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Hubris, Not Conspiracy, Kept Israel From Anticipating Hamas Terrorist Attack
The Federalist ^ | 4 Dec 2023 | David Harsanyi

Posted on 12/05/2023 8:55:08 AM PST by Rummyfan

Israel is Brussels — if Brussels shared a border with a bunch of tribal medieval warlords with access to 21st-century weaponry.

Many people wondered after Oct. 7 how an advanced nation like Israel could have allowed a massive, three-pronged, well-executed terrorist incursion into its civilian areas. The myth about Israel’s infallible security services isn’t new.

Last week, The New York Times reported that Israeli officials had their hands on Hamas’ Oct. 7 plans a year ago. Though there was no specific date for the attack attached to the plan, it described a “methodical assault designed to overwhelm the fortifications around the Gaza Strip, take over Israeli cities and storm key military bases, including a division headquarters.”

...

A few things to remember:

Israelis can be arrogant and dismissive about their enemies. It leads to disasters. In this case, it’s clear Israel overestimated the effectiveness of its security services and its border and underestimated Hamas. Their enemies might be terrorists, but they aren’t stupid.

There probably isn’t another nation that has such a pronounced economic, moral, and lifestyle disparity with its neighbors. Perhaps South Korea? Israel’s per capita GDP is on par with most Western European nations at $54,660, while in Palestinian territories the per capita GDP is $3,789 — which, despite claims of Gaza being an “open-air prison” etc., is on par with Egyptians ($4,295), Jordanians ($4,205) and Lebanese ($4,136).

(Excerpt) Read more at thefederalist.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bloggers; fakenews
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Hubris or not, the ramifications are going to be far-reaching and long-time echoing. As a start, it means the finish of Bibi Netanyahu and a lot of senior military and Mossad personnel.
1 posted on 12/05/2023 8:55:08 AM PST by Rummyfan
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To: Rummyfan

World War Z had one thing right with the “10th Man.”


2 posted on 12/05/2023 8:58:55 AM PST by 3RIVRS
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To: Rummyfan

Before we go pointing fingers at Israel as a result of their not acting on intel about 10/7; we need to look in a mirror ourselves on two distinctive dates.

December 4, 1941.
September 11, 2001.


3 posted on 12/05/2023 8:59:06 AM PST by Responsibility2nd (A truth that’s told with bad intent, Beats all the lies you can invent ~ Wm. Blake)
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To: Rummyfan

“There probably isn’t another nation that has such a pronounced economic, moral, and lifestyle disparity with its neighbors. Perhaps South Korea? Israel’s per capita GDP is on par with most Western European nations at $54,660, while in Palestinian territories the per capita GDP is $3,789 — which, despite claims of Gaza being an “open-air prison” etc., is on par with Egyptians ($4,295), Jordanians ($4,205) and Lebanese ($4,136).”

Islam is poverty without oil.


4 posted on 12/05/2023 9:03:02 AM PST by LeonardFMason
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To: Rummyfan

Thanks for posting.


5 posted on 12/05/2023 9:03:08 AM PST by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
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To: Rummyfan

Yeah, I think you’re right.


6 posted on 12/05/2023 9:04:43 AM PST by ought-six (Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule. )
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To: All

It will be rather difficult for any govt to pressure Israel into “negotiating,”
since Israel has munitions and weaponry to destroy Hamas entirely on their own.

There’s Biden’s 2023 arms handout to Israel:
<><>57,000 155mm artillery shells
<><>more than 5,000 Mk82 unguided or “dumb” bombs,
<><>more than 5,400 Mk84 2,000 pound warhead bombs,
<><>around 1,000 GBU-39 small diameter bombs,
<><>approximately 3,000 JDAMs, which turn unguided bombs into guided “smart” bombs,
<><>BLU-109 bunker busters w/ 2,000 pound warheads designed to penetrate concrete shelters.

