Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Army War College Report Predicts Mass Casualties in Near-Peer Fight Against [Russia] - Analysis
Substack ^ | Oct 2, 2022 | Simplicus the Thinker

Posted on 10/03/2023 8:04:12 AM PDT by Vlad0

A few weeks ago the U.S. Army War College released a paper which was an urgent call for the U.S. armed forces to adapt to the modern style of warfare being innovated in the Ukrainian conflict.

The paper made the rounds due to some startling admissions, which we’ll get to. But what’s most important to understand is that it represents a general shift in thinking that’s propagating throughout the entire sphere of the Atlanticist West, and was released in concert with several other key thinktank pieces and policy shift announcements from the EU, NATO, etc., which holistically represent an internal panic deep within their structures, resulting in an urgent need for a strategy change.

And this point is one of the central themes of the War College paper itself. Its opening preamble can be summarized in a single sentence: the current time period marked by the Ukrainian conflict represents the largest “inflection point” in 50 years of military history. The authors believe that the Yom Kippur War of 1973 was the previous most impactful inflection point. They recount how the U.S. army was demoralized by its experience in Vietnam, and inability to meet its objectives, followed by Israel almost losing to a Soviet-equipped Egypt in the Yom Kippur War.

(Excerpt) Read more at simplicius76.substack.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Government; Russia
KEYWORDS: draft; propaganda; russia; troll; vladtroll; war
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-99 next last
To: dfwgator

“I should have had the very same misgivings about the Gulf War at the time, but then I used to believe the “Rs” were the White Hats.”

True, that was the other part, that Kosovo was a Democrat ‘project’. But we should have known, as very, very, few Republicans had any objections. They signaled that we’re dealing with a Uniparty, at least when it comes to starting wars and bombing innocents, but we missed the signal.


61 posted on 10/03/2023 10:01:32 AM PDT by BobL (I own an F150 so that I can tow my boat all day Saturday and look Manly)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 53 | View Replies]

To: dfwgator; srmanuel
I should have said...

We also still had our manufacturing base to easily convert factories into making planes, and tanks. And that actually started well before Pearl Harbor, to aid Britain.
62 posted on 10/03/2023 10:01:45 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 59 | View Replies]

To: BobL

Tony Blair called it, “The First Progressives War”


63 posted on 10/03/2023 10:03:28 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 61 | View Replies]

To: dfwgator

The arms and legs may have two different opinions about this.


64 posted on 10/03/2023 10:04:13 AM PDT by firebrand
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: The Louiswu
This “war” is leading to this country’s demise, there are no peacemakers, the hawks rule now.

Reagan was no "hawk", the "hawks" felt betrayed by Reagan when he agreed to meet Gorby in Reykjavik.

65 posted on 10/03/2023 10:04:45 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 56 | View Replies]

To: PGR88

First thing to go in a world war, are all the satellites, rendering all the weapons that rely on them useless.


66 posted on 10/03/2023 10:05:56 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 43 | View Replies]

To: ProtectOurFreedom

True that.


67 posted on 10/03/2023 10:12:00 AM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Procrastination is just a form of defiance)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 57 | View Replies]

To: Vlad0
Hey. This is just what we need... a Trillion $$ war with Russia where we have little national interests, lose masses of troops and equipment, wreck our fragile economy, and probably end up with millions dead in a disastrous nuclear exchange.

That is certainly worth it to "secure" the contested Ukraine eastern border while we are being overrun by millions of military aged men on our own southern border.

Yup, it's precisely what we need!

68 posted on 10/03/2023 10:24:30 AM PDT by Gritty (The issue is never the issue. The issue is always the Revolution. - Saul Alinsky)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Vlad0

Somewhere Delmar G. Simpson is smiling at the thought of all the cute suburban gals being drafted into the Army. This will make “Aberdeen” look like a convent. Draft the cheerleaders and leave the football team at home. What a joke as history repeats itself: https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/local/longterm/library/aberdeen/aber3.htm


69 posted on 10/03/2023 10:59:12 AM PDT by MSF BU
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Wallace T.

Red or blue state is irrelevant really. Go by county. There are areas in California, Maryland and Massachusetts every bit as conservative as anywhere. Likewise there are quite a few very liberal voting areas in Texas, Mississippi and Iowa. It all boils down largely to ethnicity and heritage.


70 posted on 10/03/2023 11:02:34 AM PDT by MSF BU
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies]

To: Wallace T.
All banks need access to the ACH and Visa/Mastercard to function. If they are cutoff for non-compliance, your checks are no good, your credit cards are no good, your ATM card is no good.

Massive resistance would require almost immediate replacement of the banking, transportation, and other systems. The only way that could happen is organized resistance by a state or group of states and even then the dislocation would be horrific with most large employers being unable or unwilling to meet payroll, pay suppliers, etc.

