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods

"...the Russian economy is increasingly mobilized for war, and the government has been able to obtain some military resources from abroad, circumventing western sanctions."

"Russia is, relative to Ukraine, in an increasingly strong position as the war enters its third year...."

"In terms of drones — where Ukrainian forces once had an advantage — Russian forces seem to have caught up or even outpaced Ukraine."

(Excerpt) Read more at theconversation.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Ukraine
KEYWORDS: killkillkillforpeace; orcworld; ukraine
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A little more: "There is strong evidence of western intelligence personnel already on the ground in Ukraine — who were there long before February 2022."
1 posted on 03/17/2024 12:03:38 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods
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To: SaxxonWoods

Roughly half of the Westerns who went into Ukraine came out in body bags (other than the ones at Ground Zero for some of Putin’s really big fire crackers), so no big impact on the war.


2 posted on 03/17/2024 12:05:31 PM PDT by BobL (I eat at McDonald's and shop at Walmart, I just don't tell anyone)
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To: SaxxonWoods

It’s been a roach motel for neo-Nazis around the world. They have crawled in from Poland, the UK, Germany, France and from here in the United States. That, and we’ve created a generation of war adventurers. Any war will do as long as they can grow a beard and take selfies. Tragic to see young Americans throw their life away for the Nazi/globalist cause.


3 posted on 03/17/2024 12:08:12 PM PDT by DesertRhino (2016 Star Wars, 2020 The Empire Strikes Back, 2024... RETURN OF THE JEDI. )
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To: SaxxonWoods

Big picture coverage from all mediums is leaning in the
direction of this article. A lot of the legacy media has lowered Ukraine coverage and is busy whining about terrorists and their helpers getting killed in GAZA.

Please post any links that demonstrate differences. Looking at all takes is desirable.


4 posted on 03/17/2024 12:21:05 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Are you ready for Black Lives MAGA? It's coming.)
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To: BobL

“Roughly half of the Westerns who went into Ukraine came out in body bags”

Sorry, do you mean govt personnel or mercenary blood-lusters?
Thanks.


5 posted on 03/17/2024 12:24:57 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Are you ready for Black Lives MAGA? It's coming.)
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To: SaxxonWoods

As it turns out the sanctions were about the best thing what could have happen to Russia as it was a wakeup call as they woke up a sleeping giant. This is hands-down the best explanation I’ve heard on why sanctions on Russia backfired, and why they were never going to succeed in the first place. The sanctions certainly set the Russian economy free from Western constraints.

By economist James K. Galbraith, professor at the University of Texas at Austin.

Second best quote: “If you go back to the period before the introduction of the sanctions [...] the Russian economy was very heavily colonized by Western firms. That was true in automobiles, it was true in aircrafts, it was true in everything from fast food restaurants to big box stores. Western firms were present all throughout the Russian economy. A great many of them [...] either chose to exit Russia or were pressured to exit Russia after early 2022. So on what terms did they leave?

Well, they were required, if they were leaving permanently, to sell their capital equipment, their factories and so forth, to let’s say a Russian business which would get a loan from Russian banks or maybe have other sources of financing, at a very favorable price for the Russians. So effectively a lot of capital wealth, which was partly owned by the West, has been transferred to Russian ownership.

And you now have an economy which is moving forward and has the advantage compared to Europe of relatively low resource costs because Russia is a great producer of resources, oil and gas and fertilizer and food stuff and so forth. And so while the Europeans are paying maybe twice in Germany what they were paying for energy, the Russians are not, they’re paying perhaps less than they were paying before the war.

So again I characterize the effect of the sanctions, in fact as being in certain respects a gift to the Russian economy. And this is, I think, quite different from what the authors of the sanctions expected. [...] And the essence of the situation is this would not have happened without the sanctions. You could have had the war, and it would have gone pretty much as it has gone. But the Russian government in 2022 was in no position to force the exit of Western firms. It didn’t want to, wouldn’t have done that.

It was in no position to force its oligarchs to choose between Russia and the West. It didn’t wish to do that. These choices were imposed by the West, and the results were actually, in many respects, favorable to the long-term independent development of the Russian Federation’s economy.”


6 posted on 03/17/2024 12:28:00 PM PDT by Saintgermain
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To: SaxxonWoods

And yet, even with all that, Russia STILL can’t win!! (LOL)

Guess many more thousands of Russian troops will have to die, amny more BSF warships will have to be sunk ...

That’s what Vlady wants


7 posted on 03/17/2024 12:36:41 PM PDT by canuck_conservative (NATO - now celebrating 75 successful years of keeping the Russian monsters out!!)
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To: SaxxonWoods

The CIA now openly admits they’ve had 12 covert bases along the Russian Ukrainian border since 2014.


8 posted on 03/17/2024 12:38:51 PM PDT by hardspunned (Former DC GOP globalist stooge)
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To: SaxxonWoods

“Sorry, do you mean govt personnel or mercenary blood-lusters?”

Technically Mercenaries, since they’re not part of an official deployment.


9 posted on 03/17/2024 12:43:06 PM PDT by BobL (I eat at McDonald's and shop at Walmart, I just don't tell anyone)
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To: SaxxonWoods

As the title states- any reasonable person has concluded Russia has had the advantage long ago. Today, they are making gains all along the 600 plus miles of front line.

