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Hurricane Ian
NHC/NOAA ^ | 23 September 2022 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.


Mash image to enlarge

Public Advisories

NHC Discussion

Buoy Data

Tropical Tidbits


Hebert's Boxes


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricaneian; ian; nautinurse; officialianthread; tropical; tropicalstorm; uhoh; weather
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To: Islander7

Thanks, FRiend!


781 posted on 09/27/2022 5:47:15 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: ARGLOCKGUY

I agree fully.....this is not a storm to fool yourself by. Storm surge is what usually kills people plus if you have to be rescued you’re endangering the Resue crews lifes........this storm is going to plant a lot of water on already wet grounds....run off will be huge as well near rivers etc. where this hits along th coast esepcially.


782 posted on 09/27/2022 5:49:41 AM PDT by caww (O death, when you seized my Lord, you lost your grip on me......Augustine)
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To: metmom

Right.


783 posted on 09/27/2022 5:52:41 AM PDT by FamiliarFace (I wish “smart resume” would work for the real world so I could FF through the Burden admin BS.)
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To: caww

Thanks! I was wondering where NN’s thread was. Looks like the latest track from the Hurricane Center is now closer to last evening’s Euro Model with Ian making landfall just to the south of TBA. Better than the last track for TBA, but now shows it coming ashore as a major hurricane. Very bad news for Manatee County if this track holds. Now that Ian’s eye is just north of Cuba, will be interesting to see which track it takes.


784 posted on 09/27/2022 5:57:52 AM PDT by CatHerd (Whoever said "All's fair in love and war" probably never participated in either.)
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To: caww; NautiNurse
Left notice on other thread to come here to this one.....with link.

I did the same with the other new thread in “Breaking News.”

785 posted on 09/27/2022 5:58:18 AM PDT by CedarDave (Pfizer's boosters: You just turned your immune system's functionality into a subscription service!)
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To: CatHerd

I couldn’t find it for the longst time!

....meanwhile here’s 3 good live cams of St. Augsutine beach with sound

https://www.surf-station.com/st-augustine-hd-wave-cam/


786 posted on 09/27/2022 6:02:07 AM PDT by caww (O death, when you seized my Lord, you lost your grip on me......Augustine)
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To: MtnClimber

Which lake? I used to live on Lake Howard back in the late 60s.


787 posted on 09/27/2022 6:02:59 AM PDT by FamiliarFace (I wish “smart resume” would work for the real world so I could FF through the Burden admin BS.)
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To: NautiNurse

Pace yourself my FRiend. My prayers are with you.

My son’s father lives in Tarpon- he left for Georgia yesterday. He’s never evacuated- bad feeling this time.


788 posted on 09/27/2022 6:08:56 AM PDT by SE Mom
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To: SE Mom

Thanks, FRiend. Listening to Top Gov presser right now.


789 posted on 09/27/2022 6:16:36 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: NautiNurse

Link?


790 posted on 09/27/2022 6:19:53 AM PDT by NeverTyranny
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To: caww
You hit on an important point that most people do not consider when they resist an evacuation and decided to stick it out.

They are not only putting themselves in danger but they are also endangering those who might later be called upon to come out and rescue them. That should be reason enough for everybody deemed to be in an evacuation zone to get out of there.

791 posted on 09/27/2022 6:20:15 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (4,116,490 active users on Truth Social)
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To: FamiliarFace

I live on Lake Hamilton on the east side of Winter Haven. I know the Lake Howard area.


792 posted on 09/27/2022 6:20:46 AM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MtnClimber

I had a friend back in grade school that lived on Lake Hamilton. Fond memories.


793 posted on 09/27/2022 6:22:42 AM PDT by FamiliarFace (I wish “smart resume” would work for the real world so I could FF through the Burden admin BS.)
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To: CatHerd

NHC Just said:

Cat 3 will hit Venice Fl. directly 125 mile sustained winds.


794 posted on 09/27/2022 6:23:21 AM PDT by caww (O death, when you seized my Lord, you lost your grip on me......Augustine)
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To: Joe Brower; All
Breaking: The NHC has issued an update announced during the Gov. DeSantis presser:

Current Ian landfall prediction is Venice in 35 hours, at 125mph.

795 posted on 09/27/2022 6:24:48 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Ron DeSantis is Top Gov)
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To: NautiNurse

Time to get outta Dodge. Prayers for all of you in the path of Ian! We have postponed our trip down to Florida from next week Wednesday. We’ll wait to see how neighbors fare and if they need anything. Plan is to bring cases of water for everyone in our building in Sarasota, when we head down.


796 posted on 09/27/2022 6:26:46 AM PDT by Velveeta
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To: NautiNurse

My daughter and family are gonna ride it out in High Springs. It will be downgraded by then I hope, but still bad. They have a generator, well water, a stocked pantry and a mini-excavator (for tree removal) if needed. She says they will be fine. I hope so. She moved to Florida in 1995 so this is not her 1st rodeo...

Praying for everyone in the path of the storm.


797 posted on 09/27/2022 6:26:57 AM PDT by BamaBelle
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To: NautiNurse

798 posted on 09/27/2022 6:38:39 AM PDT by GreenLanternCorps (Hi! I'm the Dread Pirate Roberts! (TM) Atsk about franchise opportunities in your area.)
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To: rodguy911; NautiNurse
Dumb question: What does 'kt' represent? I see it used all over but cannot locate any clear definition.

Why not just measure windspeed in mph or kph?

799 posted on 09/27/2022 6:40:12 AM PDT by Joe Brower ("Might we not live in a nobler dream than this?" -- John Ruskin)
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To: Joe Brower

Knots, which can be converted to mph.


800 posted on 09/27/2022 6:41:56 AM PDT by FamiliarFace (I wish “smart resume” would work for the real world so I could FF through the Burden admin BS.)
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