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Russia Collapses
KyivPost.com ^ | Saturday March 18, 2023 | Diane Francis

Posted on 03/18/2023 3:57:13 AM PDT by canuck_conservative

What’s known is that $250 billion in capital has left, equivalent to 14 percent of its GDP. One expert guesstimates that Russia’s economy has shrunk from the size of Italy’s to Chile’s in the past year — you wouldn’t know this based on bogus figures fed to the media by Moscow. Economist Janis Kluge of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP) calculates that Western sanctions alone have also “basically shrunk Russia’s economy by 10 percent”, bigger than what happened in the 2009 financial crisis.

What is also known is that immediately after the invasion of Ukraine, an estimated 3.8 million Russians left, according to official figures published mid-year by Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB). In early 2022, there were three waves of departures, including middle class families, political opponents, draft dodgers, millionaires, and IT or other skilled workers... But even if most of these came back, the country suffered another exodus in the fall of an estimated one million after Putin’s announced military conscription. That scale of both mass migrations has also blown a hole in its economy.

.... In 2022, Russia’s military cost US$300 million a day and Moscow raked in US$800 million a day from energy exports. Since the caps began, revenues have fallen to US$200 million a day and head lower....

(Excerpt) Read more at kyivpost.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: 0000asplanned; 3daywarlmao; atlanticcouncil; boggeddown; dianefrancis; donbasquagmire; fakeheadline; genius; globalistjingoism; kievpost; notourwar; propaganda; putinfansragebelow; russia; tacticalgenius; theatlanticcouncil; thechummybot; thekievpost; theneocondayspa; theukraine; ukraine; ukrainefirst
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"... In January, the first full month of oil caps, Russia’s state revenues plunged 46.4 percent and its budget deficit soared to $24.6 billion, according to industry bible Oilprice.com. In February, Russia’s oil-export revenue fell to the lowest level in more than a year as buyers mostly complied with price caps and sanctions, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA), reported Bloomberg....

Worse, each shipment will cost Russia money. Its production cost is at least $45 a barrel and shipments to India or China, its biggest buyers now, cost up to $12 a barrel because it takes weeks to deliver oil by barge halfway around the world. Then there’s insurance expenses which soar. At $60 a barrel, Russia makes no profit and India, for one, is demanding volume discounts and often paying less than $60. Putin’s war has destroyed its energy trade: Europe has switched to natural gas from other nations permanently and there are no pipelines that cheaply can link its oilfields to its big customers in Asia. And there never will be....

Russia is an oil enterprise that’s going broke. In the short run, its economy will continue spiralling downward, triggered by budget shortfalls, devaluation, economic contraction, and more capital outflows. In the long run, Russia’s exports will diminish along with the rouble, causing imports to crater and bring its domestic manufacturing to a complete standstill. Already, companies representing 40 percent of its GDP have closed, its financial markets are in crisis, and Russia cannot attract foreign investment. This is not an economy that’s performing well. This is an economy that is sputtering and dying.

“Russia is in a tailspin,” said Yale University Professor Jeffrey Sonnenfeld in a recent interview with Germany TV network Deutsche Welle. “False data is recycled. Every industrial sector is down, retail is down, and it’s losing $1/2 billion a day on energy exports. Rouble values are another fake number. It is not an exchange-traded currency and there isn’t even a black market for it. It has no value because nobody wants a Rouble.”

1 posted on 03/18/2023 3:57:13 AM PDT by canuck_conservative
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To: familyop

thx for the link!


2 posted on 03/18/2023 3:59:00 AM PDT by canuck_conservative
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To: canuck_conservative

Good—let us declare victory and stop sending billions of Biden Bucks to the Ukraine.


3 posted on 03/18/2023 4:03:54 AM PDT by cgbg (Claiming that laws and regs that limit “hate speech” stop freedom of speech is “hate speech”.)
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To: canuck_conservative

Diane is a known Globalist, always has been

She wants a drastic reduction of the Global headcount from the current number


4 posted on 03/18/2023 4:04:12 AM PDT by Steven Tyler
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To: canuck_conservative
The first casualty of war is the truth.
5 posted on 03/18/2023 4:04:45 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: canuck_conservative

I am surprised by the gullibility of some outlets like Reuters or AP, who report Russian state provided fake numbers as facts.

This is similar to what they used to do regarding Cuba - “according to official Castro statistics Cuba is a prosperous paradise” - ignoring the reality staring at their face.


6 posted on 03/18/2023 4:05:29 AM PDT by Krosan
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To: canuck_conservative

Oh boy! This stuff starts so early on a Saturday morning. I thought propaganda dumps were usually in the evening when there are more viewers.


