Posted on 08/09/2022 1:36:32 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
The towering clouds, the thundering claps, the sudden, torrential downpours: The dramatic summer thunderstorms of the Plains states etch themselves into the memory of anyone who experiences them.
But a new study finds that climate change is likely to affect their flavor. By the end of the century, the commonplace, intense storms that deliver 50 to 90 percent of the southern Plains states’ annual water are likely to occur a little less frequently, while more thunderstorm days both weak and strong will drench the East and Northeast.
Climate scientists have gotten better and better at “downscaling” the big models or linking them up with fine-scale regional models, revealing how global climate change’s impacts will play out for even small events like hail or thunderstorms.
Using those new methods, a 2017 study pointed out the pattern: High, dry Rockies air could cut off storm formation in some parts of the Plains states, even with plenty of warm, energetic, damp air near the surface, while zones to the East would be ripe for more storms.
The new study pushes the spatial and seasonal subtlety of those projections even further, thanks to ever-increasing computing power. “This is really building the case for this change,” says Robert Jeffrey Trapp, an atmospheric scientist at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champagne. It’s not a wholesale loss, he emphasizes. “There will still be thunderstorms and tornadoes in Oklahoma in 2100. But there may be less.”
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalgeographic.com ...
Then again, I always remember thunderstorms this time of year in the Northeast. Even when I was a small boy and mostly normal people held public office.
BS. Growing up in the Southeast - we are the king of summer thunderstorms my whole life. It isn’t anything new.
My fave
FALSE - Man caused Global Warming Theory has been falsified by their own predictions ALL being proven FALSE. Arctic ice cap completely gone by the summer of 2014 - FALSE, much more ice coverage than in 2012. Greenland ice covering melted - FALSE more than 1 standard deviation higher than the 30 year mean. More intense hurricanes and tornadoes - FALSE. Predicted higher global temperatures in each IPCC report - all FALSE.
I remember when we didn’t ever have thunderstorms. Oh, wait....🌩🌧🌈🌬
For the past week or so, we have had bright Carolina Blue skies with huge white puffy clouds with hardly any haze or chemtrail looking things. I haven’t really seen this since my sister and I were little and we would lay in our pool and point out the different clouds and what they looked like- back in the 1970s.
Climate change is not “Thunderstorms moving East.”
It is a steady, measured change in things like rainfall, temperature, overcast, humidity, etc., over a period of years. If seasonal rainfall goes steadily up or down over a decade you might have climate change.
Oh, a cold front..
I’m old. I remember thunderstorms just like this every afternoon when I was a kid. This is not new nor unheard of in summer weather. We are just going through another weather cycle. My (even older) mother and I were just talking about those afternoon thunderstorms yesterday and how she would let us run around outside in our underwear getting soaking wet. She can’t believe she let us do that, but we sure had fun!
Flowers bloom in Spring.....Summers are Hot.....Fall is cooler streaked with splendid colors....and winter is cold and snowy...and after a couple months...we're praying for Spring.
Repeat....nothing has changed!!
Let’s just say there are more thunderstorms in the East. Today is a perfect example to analyze. Where I am in Pennsylvania the forecast high was 94F. There have been thunderstorms and occasional downpours all afternoon. The current temp is 83F and another storm will momentarily move through. The forecast for 5 pm is rain, 79F. So temperatures are 10 or more degrees cooler. Now imagine that more storms in the East is a real trend. Day after day, month after month, year after year. How does that effect climate change … warming over the long run? I guess these quacks need to stop reading temperature in the East because they’ll have to say we’re in for an ice age with 10 degrees F cooling.
Note: there is zero rigor in my analysis, which is more reliable than so-called climatologists’ models. Models are an abstraction of reality via simplification. They do not predict the future with any statistical confidence.
More humbug from the modelers.
We will all die if we do not send all our money to the government.
OMG! I’m in EAST Tennessee, and there is a thunderstorm in my area RIGHT NOW!!! OMG!
They are fleeing California like everyone else.
Huh. Who knew New Mexico was in the east?
Let me see if I have this right: The people that cannot accurately predict the weather 1 or 2 days in advance are forecasting 70 years into the future and expect me to change my life style and quality of life because of their prdictions?
I named one the other day. Called it Thunderstorm Biden. It made a bunch of noise, broke wind all over the place, took out my power, but in the end just conked out and gave us nothing for the show. No rain.
Genius
Now they’re politicizing the weather.
Another 2 trillion $$$ will keep those darned thunderstorms in their place!
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