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Polling guru Nate Silver warns Biden could be just one 'McConnell moment' from losing in 2024
Fox ^ | 09/05/2023 | Jeffrey Clark

Posted on 09/05/2023 7:05:38 PM PDT by Drew68

Pollster Nate Silver warned Democrats and the "expert class" that President Biden’s distinction as the oldest-serving president in history at age 80 is a source of "valid concern" for voters.

"If the expert class doesn’t understand that Biden’s age is both a real concern for voters and a valid concern, they’d better be prepared for getting a second Trump term instead," Silver wrote in an analysis piece on Sunday.

"This election is probably going to be close, and [former President] Trump might be only one Biden-has-a-McConnell-moment away from winning," he added.

Pollster Nate Silver warned Democrats and the "expert class" that President Joe Biden’s distinction as the oldest-serving president in history at age 80 is a source of "valid concern" for voters. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster, File)

Recent polling from AP-NORC, Silver wrote, indicate that Americans overall are far more concerned about Biden’s age than Trump's, even when weighed against partisan political divisions. Trump turned 77 in June, while Biden will turn 81 in November.

"[T]he differences can’t entirely be chalked up to partisanship — 74 percent of independents also said that Biden was too old, while just 48 percent said that of Trump," he wrote.

Silver, who is also a trained statistician, argued that even numbers on death show that Biden is at higher risk than Trump. "By age 78 —Trump’s age in 2025 — the risk has roughly doubled to 4.9 percent," Silver wrote, referring to risk of death. "At 82 — Biden’s age if he’s reinaugurated in 2025 — it’s increased further to 7.3 percent. And the risk of dying is 11.0 percent by age 86, which would be Biden’s age at the end of his second term."

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2024; 2024election; biden; election2024; joebiden; natesilver; trump
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To: Drew68; DIRTYSECRET

There is a difference between a Senator, who is one of 100, and a Governor or President who is one of one.


41 posted on 09/05/2023 10:44:50 PM PDT by Reverend Wright ( Everything touched by progressives, dies !)
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To: Drew68
"It's not the people who vote that count, it's the people who count the votes."

Or who fake the votes. And the people who fake the votes are 100% behind Biden (or any Democrat who might replace him.)

42 posted on 09/06/2023 5:10:08 AM PDT by Sooth2222 (“Toute nation a le gouvernement qu’elle mérite.” /"Every nation has the government it deserves.” )
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To: Drew68

Who cares what the numbers are,Biden doesn’t know where the Hell he is,Trump does,case closed


43 posted on 09/06/2023 5:42:20 AM PDT by ballplayer
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To: Drew68

Biden is not running anything,the Obama’s are,all his crooks are running the White House


44 posted on 09/06/2023 5:43:53 AM PDT by ballplayer
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Nate Silver doesn’t count all the dead people and parking-lot voters who will rally as JoBama’s electorate.


45 posted on 09/06/2023 10:11:09 AM PDT by JJBookman (Democrats = Party of 81 million )
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To: AnthonySoprano

...he however own the majority share in over 20 Ukrainian shell companies.


46 posted on 09/06/2023 10:14:21 AM PDT by JJBookman (Democrats = Party of the Mukachevo candidate )
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To: Drew68

Biden has had 20 moments.
If Nate is worried, this would explain why the DNC is worried.


47 posted on 09/07/2023 7:23:26 AM PDT by Zathras
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