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Victor Davis Hanson: How To Ensure a Big, Ugly War with Iran
American Greatness ^ | 1 Feb, 2024 | Victor Davis Hanson

Posted on 02/01/2024 6:30:38 AM PST by MtnClimber

When serially attacked, loudly responding that we will only proportionally strike back and wish no wider war will only ensure a big, ugly one.

Iranian-backed militias have attacked American installations and forces in Syria, Iraq, and Jordan some 170 times.

Ostensibly, these terrorist groups claim they are hitting US forces to coerce America into dropping its support of Israel and demanding a cease-fire in the Gaza war.

In reality, these satellite terrorists are being directed in a larger effort by Iran to pry the US. out of the Middle East, in the manner of the 1983 Marine barracks bombing.

That way, Iran will be free to fulfill its old dream of becoming a nuclear shield for a new Shiite/Persian terrorist axis from Tehran to Damascus to Beirut to the West Bank and Gaza—surrounding Israel and intimidating the Gulf regimes and more moderate states like Jordan and Egypt into concessions.

These Iranian appendages have made a number of unfortunately correct assumptions about America in general and the Biden administration in particular.

One, after the recent serial humiliations of the flight from Afghanistan, the passivity of watching a Chinese spy balloon traverse with impunity the continental United States, the mixed American signals on the eve of the Ukraine war, the troubled Pentagon’s recruitment and leadership lapses, and the destruction of the US southern border, both Iran and its surrogates feel that the United States either cannot or will do much of anything in response to their aggression.

They see the U.S. military short thousands of recruits, its leadership politicized, its munition stocks depleted by arms shipments to Ukraine and Israel, and the massive abandonment of weapons in Kabul.

Two, they view Joe Biden’s serial appeasement as a force multiplier of these perceptions of American weakness.

(Excerpt) Read more at amgreatness.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Iran
KEYWORDS: vdh; victordavishanson
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1 posted on 02/01/2024 6:30:38 AM PST by MtnClimber
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To: MtnClimber

Valerie Jarrett seems to be making sure Iran has every advantage that can be orchestrated by her puppet in the White Hut.


2 posted on 02/01/2024 6:30:48 AM PST by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page. More photos added.)
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To: texas booster

VDH ping


3 posted on 02/01/2024 6:31:11 AM PST by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page. More photos added.)
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To: MtnClimber

Insightful!


4 posted on 02/01/2024 6:31:51 AM PST by dennisw (Be positive. Every day is a new dayt)
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To: MtnClimber

Biden and his handlers screw up everything.


5 posted on 02/01/2024 6:36:40 AM PST by 1Old Pro
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To: MtnClimber

Pretty much sums it up regarding th US under this illegitimate administration, Victor.


6 posted on 02/01/2024 6:36:59 AM PST by dforest
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To: MtnClimber

“Don’t change horses in the middle of the stream”.


7 posted on 02/01/2024 6:37:40 AM PST by Aeneas2112 (YOU are your own first responder)
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To: MtnClimber

Yes


8 posted on 02/01/2024 6:44:00 AM PST by Tennessee Nana
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To: Aeneas2112

Get OFF the horse if it can’t swim!


9 posted on 02/01/2024 6:46:48 AM PST by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: MtnClimber

I have the winning answer: just have Biden as your president. What’s my prize?


10 posted on 02/01/2024 6:48:03 AM PST by leaning conservative (snow coming, school cancelled, yayyyyyyyyy!!!!!!)
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To: 1Old Pro

Biden and his handlers screw up everything.

That would be in particular, in general libs destroy anything they touch.


11 posted on 02/01/2024 6:54:02 AM PST by Mouton (150MTs in the right location will not solve our problems now.)
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To: All

VDH——

Iranian-backed militias have attacked American installations
and forces in Syria, Iraq, and Jordan a jaw-dropping 170+ times

The Iranian boys view vote-crazed candidate Joe Biden’s serial
appeasement as a helpful, reassuring reminder of American weakness.


This is an election year.....so along with death and taxes, we can be sure of Gay Pride
parades 24/7 and that Israel will be smothered in billions of US arms and tax dollars.


12 posted on 02/01/2024 7:04:46 AM PST by Liz (Matthew 11.28-30: Come to me, all you who are weary and heavy laden, and I will give you strength.)
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To: All

VDH-— terrorist groups are hitting, killing, and injuring US forces in order
to get America to drop its military and financial support of Israel
and to coerce a cease-fire in Gaza.......


It will be rather difficult for any govt to pressure Israel into “negotiating,”
since Israel has munitions and weaponry to destroy Hamas entirely on their own.

There’s Biden’s 2023 arms handout to Israel:
<><>57,000 155mm artillery shells
<><>more than 5,000 Mk82 unguided or “dumb” bombs,
<><>more than 5,400 Mk84 2,000 pound warhead bombs,
<><>around 1,000 GBU-39 small diameter bombs,
<><>approximately 3,000 JDAMs, which turn unguided bombs into guided “smart” bombs,
<><>BLU-109 bunker busters w/ 2,000 pound warheads designed to penetrate concrete shelters.

