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Excess death rates for RepublicanS and Democrats during the COVID-19 Pandemic
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH ^ | 09/2022 | Jacob Wallace, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Jason L. Schwartz

Posted on 10/03/2022 12:41:50 PM PDT by semimojo

Political affiliation has emerged as a potential risk factor for COVID-19, amid evidence that Republican-leaning counties have had higher COVID-19 death rates than Democrat- leaning counties and evidence of a link between political party affiliation and vaccination views. This study constructs an individual-level dataset with political affiliation and excess death rates during the COVID-19 pandemic via a linkage of 2017 voter registration in Ohio and Florida to mortality data from 2018 to 2021. We estimate substantially higher excess death rates for registered Republicans when compared to registered Democrats, with almost all of the difference concentrated in the period after vaccines were widely available in our study states. Overall, the excess death rate for Republicans was 5.4 percentage points (pp), or 76%, higher than the excess death rate for Democrats. Post- vaccines, the excess death rate gap between Republicans and Democrats widened from 1.6 pp (22% of the Democrat excess death rate) to 10.4 pp (153% of the Democrat excess death rate). The gap in excess death rates between Republicans and Democrats is concentrated in counties with low vaccination rates and only materializes after vaccines became widely available.

(Excerpt) Read more at nber.org ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society
KEYWORDS: covaxmortality; covid; democrats; republican
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To: semimojo

“Hello Mr. Smith, time for your booster shot. So let’s have a look at that ol’ voting record to see which shot you get... “


21 posted on 10/03/2022 1:13:32 PM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing obamacare is worse than obamacare itself)
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To: MtnClimber

Makes sense. Republicans went about their daily lives while Democrats stayed home. It doesn’t surprise me Republicans lost more people during the coronavirus time than Democrats did. Plus our electorate is older.


22 posted on 10/03/2022 1:13:53 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016 democratic )
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To: napscoordinator

I am interested in excess deaths from different VAX batch numbers sent to Republican areas. There has been much reported about this, but little hard numbers. Age could also be a factor. Not enough information to make a determination, but the left is obstructing the data so there will be claims of targeting.


23 posted on 10/03/2022 1:22:18 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: semimojo

Did the idiots adjust for age???


24 posted on 10/03/2022 1:26:01 PM PDT by Basket_of_Deplorables (Putin is behaving rationally.The war is on Biden and Obama. )
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To: semimojo; ransomnote; Jane Long

Most likely attributed to treatment protocols given in various locations for different reasons.

Find out their vax status, their political leanings, simply look at their age and decide to deep six them……


25 posted on 10/03/2022 1:28:33 PM PDT by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith….)
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To: semimojo

The weird part is Figure 3. The graphs are separated by pre shot (April 2020 to March 2012) and post shot (April 2021 and March 2022). The bottom legend says percent of county with at least one shot. I missed something here, how do you get a percent of county with one shot > 0% when there is no shot? If I take the March 2022 number for percent of county that got one shot. Then graph one still makes no sense. How does percent of population that got one shot effect death rate before there is a shot?

Ignoring that problem, if I take the second part of the graph and try to get information out of it, I cannot draw conclusions about effectiveness of shots since it is comparing counties with same percentage of first shot. And since it is only Florida and Ohio, cannot draws conclusions about shutdowns or masks.

They claim to account for age. That leaves some difference between red and blue counties that with a large-scale disease, results in higher death rates in red counties. Examples are probably numerous, but population density and per capita incomes are major factors I immediately think of.


26 posted on 10/03/2022 1:28:36 PM PDT by DevonD
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To: Twotone

Yes, and elsewhere there are reported statistics showing higher death and other issues with people that have received the experimental vaccines and experimental boosters.


27 posted on 10/03/2022 1:31:06 PM PDT by Reno89519 (FJB. Respect America, Embrace America, Buy American, Hire American.)
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To: MattMusson

But media can connect any dots no matter how insane and far apart from reality. It’s what they do

Kinda like 6 degrees of Kevin Bacon…..


28 posted on 10/03/2022 1:41:03 PM PDT by Maskot (Put every dem/lib in prison........like yesterday!!! )
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To: semimojo

Weren’t there disproportionate deaths among Blacks from covid? This certainly doesn’t help Democrats.


29 posted on 10/03/2022 1:50:52 PM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: semimojo

Older people tend to vote Republican compared to younger. Who knew that older people also might also tend to have more deaths? Shocking I tell ya.


30 posted on 10/03/2022 1:51:55 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: semimojo

#pureblood4life


31 posted on 10/03/2022 1:56:11 PM PDT by cranked
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To: Reno89519
Yes, and elsewhere there are reported statistics showing higher death and other issues with people that have received the experimental vaccines and experimental boosters.

Where?

32 posted on 10/03/2022 1:59:19 PM PDT by semimojo
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To: AndyTheBear
Who knew that older people also might also tend to have more deaths?

Age is corrected for. They looked at excess deaths.

33 posted on 10/03/2022 2:01:01 PM PDT by semimojo
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To: semimojo

The first, and most important, rule of statistical analysis:

“Correlation does not imply causation.”


34 posted on 10/03/2022 2:04:42 PM PDT by motor_racer ("We're gonna punish our enemies, and we're gonna reward our friends" - Barak Obama)
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To: semimojo

Whatever the truth is about the experimental shot, and it’s still just that, the fact is that the Republicans made their own choices and lived or died by that.

Being a ward of the state is precisely what our ancestors fought against. If that means that occasionally we live with some risk, so be it.


35 posted on 10/03/2022 2:13:16 PM PDT by Regulator (It's fraud, Jim)
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To: Twotone

exactly. the R areas tend to be older, it’s as simple as that.


36 posted on 10/03/2022 2:17:37 PM PDT by es345st
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To: Wuli
Two states do not a national sampling make.

Nope. But it's plenty to gin up phony statistics to serve as fodder for fake news stories.
37 posted on 10/03/2022 2:19:23 PM PDT by Antoninus (Republicans are all honorable men.)
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To: semimojo
The long term is the question.

Too soon to judge.

38 posted on 10/03/2022 2:19:48 PM PDT by Aevery_Freeman (Beware the coming TRUMPster Fire!)
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To: OHPatriot

It’s all manipulated. They barely give out a research grants unless the express purpose is to support a hypothesis that the grant giver wants to show.


39 posted on 10/03/2022 2:24:06 PM PDT by monkeyshine (live and let live is dead)
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Yep them Democrats are gonna vacininate
themselves into a political dynasty. Round'em
up, shoot'em up, keep dem needles punching.
40 posted on 10/03/2022 2:34:10 PM PDT by deport
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