There’s Obama’s $38 billion deal that covers fiscal years 2019-2028 that includes:
<><>-annual US payments to Israel of $3.3 billion in “military financing,”
<><>-$500 million a year for Israel’s missile defense operations in the Negev, a foreign aid first,
<><>-A phasing-out of Israel’s decades-long “special arrangement”
<><>ie. Israel used 26.3% of US aid on its own global defense industry (not on US-made weapons).
<><>-Eliminates Israel using some 13% of US aid to buy military fuel.
<><>-will allow Israel to update “the lion’s share” of its fighter aircraft,
<><>includes purchasing additional F-35 Joint Strike Fighters.
<><>Israel is to initially receive thirty-three F-35 aircraft,
<><>the first two F-35’s will be delivered in December.

The (a) weaponry build-up from Obama 2018 into 2028, (b) follows the $30 billion weaponry deal Israel signed in 2007, which expires at the end of fiscal 2018, and (c) a systematic buildup of Israeli arms, like this one in 2015.

https://www.dsca.mil/press-media/major-arms-sales/israel-joint-direct-attack-munition-tail-kits-and-munitions

ISRAEL – JOINT DIRECT ATTACK MUNITION TAIL KITS AND MUNITIONS
Defense Security Cooperation Agency
Media/Public Contact
pm-cpa@state.gov
Transmittal No 15-36

WASHINGTON, May 19, 2015
As required by US law, the Defense Security Cooperation Agency delivered the required certification notifying Congress of this possible sale to Israel on May 18, 2015: Joint Direct Attack Munition Tail Kits, munitions, and associated equipment, parts and logistical support for an estimated cost of $1.879 billion.

The Government of Israel has requested:
<><>14,500 KMU-556C/B Joint Direct Attack Munitions (JDAM) tail kits
<><>consisting of 10,000 for Mk-84;
<><>500 for Mk-83;
<><>and,4,000 for Mk-82;
<><>3,500 Mk-82 bombs; 4,500 Mk-83 bombs;
<><>50 BLU-113 bombs;
<><>4,100 GBU-39 Small Diameter bombs;
<><>1,500 Mk-83 Paveway kits;
<><>700 BLU-109 Paveway kits;
<><>3,000 AGM-114K/R Hellfire Missiles,
<><>250 AIM-120C Advanced Medium Range Air-to-Air Missiles;
<><>and 500 DSU-38A/B Detector Laser Illuminated Target kits for JDAMs.

The proposed sale of this equipment will provide Israel
<><>the ability to support its self-defense needs
<><>enable Israel to maintain operational capability of its existing systems
<><>and will enhance Israel’s interoperability with the United States.

Israel already has these munitions in its inventory, and will have no difficulty absorbing the additional munitions into its armed forces.

All questions regarding this proposed Foreign Military Sale should be directed to the State Department’s Bureau of Political Military Affairs, Office of Congressional and Public Affairs, pm-cpa@state.gov.


7 posted on 12/05/2023 9:06:26 AM PST by Liz (Women have tremendous power — their femininity, because men can't do without it. Sidney Sheldon)
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To: Rummyfan; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; BraveMan; ...

Correct. The same thing happened in 1973, when Labor was enjoying the end of their long run of power in the Knesset.


8 posted on 12/05/2023 9:11:33 AM PST by SunkenCiv (Putin should skip ahead to where he kills himself in the bunker.)
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To: Rummyfan

Did the author miss this article? Not so much hubris as traitors & colluders against Netanyahu & the Israeli gov’t

https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/381191


9 posted on 12/05/2023 9:19:06 AM PST by nuconvert ( Warning: Accused of being a radical militarist. Approach with caution.)
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To: Responsibility2nd

So you’re saying Israel didn’t pay attention to those dates either.

One big eff up.


10 posted on 12/05/2023 9:29:01 AM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: dragnet2

Let me restate my comment....

Before we go pointing fingers at Israel as a result of the CLAIM THEY DID not ACT on intel about 10/7.....

It’s easy to be a Monday Morning Quarterback. I do not know if Israel disregarded intel or not. It’s just been said that they did. I don’t think that’s the case.


11 posted on 12/05/2023 9:33:29 AM PST by Responsibility2nd (A truth that’s told with bad intent, Beats all the lies you can invent ~ Wm. Blake)
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To: Rummyfan

Not buying this story. Too many questions remain to be explained and should be investigated. Exactly how did these tapes happen to go missing?

