Posted on 09/05/2023 7:05:38 PM PDT by Drew68
Pollster Nate Silver warned Democrats and the "expert class" that President Biden’s distinction as the oldest-serving president in history at age 80 is a source of "valid concern" for voters.
"If the expert class doesn’t understand that Biden’s age is both a real concern for voters and a valid concern, they’d better be prepared for getting a second Trump term instead," Silver wrote in an analysis piece on Sunday.
"This election is probably going to be close, and [former President] Trump might be only one Biden-has-a-McConnell-moment away from winning," he added.
Pollster Nate Silver warned Democrats and the "expert class" that President Joe Biden’s distinction as the oldest-serving president in history at age 80 is a source of "valid concern" for voters. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster, File)
Recent polling from AP-NORC, Silver wrote, indicate that Americans overall are far more concerned about Biden’s age than Trump's, even when weighed against partisan political divisions. Trump turned 77 in June, while Biden will turn 81 in November.
"[T]he differences can’t entirely be chalked up to partisanship — 74 percent of independents also said that Biden was too old, while just 48 percent said that of Trump," he wrote.
Silver, who is also a trained statistician, argued that even numbers on death show that Biden is at higher risk than Trump. "By age 78 —Trump’s age in 2025 — the risk has roughly doubled to 4.9 percent," Silver wrote, referring to risk of death. "At 82 — Biden’s age if he’s reinaugurated in 2025 — it’s increased further to 7.3 percent. And the risk of dying is 11.0 percent by age 86, which would be Biden’s age at the end of his second term."
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
You mean how many MORE precisely?
Not sure how “leftist” Silver is these days. He has been straying from the reservation on a lot of issues of late, particularly on Covid and the vaccines.
As long as the Dems sign the welfare checks he will get the votes. Brain dead or not.
Thanks to Bidenomics, those welfare checks aren't going nearly as far as they used to. And these are the voters who are struggling the most with inflation, gas prices, rent increases, utility bills, etc.
They may not come out for Trump in 2024. They may just stay home. "Biden is old and weird and everything is so expensive."
Heck, his voters can be dead. Vote early, vote often; death is no excuse.
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I highly doubt it.
He’s been lost, said he spoke to dead people the night before, asked dead people to stand up, said he’s running for Senate, spouted pure gibberish, lied his ass off daily, claims he cured Cancer, said something about a quartermaster in the women’s lingerie section, and did the lying, dog/faced pony soldier.
They always cover for him and tell us what he likely meant.
Biden saw a girl in a bathing suit and he lost his mind, deviated from the Secret Service route and crashed his bike. They gave us the Camera angle that hid the girl.
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And that’s no surprise to anyone!
That’s how bad it is!
Look at Fetterman. The Left rages on Hate.
I expect them to start using a double in key situations if they haven’t already.
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They’ll do whatever it takes.
They’ve already used the earpieces.
On Nov 23 2020 RCP had Biden at 51.2 % and Trump at 44%. The popular vote resulted in Biden up 4% of the total vote. In effect RCP pumped up Biden by 3.6%. I still think the election was stolen in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia and Arizona. Biden probably did win the popular courtesy of California and New York. I am convinced he did not win the electoral college by valid votes in those 4 swing states.
Being a democrat is better than having a license to steal it’s a license to do anything. The entire deep state runs interference for them.
Michigan too. Bank it l was there.
And of course polls are not genuine.
And more importantly, the bulging majorities in California, New York and other blue states means the others are quite close. Hillary won the popular vote but the electoral ones counted.
When Newsom or someone is ready at the right time the Dems will pull the plug on Joe. Not until.
And Biden WON’T be the nominee so this stuff will be moot.
On Nov 23 2020 RCP had Biden at 51.2 % and Trump at 44%. The popular vote resulted in Biden up 4% of the total vote. In effect RCP pumped up Biden by 3.6%. I still think the election was stolen in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia and Arizona. Biden probably did win the popular courtesy of California and New York. I am convinced he did not win the electoral college by valid votes in those 4 swing states.
And in 2016, RCP had HIllary up by 3.2% with a final of 2.1%
IIRC, Trump has the lead in both the popular and electoral vote for several days while California slowly counted their millions of votes, before giving the meaningless popular vote victory to Clinton.
If that were true Biden’s lead would be even larger.
If Biden loses even one percent of his support in six swing states it’s over for him.
IT NOT HIS AGE! IT HIS DEMENTIA! many 80 year olds are sharp as a tack, intelligent, independent and fully capable. They are saying age so that they can attack Trump later.
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