These Exit Polls Show How Toxic Trump Is Now

National Review ^ | November 16, 2022 | Dan McLaughlin

[karpov]

Donald Trump announced his 2024 presidential campaign Tuesday night, heavy with the odor of a man fighting the last war. But politics is all about matching the man to the moment. Trump’s moment was six years ago. The nation’s voters have moved on, and if early signs are any indication, Republican primary voters are ready to consider doing so as well.

The 2022 midterms were about as decisive a failure for Trump as it was possible for them to be. Consider, as one item of evidence, the exit polls. Exit polls are not perfect; even though they should have the advantage over other polls of polling only people who actually voted, they still have their known biases and shortcomings. Still, they are the only evidence we get of who voted for whom and why at the time of the actual election, and when they deliver messages in bold, screaming letters, we should listen.

The 2022 exit polls examined the national House electorate and 19 Senate and/or governors races across eleven states — Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. Two of the clearest findings across all of these races are that (1) Donald Trump is profoundly unpopular with the people who voted in 2022 and (2) Trump was a fatal drag on many Republican candidates.

On the first point, look at Trump’s favorability ratings. He is viewed unfavorably by a solid majority of the midterm voters nationally (by a 19-point margin of 58 percent to 39 percent), and in every state polled, even places such as Texas (52 percent disapproval to 45 percent approval), Ohio (53 percent to 44 percent), and North Carolina (53 percent to 43 percent) that he won two years ago.

[grey_whiskers]

They weren’t fixed. A lot of them were never solved, or used as springboards for more fraud (e.g. the ‘Box 3’ ballots which hadn’t been counted, mixed in with bags of already-counted ballots).

And I notice, in all your overweening sanctimonious reply, you fail to even notice that the person responsible for conducting the election was *on the ballot*.

Lying troll status *confirmed*.

[grey_whiskers]

[DownInFlames]

It will show how unelectable Biden really is.

[NorthMountain]

Everyone lies to them

Incorrect.

I don't lie to pollsters.

I tell them "PleasetakemeoffyourcallinglistHaveanicedayThankyouGoodbye" and hang up.

[proud_dad_of_two]

Then tell him to run. As it stands right here right now, Trump has announced his intentions. Where is the 8th Day Wonder? He who hesitates, is lost.

Plenty of time if he wants....but way to take my statement in pieces instead of the whole it was intended. I'm totally sure that was intentional.

[BiteYourSelf]

🐂💩

[BlackbirdSST]

Plenty of time if he wants....but way to take my statement in pieces instead of the whole it was intended. I'm totally sure that was intentional.

If your 8th Day Wonder wants to play, the stage is open. He who hesitates is lost.

[proud_dad_of_two]

If your 8th Day Wonder wants to play, the stage is open. He who hesitates is lost.

He's not "my" 8th day wonder. I personally will vote for Trump in any primary, but if you cannot see Trump's warts and/or cannot pay attention to the metrics of the mid-terms we literally just had, I can't help you. Unlike you, it seems I can separate ideology from the game of politics.

I'll pray for clarity for you, you seem to need it.