7 posted on 03/18/2023 4:06:31 AM PDT by redfreedom (You can vote your way into socialism, but you may have to shoot your way out.)
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To: canuck_conservative

“It has no value because nobody wants a Rouble.”

I recall during Reagan’s term, that Iran was counterfeiting US dollars. But even counterfeited dollars were “good” in Russia, because even Russians didn’t want roubles!

O/T: What happened to the former spelling of “rubles”?


8 posted on 03/18/2023 4:09:56 AM PDT by Does so ("Who is Ray Epps?"................should be overstamped on every piece of currency)
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To: canuck_conservative

“It has no value because nobody wants a Rouble.”

I recall during Reagan’s term, that Iran was counterfeiting US dollars. But even counterfeited dollars were “good” in Russia, because even Russians didn’t want roubles!

O/T: What happened to the former spelling of “rubles”?


9 posted on 03/18/2023 4:09:56 AM PDT by Does so ("Who is Ray Epps?"................should be overstamped on every piece of currency)
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To: canuck_conservative
Oil prices are roughly half of what they were at the time of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Basically, Russia is sustained financially through oil and natural gas sales to China and India. In essence, Russia is to China what Ukraine is to the NATO powers. China is aiming at world hegemony and is using this war to weaken the West. While Russia is struggling on the battlefield, the NATO countries are depleting their armaments to keep the Ukrainians fighting. The United States and Western Europe lack the industrial capacity to quickly replenish their weaponry. The Western armies are increasingly hollow, crippled by egalitarian dogma and sexual perversion. China knows this and is allowing Russia to grind down the West.
10 posted on 03/18/2023 4:11:45 AM PDT by Wallace T.
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To: redfreedom; Krosan

the numbers don’t lie

Putin is running Russia into the ground with this grinding, expensive, unnecessary war


11 posted on 03/18/2023 4:12:18 AM PDT by canuck_conservative
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To: RoosterRedux

I’ve been saying that constantly since the beginning of this Ukraine war.


12 posted on 03/18/2023 4:15:31 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: Wallace T.
The Western armies are increasingly hollow

Sure, because of all the modern western jets and tanks sent to Ukraine. Not

Poland builds Europe’s largest land force to counter Russian threat

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/03/11/revolution-polish-army-builds-europes-largest-land-force/

13 posted on 03/18/2023 4:15:34 AM PDT by tlozo (Better to Die on Your Feet than Live on Your Knees )
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To: canuck_conservative

bkmk


14 posted on 03/18/2023 4:16:29 AM PDT by sauropod (“If they don’t believe our lies, well, that’s just conspiracy thmkeorist stuff, there.”)
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To: canuck_conservative

.....based on bogus figures fed to the media.

Damn that sounds familiar.


15 posted on 03/18/2023 4:16:31 AM PDT by maddog55 (The only thing systemic in America is the left's hatred of it!)
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To: Does so

I thought the new spelling was “Rubble”.


16 posted on 03/18/2023 4:18:30 AM PDT by DannyTN
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To: canuck_conservative

“budget deficit soared to $24.6 billion, according to industry bible Oilprice.com.”

That’s collapsing?!? Heck, your oligarch masters in DC pi$$ that much away every month on vinyl pants and Uke corruption. Their total national debt is $335 Billion, our is what 30, 33, 35 Trillion. If it wasn’t so dangerous, the comedy show you DC stooges put would be hilarious.


17 posted on 03/18/2023 4:20:23 AM PDT by hardspunned (Former DC GOP globalist stooge)
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To: canuck_conservative

an estimated 3.8 million Russians left, according to official figures published mid-year by Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB).

In early 2022, there were three waves of departures, including middle class families, political opponents, draft dodgers, millionaires, and IT or other skilled workers...

But even if most of these came back, the country suffered another exodus in the fall of an estimated one million after Putin’s announced military conscription. That scale of both mass migrations has also blown a hole in its economy.


Losing 4.8 million people in one year has to put a dent in any one’s country and economy. Thousands of those came to the US via Mexico.

Ironically, 4.8 million is close to the number of illegals that have entered the US since Biden. Odd isn’t it?


18 posted on 03/18/2023 4:20:54 AM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: Steven Tyler

She wants a drastic reduction of the Global headcount from the current number
I say lets start with HER HEAD!


19 posted on 03/18/2023 4:21:24 AM PDT by ronnie raygun
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To: canuck_conservative

Wow, it’s beginning to sound like it’s going to be a clear field for the Ukrainians’ final March to Moscow and GLORIOUS VICTORY! But first they must meet up with five divisions of FRENCH CANADIAN VOLUNTEERS at the eastern Ukrainian border.


20 posted on 03/18/2023 4:21:31 AM PDT by House Atreides (I’m now ULTRA-MAGA. -PRO-MAX)
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