Posted on 01/13/2024 7:02:42 PM PST by Redmen4ever
Final Des Moines Register poll:
Trump: 48 Haley: 20 DeSantis: 16 Ramaswamy: 8
These results are in line with other polls of Iowa that do not include Christie (who recently dropped out), and with other January polls that include Christie supposing most of his supporters shifted to Haley.
(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...
Trump supporters are more committed and more enthusiastic. He also has the highest favorables among Republicans.
Christie supporters went to Haley? Both of them?
Efforts to safeguard our election against democrat cheating will rely upon the sweat on the brows of grass roots local volunteers.
It will be interesting to see the actual caucus results and see how they correlate to the polls. Polls before caucuses don’t tend to be as reliable as polls prior to elections. And Iowa has a history of surprises.
Phat Mann’s support went mostly to Nikki
These people were unlikely to vote Trump anyway, but perhaps will reconsider as Bidenomics becomes more hideous.
They also posted enthusiasm for candidate in the poll. Based on the enthusiasm factoir, Haley is way down. How many people will brave minus temps an a blizzard?
Combining all enthusiasms, Extremely, Very, Mildly, and Not, and weighting them 3,2,1,0. you get Desantis back to 2nd. And with predicted weather, and that most Trump caucusers are Extremely (broken glass) Haley isn’t gonna get a lot of folks out: The poll had the numbers and I convert to revised pcts. Trump 60.9, DeSantis 15.5, Haley 14.6, Vivek 8.9. I got Vivek’s # by using a little bit of algebra. As to very enthusiastic #s, Haley is last of the 4. Imagine Blizzard and 0 degrees at caucus time. Very Enthusiastic numbers would largely apply, with a few verys thrown in...Trump 67.4, DeSantis 13.8, Haley 9.7, Vivek 9.1... how would one of these outcomes affect NH?
good point Big Ed
DeSantis expressed some confidence this morning, of his ground game.
“Haley’s Comet” posits coming in second in Iowa and then winning New Hampshire and South Carolina. Should DeSantis finish second in Iowa, I think the wheels come off for Haley.
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