Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Senate Poll Averages Overstated Republican Support
Breitbart ^ | 11/10/2022 | WENDELL HUSEBØ

Posted on 11/10/2022 8:11:44 AM PST by ChicagoConservative27

Senate poll averages across eight battleground states overstated Republican support heading into the 2022 midterm elections, an examination of projected outcomes and polling shows.

Democrats on average performed about three points better than pre-election RealClearPolitics polling averages, the Wall Street Journal reported.

Republicans may have assumed that pollsters, just like the establishment media, were biased against Republicans and would therefore understate GOP support like pollsters have in the past.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: averages; overstated; poll; senate
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-42 next last
I bought into the polling about the red wave. Not falling for that again.
1 posted on 11/10/2022 8:11:44 AM PST by ChicagoConservative27
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27
Democrats on average performed about three points better than pre-election RealClearPolitics polling averages, the Wall Street Journal reported.

Mail in voting is the problem. - Those 3 points were overcome by fraud.

2 posted on 11/10/2022 8:13:05 AM PST by frogjerk (More people have died trusting the government than not trusting the government.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Polling sucks. Statical lies.


3 posted on 11/10/2022 8:13:08 AM PST by Captain Compassion (I'm just sayin')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Captain Compassion

Narrative support for fortifying elections.


4 posted on 11/10/2022 8:14:08 AM PST by Bayard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: frogjerk

Exactly- no reason for mass mail in balloting this year or moving forward- except for rat fraud.


5 posted on 11/10/2022 8:17:13 AM PST by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

I warned people about Traflagar from the start...

In PA they were oversampling R’s by 10% and undersampling independents by nearly 30%... and I was mocked and called names and told that I was wrong, and that I was a looney for pointing out that they were so ridiculously far off the registration numbers....

I was even fed the lie that election day turnout doesn’t match registration percentages by folks....

An absolute and demonstrable lie, when it comes to large scale races.. in a statewide or national race, it is a huge exception that the election turnout deviates from the registration percentages by more than a point or so. Don’t know who started that lie, but sadly there are people who believe it.

I found the same deviation happening in other states they were polling, but didn’t follow those as closely.

Every single Trafalgar poll this cycle for PA, consistently oversampled R’s by 10% and undersampled I’s by 30%, every single one.

And I got absolutely flamed for pointing it out....


6 posted on 11/10/2022 8:19:07 AM PST by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: frogjerk

Lol. Mail in is extremely popular in Florida. Problem for other states is too many democrats vote.


7 posted on 11/10/2022 8:20:53 AM PST by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016 democratic )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: frogjerk

Apparently, MAIL IN VOTING also takes it’s toll in time to process the ‘ballots’.

Washoe County (Reno) only processed 4000 ballots yesterday because it is ‘such a slow process.

Same NBC local report said that 61,000 ballots were still left to process!!! THAT EQUALS 15 MORE DAYS !!!!!

UNACCEPTABLE


8 posted on 11/10/2022 8:20:58 AM PST by ridesthemiles
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

The assumed balance was D+2 or 3… with millions if leftist Gen Z voters now on the rolls, this is very likely a D+6 country now, with a few exceptions (e.g. FL, OH).


9 posted on 11/10/2022 8:22:09 AM PST by ScottinVA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator

Mail in is very secure in FL not like in PA or any other crap state.


10 posted on 11/10/2022 8:24:41 AM PST by frogjerk (More people have died trusting the government than not trusting the government.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

The Republicans campaign and wait for voting to be over hoping that the process is honest.

Democrats harvest 100’s of millons in campaign funds, and harvest ballots. Being “helpful types of people” they fill them out while they are at it. Something wonderful happens, they know all who are registered and not. They know who votes or not. They make sure “turnout” is in the 70% even though 45% of people honestly voted.


11 posted on 11/10/2022 8:24:42 AM PST by Glad2bnuts ("None of the people I know who didn't take take the Jab regrets their decision" ZERO)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Hope you voted anyway

What the did is true voter suppression


12 posted on 11/10/2022 8:24:55 AM PST by Nifster (OI see puppy dogs in the clouds )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Glad2bnuts

Hope is not a strategy.


13 posted on 11/10/2022 8:26:18 AM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: God luvs America

Suddenly-—Clark County (Las Vegas) finds 57,000 MORE MAIL BALLOTS IN DROP BOXES????

84,000??? Reports vary-—as usual.

A city that LIVES & DIES on money & doing correct counting cannot count BALLOTS-——SURE—we should believe that !!!

EXACTLY WHERE were these drop boxes???

Why not retrieved Tues evening???

EXACTLY how much VOLUME are we talking about???

IT all fits on my 7 foot dining room table???

IN my bathroom???

ONLY part of that volume will fit inside my 4 horse trailer?
78” wide inside-—78” tall-—19 feet long....

NEVADA is getting hosed AGAIN.......


14 posted on 11/10/2022 8:27:20 AM PST by ridesthemiles
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: frogjerk

See post 6.

Polling was demonstrably off from the get go, and those of us who tried to let people know, were attacked and flamed.

Fraud isn’t why most the GOP did so poorly, particularly in the big races.

Lousy candidates are...

Run a crap candidate, get a crap result.

If there is a race where I would believe fraud happened in large scale, AZ would be my bet, particularly if Kari winds up losing.. but many of these races, fraud is not what cost them victories... lousy candidates did.


15 posted on 11/10/2022 8:28:03 AM PST by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

The old over confidence strategy. It takes a little more than “but Fetterman said... did you hear what Biden said?” to win.


16 posted on 11/10/2022 8:28:45 AM PST by proust (All posts made under this handle are, for the intents and purposes of the author, considered satire.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: frogjerk
"Mail in voting is the problem" No, high turnout of young, motivated, pro-abortion, unmarried women almost entirely accounts for the polling gap. Dems won that group by 37 points.


17 posted on 11/10/2022 8:28:48 AM PST by Wayne07
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

How do you poll for dem cheating?
They obviously did not calculate enough in for that.


18 posted on 11/10/2022 8:31:00 AM PST by right way right (May we remain sober over mere men, for God really is our only true hope. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Independents broke for democrats nationwide. That was not something anyone saw coming.


19 posted on 11/10/2022 8:33:59 AM PST by LongWayHome
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Under 30 voters voted in greater numbers 63-35 for the Ds.
Probably because of abortion “rights”.


20 posted on 11/10/2022 8:42:01 AM PST by nbenyo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-42 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson