Posted on 06/19/2023 8:51:44 AM PDT by Mariner
The Institute for the Study of War quoted the head of the Estonian Defense Forces Intelligence Center Colonel Margo Grosberg who said on June 16 that "we won't see an offensive (operation by Ukraine) over the next seven days.”
The Wall Street Journal similarly reported on June 17 that Ukrainian forces “have mostly paused their advances in recent days” as Ukrainian command reexamines tactics.
These reports are consistent with ISW’s recent observations of the scale and approach of localized Ukrainian counterattacks in southern and eastern Ukraine.
Ukrainian officials such as Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Maliar confirmed that counteroffensive operations are ongoing. Soldiers from the 81st and 57th Brigades have told the Kyiv Independent that Ukrainian forces are on the move, slowly advancing on the Russian forces in Donetsk Oblast.
ISW has previously noted that Ukraine has not yet committed the majority of its available forces to counteroffensive operations and has not yet launched its main effort. "Operational pauses are a common feature of major offensive undertakings, and this pause does not signify the end of Ukraine’s counteroffensive," the experts concluded.
(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...
Good analysis!
It’s been a stalemate for the past year. Nothing has changed.
Between now and the end of the year is when the Neocons like Biden and sadly most of the Republicans are the most dangerous.
If this over hyped counteroffensive goes bust like it appears to be, the Neocons will have a hard time explaining and lying about it, I would not be surprised to start hearing talk about US Ground Troop or a coalition of the willing from NATO establishing some type of safe haven for Ukraine or direct confrontation with Russia.
It would be insane to engage in a direct ground war with Russia, that has never stopped these psychopaths before.
A few will make Billions on these ventures—George Soros will love it to see America on the ropes when he dies. Big changes are coming and I fear they will not be pretty ones.
A very comprehensive article on Ukraine’s failed strategy: https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/06/on-the-failure-of-the-ukrainian-counterattack.html#more
and if these failed tactics were dictated by NATO/US military leaders could it be that they reflect NATO/US tactics to be used by our troops. Something to think about.
A No Fly Zone west of the river, and over Kharkiv.
It’s where they have to end up no matter what.
The last two weeks were shaping and probing actions. The main attack is still to come. Yahoo, ISW, and looking up what Colonel Grosberg actually said, all agree on this point.
That is why Russia has a large well equipped Army group in Belarus... just holding positions until they cut the Polish suppy lines to Ukraine.
According to rumors the Poles already have lost tanks crews imanning Leopards. Also a lost of speculation that Polish soldiers are already serving in Ukrainian uniforms.
Ukraine pausing Counteroffensive.
TRANSLATION:
They need more American Taxpayer Billions To Continue.
“The next mission creep may be NATO (likely Polish ) troops in far westren Ukraine to free up Ukrainian troops to move to the front lines.”
Given that Western Ukraine, including Lviv, was Polish from 1920-1939 that is an interesting statement.
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