And they could still raise troops from blue areas no matter how unpopular because if you hold political power from the barrel of a gun political unpopularity doesn't matter much. And they will blame us for the problem to increase the motivation of new recruits.

There is no example of "massive resistance" succeeding without a solid plurality of the country's elite pushing for it. As Machiavelli noted, the vast majority of people simply wish to be left alone and our own revolution would have gone nowhere without a substantial portion of the elites going along with it and having a ready political instrument in the form of the colonial governments and militias at hand. Show me where that is now and maybe I'll believe you.

71 posted on 10/03/2023 11:04:47 AM PDT by pierrem15 ("Massacrez-les, car le seigneur connait les siens" )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies]

To: Vlad0; All
Everyone in the military knows this, which is why they are starting the drumbeat to restore the draft. (Military conscriptions).

Or we could just STAY OUT OF IT.

Never mind.Put in the draft. Draft Auntie Fah, BLM, and all the feminists. They will all get their wish to fight for the radical left and uniparty in Russia.

🍿

72 posted on 10/03/2023 11:21:25 AM PDT by Pajamajan (Pray for our nation. Never be slave in a new Socialist America )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MSF BU
The Eastern Shore of Maryland and inland and far northern California are conservative, but they would have state governments that would be pro-war even if the sheriffs were anti-war. It would be tough to resist a draft there. The blue areas of the red states, like Austin, would be incapable of supporting the Feds, especially if the state governments limit their authority. Texas and other conservative states have hamstrung liberal cities on matters like zoning laws and LBGTQ preferences. Cities and counties are the creation of state governments, in other words, they lack any sovereignty.
73 posted on 10/03/2023 11:23:35 AM PDT by Wallace T. ( )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 70 | View Replies]

To: GailA
They will have to draft, and that means 18-year-old girls too.

But, as you point out the current selective service laws don't include girls, so they don't have to register. So they wouldn't be eligible for the draft if it restarted tomorrow. The draft boards wouldn't have any information on them.

As far as conservatives go, it's an interesting problem:


74 posted on 10/03/2023 11:28:56 AM PDT by Vlad0
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 58 | View Replies]

To: Wallace T.

My experience of rural Northern California is that the State has a hard time enforcing their edicts there. It’s a big place and their aren’t a lot of LEOs, especially State LEOs to cover it. The local sheriffs (for instance) tolerated industrial scale marijuana farming there for 20 years before the State finally capitulated and legalized it.


75 posted on 10/03/2023 11:32:13 AM PDT by Vlad0
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 73 | View Replies]

To: pierrem15

No one is going to resist squat because there is no political movement sufficiently organized to arrange any effective resistance. Individual acts of resistance will simply be crushed a will any attempt to organize an effective resistance

—————-
Institute a draft and this will change.


76 posted on 10/03/2023 12:00:47 PM PDT by NavyShoe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Vlad0

More Americans would be killed in a war with Russia, than with Afghanistan.

Not really a surprise.

Also, more Russians would be killed in a war with America, than with Ukraine.

Also not a surprise.

Add in the rest of NATO, and Russians would be getting killed at a still higher rate.

Indeed, the remnants of Russia’s military would not last very long against NATO - call it two weeks.


77 posted on 10/03/2023 12:36:29 PM PDT by BeauBo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ProtectOurFreedom

This will not change any time soon, if anything it will only get worse. Unfortunately a good portion of the public is drawn to socialism like moth’s into a flame and are too ignorant to realize the dangers until it’s too late. And we are right in the process of doing just that. Too bad that people who want no part of it are sucked right into it as well.


78 posted on 10/03/2023 1:30:24 PM PDT by Saintgermain
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 55 | View Replies]

To: srmanuel

Sending your troops into a non-Nato country at war, then having them attacked, does not trigger a NATO response

Article 6


79 posted on 10/03/2023 1:49:58 PM PDT by silverleaf (Inside Every Progressive Is A Totalitarian Screaming To Get Out” —David Horowitz)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: Saintgermain

“Unfortunately a good portion of the public is drawn to socialism like moth’s into a flame and are too ignorant to realize the dangers until it’s too late. And we are right in the process of doing just that.”

I have an idiot 30ish niece who told my sister “My generation cannot wait until your generation is dead.” It never once occurred to me to tell my mother and father that. Their parent had been through WW I, my mom & dad had been through the depression and WW II, they secured freedom in the 50s and the communists started stealing it in the 60s. Their project is nearly complete.

I hear so many young people say they want nothing more than to work for the government! It is beyond pathetic.


80 posted on 10/03/2023 1:53:29 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (“Occupy your mind with good thoughts or your enemy will fill them with bad ones.” ~ Thomas More)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 78 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-99 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson