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Resupplying Ukraine: Arms, Aid & Escalation
Perun ^ | 2/5/2023 | buwaya

Posted on 02/05/2023 8:02:01 AM PST by buwaya

Perun analysis of Aid to Ukraine, 1 hour + video-

"Aid to Ukraine has evolved dramatically since February 2022, and there are few topics that have attracted more constant press coverage away from the battlefield itself. So today I try and set out how aid has evolved, who the major contributors are, and the impact aid has had - and may have in 2023."

00:00:00 — Opening Words 00:01:43 — What Am I Talking About? 00:03:21 — From Korea to Afghanistan 00:04:47 — AID PRE-2022 00:05:00 — The Ukrainian Military of 2014 00:08:27 — Made in Ukraine (with some help) 00:09:41 — THE AID ESCALATION 00:10:05 — Phase 1: Stop the Tanks 00:11:08 — Phase 2: Light & Heavy 00:12:10 — Phase 3: Keeping the Lights On 00:12:45 — Phase 4: Enabling Manoeuvre 00:14:31 — Phase 5: Reach 00:15:18 — HOW MUCH AID HAS GONE? 00:20:25 — What is a Thing Worth? 00:21:54 — Personal View - Focus on Type & Qty. 00:22:55 — NATIONAL AID PROGRAMS 00:23:07 — The VANGUARDS 00:23:12 — Leading the Charge 00:23:35 — Leading on Heavy Weapons 00:25:02 — Accepting Risk 00:26:42 — Pushing the Boundaries 00:27:58 — THE CAUTIOUS GIANT: US AID 00:32:11 — The Source of Deterrence 00:33:13 — LET'S TALK ABOUT GERMANY 00:36:04 — German Military Aid 00:37:08 — Messaging & Authorisation 00:39:58 — IMPACT & SCALE 00:40:06 — Finances 00:41:06 — Humanitarian & Refugee Costs 00:42:02 — Military Aid by the Numbers 00:46:36 — OTHER AID TYPES 00:50:40 — CAN IT BE ENOUGH? 00:57:07 — The Numbers are the Numbers 01:00:28 — The Trend So Far 01:01:29 — WHAT IS NEEDED? 01:01:44 — The Ukrainian Requests 01:02:49 — Solution 1: New maneuver 01:04:18 — Solution 2: Fight Like Ukrainians 01:08:35 — THE WEST IN THE DRIVER'S SEAT 01:10:25 — CONCLUSIONS

(Excerpt) Read more at youtube.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: aid; analysis; blueandyellowpompoms; notnatoswar; notourwar; notreatyobligations; novitalinterests; ukraine
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An essential data dump of information on nearly all aspects of international aid to Ukraine. This is a summary of the current state of play, plus a rundown of what's gone down in this area recently.

One cannot speak with credibility on this subject without having closely followed "open source" over the past year - but this video is IMHO an essential catch-up on the entire subject. It is long but necessary. It answers a host of questions and shuts down another mass of uninformed commentary.

Perun is a British/Australian military procurement financial analyst apparently currently based in Taiwan - or so goes the current Youtube wisdom. He has gotten a degree of Youtube fame for his staff-officer type Powerpoint briefings on Ukraine War, based on following "open source", such as military and trade publications.

1 posted on 02/05/2023 8:02:01 AM PST by buwaya
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To: buwaya
Perun is a British/Australian military procurement financial analyst apparently currently based in Taiwan

Hope his bags are packed.

2 posted on 02/05/2023 8:04:19 AM PST by Jim Noble (You have sat too long for any good you have been doing)
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To: buwaya

PFL...thanks for posting.


3 posted on 02/05/2023 8:11:51 AM PST by FtrPilot
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To: buwaya

The deep-state will be unable to start any new “forever wars” in the mid-east or elsewhere.

China, Russia and the BRICS will now have no qualms against feeding weapons to our opponents in such a case.


4 posted on 02/05/2023 8:13:26 AM PST by PGR88 (, )
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To: buwaya

When are you going? It’s time to put your self in the 🥩 meat grinder


5 posted on 02/05/2023 8:16:08 AM PST by JonPreston
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To: Jim Noble

Go watch the video.
The biggest and most annoying problem with you guys is that you are simply LAZY. In my long, long experience, LAZY = worthless.


6 posted on 02/05/2023 8:33:21 AM PST by buwaya (Strategic imperatives )
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To: JonPreston

Go watch the video.
The biggest and most annoying problem with you guys is that you are simply LAZY. In my long, long experience, LAZY = worthless.


7 posted on 02/05/2023 8:33:44 AM PST by buwaya (Strategic imperatives )
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To: PGR88

This is nothing new. Its been happening forever.
Watch the video. You aren’t LAZY, are you?


8 posted on 02/05/2023 8:36:20 AM PST by buwaya (Strategic imperatives )
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To: buwaya

You getting paid to pimp this youtube site?


9 posted on 02/05/2023 8:38:50 AM PST by PGR88 (, )
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To: PGR88

I am being paid from the United States!
(pension, Social Security, investments)

So I am corrupted, certainly.


10 posted on 02/05/2023 8:45:28 AM PST by buwaya (Strategic imperatives )
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To: buwaya

Zelenskyy needs help.


11 posted on 02/05/2023 8:47:17 AM PST by JonPreston
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To: buwaya

12 posted on 02/05/2023 8:52:14 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (The worst thing about censorship is ████ █ ██████ ███████ ███ ██████ ██ ████████. FJB.)
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To: JonPreston

Yes. Watch the video as to why.


13 posted on 02/05/2023 8:54:17 AM PST by buwaya (Strategic imperatives )
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Well, yes, up to a point. Watch the video.


14 posted on 02/05/2023 8:55:02 AM PST by buwaya (Strategic imperatives )
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To: buwaya
We nor NATO have the ability to come close to resupply Ukraine with even 1/10th the firepower the Russians have. We don't have the manufacturing capability and Russia does.

We're wasting billions and depleting our own stockpiles and that is endangering our national security in the event we need to fight a war that does involve our national security.

15 posted on 02/05/2023 8:58:25 AM PST by Kazan
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To: buwaya
Too little, too late image host
16 posted on 02/05/2023 8:58:30 AM PST by CapandBall
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To: buwaya
https://twitter.com/narrative_hole/status/1622203189335400448

What's the media hiding?
@narrative_hole

🇺🇦💀 The medical service of the 77th Airmobile Brigade in Bakhmut reports a very difficult situation and asks for 9 medical vehicles and 500 body bags.
6:59 AM · Feb 5, 2023

17 posted on 02/05/2023 9:06:24 AM PST by Kazan
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To: Kazan

Watch the video.

The capacity, and stockpiles, are there, way beyond the likely needs of a hypothetical continental land war - because this IS that continental land war.

That is also why countries in Eastern Europe have risked large drawdowns of their own stocks - because this IS the main event.

Those stockpiles btw are wasting assets. They need to be replaced with new tech and new materiel.


18 posted on 02/05/2023 9:07:56 AM PST by buwaya (Strategic imperatives )
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To: buwaya
Alexander Mercouris:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0qtsUxdyWxk&t=15s

As Russia Encircles Bakhmut Zelensky No Surrender; US Mulls China Conflict, Rumours of Concessions to Moscow End War

19 posted on 02/05/2023 9:08:30 AM PST by Kazan
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To: CapandBall

Lucky for the US then that it has the stocks to replace its current Army three times over.


20 posted on 02/05/2023 9:09:00 AM PST by buwaya (Strategic imperatives )
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