Why fewer states than ever could pick the next president

CNN ^ | 11/23/2022 | Ronald Brownstein

[ChicagoConservative27]

CNN — The results of this month’s election point toward a 2024 presidential contest that will likely be decided by a tiny sliver of voters in a rapidly shrinking list of swing states realistically within reach for either party.

With only a few exceptions, this year’s results showed each side further consolidating its hold over the states that already lean in its direction. And in 2024 that will likely leave control of the White House in the hands of a very small number of states that are themselves divided almost exactly in half between the parties – a list that looks even smaller after this month’s outcomes.

Stanley Greenberg, a veteran Democratic pollster, speaks for many strategists in both parties when he points to the enormous “continuity among the elections” since Donald Trump emerged as a national figure. “We’ve now gone through 2016, ’18, ‘20 and ‘22 – and all looked pretty much alike,” he says. “And it has locked in the coalitions.”

[nascarnation]

I heard that about Florida 20 yrs ago, yet it actually went red.

[Segovia]

You need to take a look at a PA election return by precint map. The entire state of PA votes conservative with the exception of Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and Harrisburg. Even then, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh has to have 110% voter turnout to keep this state blue.

[DownInFlames]

New Yorkers are now picking CA over FL. Boy are they going to be in for a shock.