Posted on 06/23/2023 10:09:24 AM PDT by SoConPubbie
The poll, published Thursday, shows that Trump and Biden are neck-and-neck in a rematch of the 2020 election. While 43.5 percent of voters would back Biden, 43.4 percent would support Trump.
The margin between the two was decided by one respondent, with 441 choosing Trump to 442 selecting Biden. Another 8.9 percent of voters would back a different candidate, while 4.2 percent are undecided.
🇺🇲 2024 Presidential General Election
Joe Biden: 44% (+1)
Donald Trump: 43%
.
Joe Biden: 43% (+6)
Ron DeSantis: 37%
.
Donald Trump: 41% (+1)
Joe Biden: 40%
Cornell West: 6%Emerson (A-) | June 19-20 | 1,015 RVhttps://t.co/CPhqOb6VdE pic.twitter.com/fXMaKuaIvk
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 22, 2023
When People’s Party presidential candidate Cornel West is factored into the race as a third-party candidate, he takes 5.8 percent of the vote, while Biden drops to 40.3 percent and Trump leads the way with 41.4 percent.
DeSantis trails Biden by nearly six points in their hypothetical race, at 42.5 percent to 36.7 percent. In that scenario, nearly 14 percent of respondents would vote for someone else, and almost seven percent are undecided.
A plurality of 41 percent thinks Biden will win reelection, while 33.2 percent predict voters will place Trump back in the White House. Roughly one-in-four respondents expect someone else will prevail.
Trump continues to dominate the Republican primary field, although DeSantis has seen a slight boost in support since Emerson’s April poll. Currently, Trump sits atop the crowded field with 58.7 percent, followed by the Florida governor at 20.6 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
2024 National Republican Primary
• Trump — 59% (+38)
• DeSantis — 21%
• Pence — 6%
• Haley — 4%
• Christie — 2%
• Ramaswamy — 2%
• Scott — 2%
• Burgum — 1%
• Hutchinson — 1%Emerson (A-) | June 19-20 | RVshttps://t.co/CPhqOb6VdE pic.twitter.com/kvrfHUkQR2
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 22, 2023
It’s not believable that Cornell west would get 6%.
I actually like Ramaswamy but I’m a Trumper all the way
Yeah, the only poll that finds Trump trailing also is the one that finds Trump outperforming DeSantis. Translation: They found the most partisan people to poll.
That really doesn’t matter. Even though Trump performs better against Biden in polls, we’re led to believe RdS has better chance because the dems will only cheat against Trump. If RdS is the nominee it’ll be an honest winnable election so vote the Uniparty ticket.
What did Ross Perot (the spoiler) get when he ran a SECOND time, dropping out for a bit near the end then rejoining the race?
Polls mean absolutely nothing unless something is done to prevent fraud. It’s as if everyone has already forgotten about 2020 and 2022.
These pull are all about manipulation. One day they say one thing then a day later they say the opposite. One will say that Trump is smearing Desantis, but not Biden, and that Desantis could beat Biden. Then this one will say that Trump will do better against Biden than Desantis.
Polls are manipulative garbage that should be ignored.
It’s frightening that both aren’t at least 10 points ahead. WTF is wrong with people in this country?
Ditto with me...
The country is toast. Same as all other historical empires. They all met their demise one way or the other.
I’m at the point where I don’t believe at thing I read from the media, government or academia.
Yeah. The poll is inaccurate.
Meatball’s number is much lower than 21%.
DeSantis supporters will make up anything to justify him. They don’t realize that only Trump can unlock a sizable percentage of people who loathe the globalist libertarianism that DeSantis donors demand.
“Polls are manipulative garbage that should be ignored”.
While I generally agree with you regarding these early polls, there is a larger point to be made. Biden could be at 20% in the polls and still have a viable path to victory! Here is why:
Going back to the Obama era, Democrats strategically directed untold amounts of effort (and hundreds of millions of dollars) into turnout machines in certain inner-city areas in the swing states. In particular, Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee, Fulton County, Clark County, Maricopa County have fine tuned turnout machines, as the populace of those areas are comprised of huge numbers of individuals with an entitlement mentality. To them, the Democrat Party remains the guardian of the welfare state.
