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Halfway through the primary calendar, the number of state legislative incumbents defeated in primaries is up 65%
News.ballotpedia.org ^ | 7/7/22 | Douglas Kronaizl

Posted on 07/07/2022 7:42:13 PM PDT by cotton1706

State legislative incumbents are losing to primary challengers at an increased rate this year compared to 2020.

Across the 26 states that have held primaries so far, 132 incumbents—27 Democrats and 105 Republicans—have lost. This represents a 65% increase from 2020 among these states. This increase has been driven by Republican losses, which are up 98% from 53 in 2020. For Democrats, the number defeated this year remains the same.

In total, 5.0% of incumbents running for re-election in 2022 have lost, up from defeat rates ranging from 2.4% to 3.4% since 2014.

At least one state legislative incumbent has lost a primary in 22 of the 26 states that have held primaries.

The percentage of defeated incumbents is highest in Idaho, where 18 incumbents—all Republicans—lost to challengers. That represents 24% of all incumbents who filed for re-election.

In West Virginia, with the second-highest percentage of defeated incumbents, 11 incumbents (11%)—two Democrats and nine Republicans—lost in primaries.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.ballotpedia.org ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 20222election; 2022election; election2022; elections
Keep in mind these figures do not include legislators that decided to retire on their own or because they believed they would be defeated in primaries.

Legislative bodies both large and small will be very different next January.

1 posted on 07/07/2022 7:42:13 PM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

We need more of this. More turnover means less influence from the establishment and hopefully less corruption.


2 posted on 07/07/2022 7:54:21 PM PDT by Mr. N. Wolfe
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To: cotton1706

Those numbers are rookie numbers. We gotta pump those numbers up! It is RINO season!


3 posted on 07/07/2022 7:54:43 PM PDT by WMarshal (Neocons and leftists are the same species of vicious rat.)
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To: cotton1706
I'm viewing this as good news. Thanks for posting.

First, probably RINO's are getting the boot.

Second, the article shows that over the past ten years, twice as many R incumbents have been ousted as D incumbents. This gives R's new blood and fresh faces; that's why the R's have a deep bench, whereas the D's have few attractive candidates: either far left crackpots or old crones and geezers in their 70's and up.

Third, turn-over is per se good; it's term limits imposed by the voters.

4 posted on 07/07/2022 7:55:34 PM PDT by T Ruth (Mohammedanism shall be destroyed.)
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To: cotton1706

Drain the swamp.

It’s a Trump slogan but it’s the people’s job.


5 posted on 07/07/2022 8:00:19 PM PDT by Pollard (If there's a question mark in the headline, the answer should always be No.)
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To: T Ruth

I think you have got it right. This is a sign of renewal in the GOP, with the activation of the grass roots voter paying attention at the local and state level. Very good news indeed. MAGA


6 posted on 07/07/2022 8:02:42 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard ( Resist the narrative.)
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To: cotton1706
Keep in mind these figures do not include legislators that decided to retire on their own or because they believed they would be defeated in primaries.
Legislative bodies both large and small will be very different next January.


Also keep in mind that almost half the primaries are for the Democrats who do not have the same dynamic going on. If we break out Republicans only, I am sure the number of defeated incumbents is up more than 100%.
7 posted on 07/07/2022 8:35:28 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana (What was 35% of the Rep. Party is now 85%. And it’s too late to turn back—Mac Stipanovich )
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To: cotton1706; All
Trump's red tsunami of patriot supporters will need to get their new, Trump-endorsed state lawmakers up to speed with the following unconstitutional situation and volunteer a remedy for it.

New state lawmakers first need to understand that much of the so-called "federal" funding that they might find themselves regularly begging Congress for, like their predecessors did, such funding needed to compensate for insufficient state revenues, is arguably state revenues that the unconstitutionally big federal government keeps stealing from the states imo.

More specifically, the post-17th Amendment ratification feds regularly steal state revenues in the form of unconstitutional taxes imo, taxes that Congress cannot reasonably justify under its constitutional Article I, Section 8-limited powers.

All the states need to put a stop to unconstitutional federal taxes by effectively “seceding” from the unconstitutionally big federal government. This effective mass "secession" will be accomplished by repealing the 16th and 17th Amendments.

Once unconstitutional federal taxes are permanently stopped, each state will ultimately find a tsunami of new revenues (imo) that can be use to increase teacher salaries, also salaries of police and fire departments. Let's also include state infrastructure maintenance in that list. Undoubtedly many other social spending programs as well.

In fact, the congressional record shows that Rep. John Bingham, the main author of Section 1 of the 14th Amendment, had indicated that the delegates to the Constitutional Convention had left the care of the people to the states, not the big, bad federal government.

”Simply this, that the care of the property, the liberty, and the life of the citizen, under the solemn sanction of an oath imposed by your Constitution, is in the States and not in the federal government [emphases added]. I have sought to effect no change in that respect in the Constitution of the country.” —John Bingham, Congressional. Globe. 1866, page 1292 (see top half of third column)

Also, Justice Louis Brandeis had seemingly reflected on Bingham's words when he volunteered his "laboratories of democracy" metaphor to emphasized the power of the states to serve the people, ultimately depending on the kind of state social spending programs that the legal majority citizen voters of a given state want.

"[...] a single courageous State may, if its citizens choose, serve as a laboratory; and try novel social and economic experiments without risk to the rest of the country." —Justice Louis Brandeis, Laboratories of Democracy.

Corrections, insights welcome.

Also, Trump's red tsunami of patriot supporters are again reminded that they must vote twice this election year. Your first vote is to primary career RINO incumbents. Your second vote is to replace outgoing Democrats and RINOs with Trump-endorsed patriot candidates.

Again, insights welcome.

8 posted on 07/07/2022 8:42:51 PM PDT by Amendment10 ( )
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To: cotton1706

75.0% of the federal RINOs where Trump endorsed an opponent,
have lost.

I don’t recall anything like that happening before. In
elections past, an incumbent could pretty much count on
a position for life.

This is a move in the Right direction, hopefully.


9 posted on 07/07/2022 11:11:48 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (I pledge allegiance the flag of the U S of A, and to the REPUBLIC for which stands.)
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Comment #10 Removed by Moderator

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