Posted on 06/30/2022 11:30:26 AM PDT by SoConPubbie
Analysts from the Cook Political Report, who predict the probable outcome for U.S. House of Representatives races, updated their rating Tuesday on eight House races, showing six races moving in favor of the Republicans.
The rating changes were made as inflation has continued to skyrocket, and President JoeBiden — who has caused many candidates to go back and forth on if they want his support — has seen a steady stream of low poll numbers.
Most recently, his approval rating is at 32 percent, the lowest in his presidency — with a 57 percent disapproval — on the CIVIQS rolling job-approval average, which gave him a total net approval of negative 25.
Four Districts in California were moved towards the Republican candidate, as well as one in Pennsylvania and one in Rhode Island. The two districts whose ratings moved in favor of the Democrats are in California and Florida.
In one of the more shocking changes from the Cook predictions, Rhode Islands’s open Second Congressional District was moved from “Lean” Democrat to “Toss-up” after a recent poll showed Republican Allan Fung leading all of his potential Democrat opponents in the deeply blue state. Republicans have not won a House seat in the Ocean State since 1992.
Cook also moved California’s Ninth Congressional District, where Democrat Rep. Josh Harder is running from “Likely” to “Lean” Democrat. However, where Harder currently serves, California’s Thirteenth Congressional District, also moved in favor of Republicans as it went from “Lean” Democrat to “Toss-up.”
NEW at @CookPolitical: eight House rating changes, all but two in the GOP's direction. Full analysis (ὑ): https://t.co/1GrCOfo3Mb pic.twitter.com/hghSoGSeHy
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) June 28, 2022
Additionally, California’s Fortieth Congressional District — where Republican Rep. Young Kim is looking for another term — also moved in the
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
TAPIOCA! MMMMM
/random Biden
Polling doesn’t matter.
It’s who or what counts the votes.
When the DEMs retain the Senate and the House this November, then what?
The GOP will take the house, but the Senate will remain equal, even if the GOP picks up one or two we'll still have Romney an Collins.
I believe Josh Harder’s district contains a t least some areas that were represented for years by Rep Damon Pombo. That Central Valley/ Far East Bay Area is lost to us, but not irretrievably so
Six?
A lot can change between now and November but the GOP chances of taking the House back are still good, I think. What they will actually DO when they take it back remains to be seen.
OTOH barring a miracle, best case scenario is probably D+1 in the Senate — PA obviously, which won’t be offset by a pickup in Georgia.
Cook political report is liberal trash. They were predicting a huge dem house sweep in 2020 - they had dems winning something like 26 toss up races. The GOP swept them and gained something like 14 seats. If I was THAT WRONG about something at my job, I be fired on the spot.
Yup they were atrociously off in 2020.
You can't fire Charlie, he owns the company. Plus, he has turned over the Political Report to his rabid Leftist acolytes. He gives occasional very entertaining talks, but is otherwise retired these days. He model was as good as it gets when he developed it, but it is no longer the cutting edge. His Cook Partisan Index (CPI) is still useful.
The House is 98% and I only say that because you never like to say 100%. The rat majority is paper thin and Biden is very unpopular, don’t be a doomer.
In the Senate we have 4 good targets, NV, GA, AZ, NH.
And one at risk seat PA, I don’t see dems as having a chance in NC or WI.
I like our chances.
And yes gaining even 1 seat matters, it would be enough to block Plugs from replacing one of our Justices if the unthinkable happens.
There down to 49 votes right now with senator Leahy breaking his hip. And no senate can not vote virtually only the house. So up to 4 months, democrats can do nothing. Weirdly neither the democrats or republicans are making a big deal about this. In fact, democrats are acting like they still have 50 votes which is odd.
It would be better if Young Kim lost. She’s an awful RINO.
IMO New Hampshire is a very unlikely pickup for the GOP in the Senate, definitely less than AZ or NV. We’ve got some great candidates running statewide in AZ (Masters for Senate), NV not so much.
The polls (yeah, yeah I know.... “polls”) have Johnson in a VERY tough fight, or losing outright, in Wisconsin. It may turn for the better at some point, but you can hardly say Democrats have no chance there.
NC should be a win — a narrow win in a closely divided state, just like 2020 — but the media is going to be pushing super hard 24/7 for the ultra-liberal feminazi who is a privileged minority. Budd better stay focused on winning issues and not be intimidated away from attacking, or he will lose.
Strike the pickup in GA.
The Stacy Abrams Fraud Machine is still in place and ready to claim any statewide race.
Senator Cramer (R-ND) almost severed his finger doing yard work or something, is he back?
You know if we had 50 decent Senators they’d realize that a quorum is 51 and Kamala doesn’t count for that and behave accordingly.
Good point. If the GOP Senators grew a spine they could effectively stop from the RATS from conducting ANY buisness in the Senate.
I had forgotten Leahy was still a Senator. Geesh, he was one of the "Watergate babies" elected in the anti-GOP backlash of the early 70s. How OLD is that dude now, 100? Between him and Bernie, VT practically has an old folks home for a Senate delegation.
Okay... But we got to keep the eye on the prize which is a red tsunmi in November. We need to be at the polling place so Communists can’t steal it...
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.