There’s Obama’s $38 billion deal that covers fiscal years 2019-2028 that includes:
<><>-annual US payments to Israel of $3.3 billion in “military financing,”
<><>-$500 million a year for Israel’s missile defense operations in the Negev, a foreign aid first,
<><>-A phasing-out of Israel’s decades-long “special arrangement”
<><>ie. Israel used 26.3% of US aid on its own global defense industry (not on US-made weapons).
<><>-Eliminates Israel using some 13% of US aid to buy military fuel.
<><>-will allow Israel to update “the lion’s share” of its fighter aircraft,
<><>includes purchasing additional F-35 Joint Strike Fighters.
<><>Israel is to initially receive thirty-three F-35 aircraft,
<><>the first two F-35’s will be delivered in December.

The (a) weaponry build-up from Obama 2018 into 2028, (b) follows the $30 billion weaponry deal Israel signed in 2007, which expires at the end of fiscal 2018, and (c) a systematic buildup of Israeli arms, like this one in 2015.

https://www.dsca.mil/press-media/major-arms-sales/israel-joint-direct-attack-munition-tail-kits-and-munitions

ISRAEL – JOINT DIRECT ATTACK MUNITION TAIL KITS AND MUNITIONS
Defense Security Cooperation Agency
Media/Public Contact
pm-cpa@state.gov
Transmittal No 15-36

WASHINGTON, May 19, 2015
As required by US law, the Defense Security Cooperation Agency delivered the required certification notifying Congress of this possible sale to Israel on May 18, 2015: Joint Direct Attack Munition Tail Kits, munitions, and associated equipment, parts and logistical support for an estimated cost of $1.879 billion.

The Government of Israel has requested:
<><>14,500 KMU-556C/B Joint Direct Attack Munitions (JDAM) tail kits
<><>consisting of 10,000 for Mk-84;
<><>500 for Mk-83;
<><>and,4,000 for Mk-82;
<><>3,500 Mk-82 bombs; 4,500 Mk-83 bombs;
<><>50 BLU-113 bombs;
<><>4,100 GBU-39 Small Diameter bombs;
<><>1,500 Mk-83 Paveway kits;
<><>700 BLU-109 Paveway kits;
<><>3,000 AGM-114K/R Hellfire Missiles,
<><>250 AIM-120C Advanced Medium Range Air-to-Air Missiles;
<><>and 500 DSU-38A/B Detector Laser Illuminated Target kits for JDAMs.

The proposed sale of this equipment will provide Israel
<><>the ability to support its self-defense needs
<><>enable Israel to maintain operational capability of its existing systems
<><>and will enhance Israel’s interoperability with the United States.

Israel already has these munitions in its inventory, and will have no difficulty absorbing the additional munitions into its armed forces.

All questions regarding this proposed Foreign Military Sale should be directed to the State Department’s Bureau of Political Military Affairs, Office of Congressional and Public Affairs, pm-cpa@state.gov.


13 posted on 02/01/2024 7:11:16 AM PST by Liz (Matthew 11.28-30: Come to me, all you who are weary and heavy laden, and I will give you strength.)
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To: MtnClimber

Iran has a 1000+ miles border with Russia. In the early 90s the control of their many thousands of nukes became somewhat disorganized. No one knows for 100% certainty if all of them were accounted for. Maybe some small ones were not.

When all those arms were being sold by desperate and unscrupulous Soviet politicians and generals not even a few suitcase bombs were bought with Iranian oil money? How easy it would be to smuggle them across our southern border?

Sure not one….not a single one I’m 💯 sure. 🫤

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=45wce6oSr0M


14 posted on 02/01/2024 7:16:34 AM PST by Phoenix8
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To: MtnClimber

VDH should know about getting into crap shows like this. He was an advocate of stopping Putin’s supposed Soviet style onslaught across Central Europe. He claimed to believe that lying disinfo nonsense and supported the horrific and NEEDLESS meat grinder in Ukraine. He lost a lot of credibility by misreading NATO’s stupid and unilateral scrapping of the balance of power that had kept the European peace since WWII. VDH, of all people, should have known better.


15 posted on 02/01/2024 7:20:49 AM PST by hardspunned (Former DC GOP globalist stooge)
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To: texas booster
IMHO the way to deal with the multiple attacks from Iran (even if by proxy) is show to us by how we've handled similar situations in the past, sometimes with bad results and sometimes with good results.

Bad result #1: Ignoring the attacks like we did the multiple embassy attacks before 9/11. I don't want to repeat that mistake.

Bad result #2: Go into another forever war with no defined objective (i.e. Afghanistan) or after short term objective is achieved no long term objective or exit strategy (i.e. Iraq after regime change). Don't want to do that either.

Good result #1: Operation Praying Manits ordered by Ronaldus Magnus taught Iran to quit attacking ships with the American flag for a while. This gets my vote.

16 posted on 02/01/2024 7:30:46 AM PST by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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Comment #17 Removed by Moderator

Comment #18 Removed by Moderator

To: MtnClimber

Austin apologizing for being a dumbass. Takes responsibility but not stepping down. Using his speech to talk about prostate cancer.


19 posted on 02/01/2024 7:42:09 AM PST by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: ping jockey

True but the USSR did and this would have happened when it was in the process of breaking up.

Russia becoming the primary independent country and supposedly getting control of all nukes.


20 posted on 02/01/2024 8:09:06 AM PST by Phoenix8
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