When they decide to go on a full offensive, what will be the western MSM’s take? The collective West’s narrative is a clown show.


10 posted on 03/17/2024 1:09:52 PM PDT by delta7
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To: canuck_conservative

Ukraine has had over $200 billion sent to it from the U.S. alone and is STILL losing ground, despite the premier military alliance in the world handing them free stuff and intelligence on their enemy, plus having homefield.

Absolutely pathetic nation.


11 posted on 03/17/2024 1:10:21 PM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: canuck_conservative

It isn’t easy to fight 28 nations and their resources, yet Russia seems to be holding its own.

This week they even held an election!

Yes Ukraine held an election too, but…..oh, wait…

Never mind!


12 posted on 03/17/2024 1:20:13 PM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
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To: SaxxonWoods

Lets see:

War starts, the West quickly promises massive military arms aid...

West drags its feet - delivers a fraction of promised weapons and ammunition - stretching it through the first winter - giving Russia months to dig in and build massive fortifications.

Ukraine attempts their “massive Spring counterattack” with a fraction of the arms promised - and sees limited success.

Russia brings in lots of warm bodies to the meat grinder to burn up Ukrainian ammunition - sacrificing nearly 100,000 bodies, but further using up Ukrainian resources.

The US runs out of military aid resources to give - and the new Speaker of the House blocks bills that would resume said funding/weapons donations...

Europe makes more arms/amunition promises - all while Russia receives in a short time - over 2 million artillery shells from North Korea, unreported numbers of equipment and ammunition from China, and an undisclosed number of ballistic missiles from North Korea - that have already been used on Ukraine.

When you have nearly unlimited ammunition and weapons systems (even if some are antique) - and a meat grinder mentality of attrition... When you have no moral problem literally blasting villages and cities to nothing but rubble (even those that have few or no military value or personnel)...

yeah - not surprising when you finally begin to retake ground.

The problem is not that the US isn’t sending massive arms shipments - but that the US allowed the invasion in the first place via the weak foreign policy and incompetence by the illegitimate US president (and most of the world down deep knows he is illegitimate).


13 posted on 03/17/2024 1:20:34 PM PDT by TheBattman (Democrats-Progressives-Marxists-Socialists - redundant labels.)
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To: aMorePerfectUnion

Russia didn’t really have a free “election”, and anyone with even a bit of intelligence knows it

Everything was pre-rigged, including the result, and all the opposition candidates were disqualified, jailed, or assassinated

Russian-style “elections”, LOL

But they still managed to fool you, though ...


14 posted on 03/17/2024 1:23:41 PM PDT by canuck_conservative (NATO - now celebrating 75 successful years of keeping the Russian monsters out!!)
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To: Trump20162020

I”m pretty sure you are not completely aware of how that works: $200 billion is the “full retail price + cost of delivery” for older generation equipment near the end of service life. It also includes promised arms and ammunition that actually was never delivered for a myriad of reasons - including supply issues. For example - the US + the European allies together promised over 2 million artillery shells to Ukraine - of which less than ⅓ were actually delivered.


15 posted on 03/17/2024 1:24:36 PM PDT by TheBattman (Democrats-Progressives-Marxists-Socialists - redundant labels.)
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To: aMorePerfectUnion

This is all going to end very soon. Whether Biden wins or loses the election he will no longer need the distraction of “support a free Ukraine” away from his disaster of our own border, our abysmal economy or his wanton pandering to fringe victim groups. Support to Ukraine will stop.


16 posted on 03/17/2024 1:25:35 PM PDT by Gaffer
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To: canuck_conservative
Guess many more thousands of Russian troops will have to die, amny more BSF warships will have to be sunk ...

Are those visions of death and destruction getting you all excited, hoser? That’s really sick.

Unfortunately, continuation of this travesty causes lots of death and destruction for both sides. And that’s very sad and quite unnecessary.

17 posted on 03/17/2024 1:30:43 PM PDT by Allegra (Does this tagline make my brain look smaller? Слава Україні! 🇺🇦 Русские свиньи, идите домой! Derp)
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To: Saintgermain; SaxxonWoods
Thanks for the well informed Economic Analysis.

I would add that the sanctions also reduced trust in the US Government and US Dollar as the Reserve currency for International settlement.

18 posted on 03/17/2024 1:40:42 PM PDT by Navy Patriot (Celebrate Decivilization)
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To: Allegra

You’re against “death and destruction”?

Then why is it that you never criticize the guy who started this war, Putin?


19 posted on 03/17/2024 1:57:31 PM PDT by canuck_conservative (NATO - now celebrating 75 successful years of keeping the Russian monsters out!!)
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To: canuck_conservative
Russia didn’t really have a free “election”, and anyone with even a bit of intelligence knows it

And yet it was 10,000% freer than the election Ukraine did not allow to happen.

Everything was pre-rigged, including the result, and all the opposition candidates were disqualified, jailed, or assassinated

Yes...you're right

Ukraine disqualied all candidates!
Ukraine jails dissenters.
Ukraine prevented any election at all.

Ukraine-style “elections”, LOL

But they still managed to fool you, though ...

20 posted on 03/17/2024 2:01:52 PM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion
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