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Are people still using polls to determine Trump’s electability?
American Thinker ^ | 04/28/2023 | James Swofford

Posted on 04/28/2023 6:56:31 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

There has been a little boomlet recently of talk about how Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is more electable than former President Donald Trump. I have heard this discussion on podcasts, I have read tweets and articles on electability and I have heard electability discussion on talk radio. The genesis of this discussion seems to be a poll of registered voters commissioned by the Wall Street Journal showing DeSantis leads Biden by 3 points, while Trump trails Biden by 3 points.

Ignoring the issue of registered voters rather than likely voters, those are some interesting poll results to some people. At least some people seem to think it indicates something about Donald Trump’s electability. Those people must have short memories.

This is the same Donald Trump who polls said had no chance to win the 2016 presidential election. The winner of the 2016 election was of course Donald Trump. This is the same Donald Trump that polls said was going to be blown out in the 2020 presidential election. That election was so tight the counting dragged on for days until Joe Biden was declared the winner 3 days after the election.

Specifically, in 2016 the final Real Clear Politics average of polls had the Trump vote 3.9 percentage points lower than his final tally. Similarly, in 2020 the final Real Clear Politics average of polls had the Trump vote 3.6 percentage points lower than the final total. (One is welcome to argue and maybe would be right that the 2020 vote totals are suspect, but for sake of this discussion I am ignoring that.) Even more specifically the last NBC/Wall Street Journal poll in 2016 had Trump trailing by 5-percentage points while their last poll in 2020 had Biden with a 10-percentage points behind!

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2024; electability; oyveyron; paulryansboy; polls; trump; trump2024
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To: Drew68

RE: So, why push Trump if it’s already accepted he’s going to lose?

It is the triumph of Hope over experience. Voters are still hoping that the Republican Party will somehow learn from what happened and do something about it the next time…


41 posted on 04/29/2023 7:30:31 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
It is the triumph of Hope over experience. Voters are still hoping that the Republican Party will somehow learn from what happened and do something about it the next time…

And alcoholics hope the next time they crack open a beer, the night won't end with them blacking out and pissing in the closet.

42 posted on 04/29/2023 7:37:06 PM PDT by Drew68 (Ron DeSantis for President 2024. A real conservative.)
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To: DugwayDuke
In the primaries vote for Trump, but if he’s not the nominee then vote for who is. Anything else is a vote for Biden.

I don't agree and I already explained why. If Trump is not the nominee it will be because of the Deep State Rino's, they will be the ones voting for Biden, not me.

43 posted on 04/30/2023 12:32:11 PM PDT by itsahoot (Many Republicans are secretly Democrats, no Democrats are secretly Republicans. Dan Bongino.)
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