Critical IDF surveillance videos from Hamas’s attack on Oct. 7 missing
https://www.jpost.com/arab-israeli-conflict/article-776318


12 posted on 12/05/2023 9:35:40 AM PST by jimwatx
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To: Liz

Thank you.


13 posted on 12/05/2023 9:39:40 AM PST by Robert A Cook PE (Method, motive, and opportunity: No morals, shear madness and hatred by those who cheat.)
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To: Rummyfan

AMERICANS are even more dismissive about THEIR ENEMIES.


14 posted on 12/05/2023 9:46:20 AM PST by ridesthemiles
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To: Rummyfan

Brussels? I once talked to an American who was lucky to be alive after he took a shortcut through a Muslim neighborhood in Brussels.


15 posted on 12/05/2023 9:51:21 AM PST by Verginius Rufus
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To: Robert A Cook PE

y/v/w


16 posted on 12/05/2023 9:53:02 AM PST by Liz (Women have tremendous power — their femininity, because men can't do without it. Sidney Sheldon)
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To: Rummyfan

hubris vs hebrews

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/4190149/posts?q=1&;page=1

* warning *

not - for - pc - feint - of - heart


17 posted on 12/05/2023 9:58:06 AM PST by Firehath (Quackery - An irrelevant simplification / undetected Complex problem - attacking symptoms)
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To: Rummyfan

An IDF officer showed me a map of Gaza, and a map of Arab lands. He explained in detail how they would deal with Gaza in 2005. He said they cut it into sectors. Push a road from the fence to the sea. They they would clear it above and below ground, one sector at a time, usually from 3 directions. So this did not happen until October 7th. Every has a plan. Just because Isreal knew of the plans didn’t give them the right to... how about Nuke Iran because Iran has stated they will nuke Tel Aviv. Everyone knows Iran’s stated goal to nuke Israel. So what about Gaza... it appears Israel has used kid gloves with this population but maybe not the next time.

All the BS about they let it happen. It is a matter of when with Iran and by proxy Hamas, Hezbolla, etc. Since we know by this author’s viewpoint, Israel should have dealt with a know threat a year ago.

‐—————————
Israel is a patient people.

That IDF officer also said the Arabs finance the Palestinians because it’s all they can do. Israel he said doesn’t make threats, but they have warned that any Arab nation who attacks by military means will will learn the destruction of fire. They leave it to imagination as to what can do that. Periodically Isreal warns Syria that it will destroy Damascus completely with fire.

He said if Tel Aviv or Isreal proper where destroyed, all the lands of the Arab people who forever be uninhabitable, and that every Arab worldwide will be hunted and put to death. That of Jews by various Arabs make the blood liable something without end.

In the Middle East, this has always been the way, until the British got involved.

When he showed me the IDF Maps it was shown with pin point grid square like coverage over 500 targets. These targets were of equal distance in each direction. He said no bird or animal would live there, anywhere.

I presume only a thermonuclear detonation would provide a basis for attacking ever, square inch of land mass.

But don’t get your hopes up, Israel did target all Muslims like in the Pacific Island nations.

I imagine that Detroit and Columbus should be considered Arab lands. The American Arab Congress is at Ohio State University. Oh well they deserve it if it comes for allowing it.


18 posted on 12/05/2023 10:42:44 AM PST by Jumper
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To: Rummyfan

Biden and his handlers hate Bibi and Israel. He’ll I think Biden’s team thought they could leverage Ukraine aid if they bundled it with Isreal, so they gave a green light to Hamas. Biden could not allow the Abraham Accords to succeed.

I remember Entebe and him losing his brother, and Netanyahu loves his country— you can’t have that.


19 posted on 12/05/2023 10:48:04 AM PST by Jumper
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To: Liz

Israel already has the F35 and they gave special modification program platforms that allow extended range, different payload/fuel configurations. They are doing with the F35 the same thing that led to the Arrow Missile Program. I got to spend countless hours at the Arrow Field Office with my wife, and we coordinated the reduction of 20 TS Safes stored locally into storage thru the embassy, where I got to handle the dip pouch as a part of my normal duty.

The F35 that Israel has is under license and treaty agreement to be modified with monthly data reported back to the proponent USAF office for AC development.


20 posted on 12/05/2023 10:57:53 AM PST by Jumper
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