That same operation will be alive and well in 2024, such that those few states will determine the outcome of the General Election. (It’s no surprise that Biden held his first rally in Philadelphia). Florida and Ohio have slipped away from the Democrats such that their deploying their turnout machines in those locations is not worth the effort, but such is not true in the aforementioned locations.
As for the polls, it is true that a few of the early polls show Trump with a small lead over Biden, but his share of the electorate is consistently stuck in the mid-40s, and swing state metrics are not highlighted.
Earlier this week, I watched Trump’s interview with Brett Bair, in which he was asked how he intends to win back the suburban female voters that abandoned him in 2020. At that point, Trump would have been well served to talk about his plans to bring back the economy. His response was simply to say that the 2020 election was stolen from him. Relitigating the 2020 election is not a winning strategy!
The only way to overcome the Democrat turnout machine in the aforementioned inner cities is to overwhelm them with a huge turnout of suburban moderates and independents (similar to what Glenn Youngkin did in Virginia in 2021, when he flipped a blue state).
People’s opinions are firmly fixed about Trump. He has a passionate and devoted following, as well as a large contingency that deeply despises him. Unfortunately, his supporters top out at 43-45% of the electorate, and there is no reason to think the swing states will come back to him in 2024. Nothing motivates a strong Democrat turnout like Trump on the ballot.
I understand Trump’s loyal supporters on this forum will condemn this commonsense observation. I supported Trump in 2016 and 2020, but I’m tired of losing. At this point, DeSantis offers the best opportunity to flip the White House red in 2024.
“Polls are manipulative garbage that should be ignored”.
While I generally agree with you regarding these early polls, there is a larger point to be made. Biden could be at 20% in the polls and still have a viable path to victory! Here is why:
Going back to the Obama era, Democrats strategically directed untold amounts of effort (and hundreds of millions of dollars) into turnout machines in certain inner-city areas in the swing states. In particular, Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee, Fulton County, Clark County, Maricopa County have fine tuned turnout machines, as the populace of those areas are comprised of huge numbers of individuals with an entitlement mentality. To them, the Democrat Party remains the guardian of the welfare state.
That same operation will be alive and well in 2024, such that those few states will determine the outcome of the General Election. (It’s no surprise that Biden held his first rally in Philadelphia). Florida and Ohio have slipped away from the Democrats such that their deploying their turnout machines in those locations is not worth the effort, but such is not true in the aforementioned locations.
As for the polls, it is true that a few of the early polls show Trump with a small lead over Biden, but his share of the electorate is consistently stuck in the mid-40s, and swing state metrics are not highlighted.
Earlier this week, I watched Trump’s interview with Brett Bair, in which he was asked how he intends to win back the suburban female voters that abandoned him in 2020. At that point, Trump would have been well served to talk about his plans to bring back the economy. His response was simply to say that the 2020 election was stolen from him. Relitigating the 2020 election is not a winning strategy!
The only way to overcome the Democrat turnout machine in the aforementioned inner cities is to overwhelm them with a huge turnout of suburban moderates and independents (similar to what Glenn Youngkin did in Virginia in 2021, when he flipped a blue state).
People’s opinions are firmly fixed about Trump. He has a passionate and devoted following, as well as a large contingency that deeply despises him. Unfortunately, his supporters top out at 43-45% of the electorate, and there is no reason to think the swing states will come back to him in 2024. Nothing motivates a strong Democrat turnout like Trump on the ballot.
I understand Trump’s loyal supporters on this forum will condemn this commonsense observation. I supported Trump in 2016 and 2020, but I’m tired of losing. At this point, DeSantis offers the best opportunity to flip the White House red in 2024.
I think DeSantis has staked out a strong position to run for Prez in 2028
(which may be the plan, anyway)
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