Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
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Hebert's Boxes
ps. Thanks for doing these threads.
Hi.
The problem with 2004 was you didn’t have a chance to clean up before the next hurricane hit you/us.
5.56mm
And apparently, the CBS News Feed wants to put all of Florida’s 21 million people into an hysterical state. They say the hurricane will impact “somewhere in Florida,” but as an example, only a couple of those spaghetti tracks go anywhere near Pensacola, where I am. Don’t get me wrong, I’m keeping an eye on it, but I don’t find it likely that I’ll get “broken in” as a new Floridian by this storm.
DNC is licking their chops, ready to pounce if anything goes wrong in Florida so they can blame DeSantis.
Yes, in 2004 I tried to tone down the crack house motif.
My younger sister left Tampa and moved back to her homestead in Indianopolis. She was in Florida helping her son with his new business. My older sister is in Houston. So....
It looks like you're the one expecting company, eh?
I know that your're ready.
Good luck.
LOL.
Nice.
5.56mm
All hail the Euro model... beating the GFS (again).
The real bad news is that “M” (i.e., “Major Hurricane” indicator) appearing on the NHC’s official track this morning at Florida landfall... explosive development expected after Cuba crossing.
From the NHC Discussion page: “Early next week the system is forecast to move near or over western Cuba as a strengthening hurricane and then approach the Florida peninsula at or near major hurricane strength, with the potential for significant impacts from storm surge, hurricane-force winds, and heavy rainfall.”
In Tampa Bay, our fav weather guy retired about a year ago. Steve Jerve is missed, as his replacement is a globull warming alarmist. Will not tune in to WFLA TV news because of him. Another guy used to wear suspenders and jump up and down grinning when a hurricane was on the horizon. Crazy. Fortunately, our second fav weather guy is still working in Sarasota. The national weather TV news is intolerable fear porn.
Sounds exactly like Hurricane Charley. From 110 to 145 MPH in 3 hours before landfall. We can only hope that this storm is as tiny as Charley.
BFLR
Possible Hurricane Charley redux. Ready as can be.
If Nine becomes a US storm (God forbid), he will live stream the chasers as a storm-chasing HQ, talking directly with chasers like Reed Timmer.
The Tropical Tidbits guy Levi Cowan is very calm, like a glass of warm milk.
Wow. What a ding dong. I guess he treats other people's suffering like it was an Irwin Allen movie.
Another good meteorologist is Janice Dean on FOX News. I think she was a little too fond of snow, originally being from Canada, but when Sandy hit us on the East Coast (I was in Maryland back then), she reported on that storm with the sober seriousness that it deserved.
I remember Sandy well. That was the most frightening weather event I went through. We didn't get the direct hit like New Jersey did, but it was bad enough. The damn thing sounded a train, a constant thundering, and I'm sure the winds were easily reaching 60 mph where we were. And that's just a taste of what people can get down here.
That’s for sure!
Of the 4 we evacuated for 2
I remember, lol
“ You are taking your chainsaw on vacation? “
Sure, nothing says laid-back relaxation like a chainsaw.
If that thing does not move any more east I am in good shape. Maybe not my kids however. Problem is you never really know which way its gonna go until its right on top of you.
A good source I have told me we will know sometime on Sunday.
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