These Exit Polls Show How Toxic Trump Is Now

National Review ^ | November 16, 2022 | Dan McLaughlin

[karpov]

Donald Trump announced his 2024 presidential campaign Tuesday night, heavy with the odor of a man fighting the last war. But politics is all about matching the man to the moment. Trump’s moment was six years ago. The nation’s voters have moved on, and if early signs are any indication, Republican primary voters are ready to consider doing so as well.

The 2022 midterms were about as decisive a failure for Trump as it was possible for them to be. Consider, as one item of evidence, the exit polls. Exit polls are not perfect; even though they should have the advantage over other polls of polling only people who actually voted, they still have their known biases and shortcomings. Still, they are the only evidence we get of who voted for whom and why at the time of the actual election, and when they deliver messages in bold, screaming letters, we should listen.

The 2022 exit polls examined the national House electorate and 19 Senate and/or governors races across eleven states — Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. Two of the clearest findings across all of these races are that (1) Donald Trump is profoundly unpopular with the people who voted in 2022 and (2) Trump was a fatal drag on many Republican candidates.

On the first point, look at Trump’s favorability ratings. He is viewed unfavorably by a solid majority of the midterm voters nationally (by a 19-point margin of 58 percent to 39 percent), and in every state polled, even places such as Texas (52 percent disapproval to 45 percent approval), Ohio (53 percent to 44 percent), and North Carolina (53 percent to 43 percent) that he won two years ago.

[grey_whiskers]

You do realize the GOP controls the AZ House and Senate, and not the Dems, right?

[grey_whiskers]

That’s where the fraud was concentrated.

Try drilling a little deeper than the talking points.

There are all kinds of anomalous results at the national and the state levels, indicative of fraud.

Including little things like rental trucks of ballots showing up at the counting centers in the middle of night in Detroit.

[FlingWingFlyer]

Okay. Whatever you say, Hoss.

[DugwayDuke]

central_va wrote: “There is only one candidate that has declared for ‘24 - Trump. So if you continue to trash him now then I will assume you are a Democrat troll.”

So anyone who doesn’t support the first candidate to announce must be a troll? What if they support the second candidate to announce?

[cgbg]

Yup—there are a lot of us old-timers around here who were strong supporters of President Trump...

until a few days ago...

I wonder what changed our minds....

;-)

[central_va]

So anyone who doesn’t support the first candidate to announce must be a troll? What if they support the second candidate to announce?

Ok, who would that be?

[grey_whiskers]

You trolls are never pleased.

When he’s high energy, he’s a name-calling bomb-thrower.

When he’s somber, he’s low energy.

Get rekt.

Some of us remember the days of $2.00/gal gas and no looming war with Russia and low inflation.

[DugwayDuke]

central_va wrote: “Ok, who would that be?”

Quit dodging the questions and answer:

- So anyone who doesn’t support the first candidate to announce must be a troll?

- What if they support the second candidate to announce?

[Kazan]

A Never Trumper posting an article from a Never Trumper from a website that was the original Never Trump website.

[Mr Rogers]

“You do realize the GOP controls the AZ House and Senate, and not the Dems, right?”

You Do realize the Gov can veto bills in Arizona, right? You DO realize minor election reform failed in the LEGISLATURE last year when just 2 Republicans defected, don’t you?

[cgbg]

President Trump was an excellent president.

Unfortunately that plus a pile of Democratic/Uniparty election fraud will only get him a participation trophy in 2024.

We need a Plan B.

[Mr Rogers]

I promise that if Donald Trump wins the primary, I’ll support him and vote for him. Will you do the same for ANYONE who wins the primary?

Or is Trump your God?

[central_va]

Listen butt face. If Pence had announced I would have made few remarks here and there and then let it go. I think Pence is joke. A such it would not require me to be on here all the time trashing Pence.

THESE NEVER TRUMP PEOPLE POUND ON TRUMP 7 x 24. These are not normal people. These asshats are trolls. I think you are one of them. You all are f--ked up people.

[Mr Rogers]

Arizona is not Detroit. It is silly to think it is.

[fuzzylogic]

In 2015/16 I thought I’d never seen anything like it. The media lock-step messaging was insane. For me, this was when they became transparent and the mask came off.

They STILL believe we’re buying what they’re selling. lol.

[MrRelevant]

What republicans actually waste their time taking a poll? Im pretty sure they just make this stuff up as they go along.

[central_va]

I dont know. Having said that if I think for a moment DeoSanctus is anthing like the a$$hat you are then I will not vote.

[AnotherUnixGeek]

He is viewed unfavorably by a solid majority of the midterm voters nationally (by a 19-point margin of 58 percent to 39 percent), and in every state polled, even places such as Texas (52 percent disapproval to 45 percent approval), Ohio (53 percent to 44 percent), and North Carolina (53 percent to 43 percent) that he won two years ago.

This is what concerns me about Trump - I know he will be effective and good for the country as president but can he win in 2024? There is a bloc of voters who can't stand him as a person and will turn out to vote against him no matter who his opponent in the general election is. But it's almost two years until Election Day 2024 - there's a lot of time for minds to change. Polls for 2024 races in 2022 mean nothing.

And unless/until Republicans put together effective ballot-harvesting mechanisms in all of the states that allow such tactics to compete with the Democrats, the Republican candidate will lose no matter who it is - Trump, DeSantis, or anyone else.

[Kazan]

So, Trump is sooo unpopular in Florida and Ohio that the candidates he endorsed in the Senate both won easily? In fact, Vance wouldn't have been the nominate if not for Trump.

But, what is the difference in Florida and Ohio -- free and fair elections. Voter ID required, no mass mail in voting deposited in drop boxes and no ballot harvesting. And, both states finished their election results the night of the election.

[NorthMountain]

National Review has been worthless for years...........

Decades. I let my subscription lapse in 1989. I saw this trainwreck coming ...