The national polls do not give us the state by state breakdown,.
You need state by state polling, to make projections for the electoral vote.
Historically, blue states have voted higher percentage to democrat candidate. Assuming that still holds true, if Trump is polling higher in a national poll, statistically he will be polling much higher in red states and somewhat higher in purple states, to make up for the lag in blue states.
‘You need state by state polling, to make projections for the electoral vote.’
since I already know that, my point is that braying about polls more than a year away is pointless...