Posted on 05/12/2022 6:14:01 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
Sixty-five percent of voters think abortion laws should be established by voters and their elected representatives. That’s exactly what will happen if Roe is overturned.
If the Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, the conventional wisdom assumes that will help Democrats. The only question is how much. That assumption is based on years of polling, showing that a solid majority of voters oppose overturning that 1973 ruling. My own polling shows the same results.
However, a deeper look at the data suggests that conventional wisdom may be wrong.
Let’s begin with the reality that any poll asking whether voters want to overturn Roe is meaningless. Why? Because voters don’t know what overturning that decision would mean.
Seventy-seven percent of voters mistakenly think it would make abortion illegal in the United States. Forty-one percent simply don’t know what it would mean (36 percent). Just 22 percent have some understanding of the issue. If people don’t understand what overturning Roe would mean, how can you possibly interpret polling data showing that people don’t want it overturned?
To get a true sense of public opinion, it’s necessary to ask polling questions without D.C. political jargon. When you do that, it becomes clear that most voters will be okay with the result of overturning Roe.
With Roe in place, the abortion laws are set by judges. However, 65 percent of voters think abortion laws should be established by voters and their elected representatives. That’s exactly what will happen if Roe is overturned. Just 18 percent want to preserve the status quo.
If Democrats truly believed voters were with them on this issue, they would celebrate this triumph of democracy. Instead, they are outraged. Perhaps they recognize that overturning Roe will call their bluff and highlight the unpopularity of their policy desires.
(Excerpt) Read more at thefederalist.com ...
I’ve noticed the same in discussions with libs over the decades. Some conservatives as well, but mostly libs. The long-standing propaganda campaign waged by the Left designed to make the electorate believe that overturning Roe would result in abortion being outlawed nationally has been enormously successful.
So when they take the Poll, why don’t they first explain the result of overturning it?
While unlikely it isn't impossible. All it would take is a law at the federal level. That's what the Democrats are going to highlight.
Had not expected that misunderstanding to be as high as 77%. Actually expected it to be a minority.
Maybe that 77% will start thinking more about using birth control. Instead of using abortion as birth control. Even though we pretty much know nothing has really changed except it’s all getting kicked back to the states. It’s a win-win.
Does the Constitution contain language that allows abortion to be controlled at the federal level? Or does this devolve to the state level through the 10th Amendment? What does the Supreme Court say?
We shouldn’t care whether this helps or hurts Republican electoral chances. Acting out of fear of a backlash if we win on important issues like abortion has held back the RINOs for decades, and not coincidentally has led to defeat at the ballot box. Doing what is right is good for it’s own sake, and most likely will also lead to success in elections.
Then you are getting into the gray area of "push polling," where instead of asking a straight question, the pollster gives "background facts" designed to elicit a certain response.
Example: "Last month, DNA evidence exonerated an innocent man who was given the death penalty in 1985. Do you think capital punishment should be outlawed?"
It is true that overturning RvW would not mean that all abortions would be outlawed, and many people wrongly believe that, but to point that out in a poll would result in it being labeled as a push poll.
Another issue is, while there are strong feelings on abortion, for how many people is this the penultimate issue in their political life, which will determine how they vote?
And how strong will those feelings be at the time of the November elections?
I know abortion is the only issue and ultimate issue for Chuck Schumer and the political activist class, but, what about actual voters, even liberal voters, those who disapprove of Joe Biden and Democrats?
The left has failed at healthcare, education, and now abortion is anti BLM. The left spent 50 years hailing women and abortion and it is a loser along with CRT and racism.
In his draft Alito calls it a matter for the people and their representatives. He doesn't specify state level representatives and he doesn't exclude federal level representatives.
I just don't see those truly opposed to abortion being happy with a piecemeal solution. Where South Dakota can ban it only to watch their people cross over to Minnesota to terminate their pregnancy. The push for a single solution is already being discussed in Congress and it isn't going to go away.
Libs always speak about a “woman’s right to choose”.
Where is that woman’s right to choose when her pimp forces her to have an abortion so she can keep making money for him?
Where is that woman’s/girl’s/child’s right to choose when her baby daddy forces her to have an abortion so the sexual abuse/incest she has been experiencing can be covered up.
Let’s face it, abortion benefits evil men as much if not more than women.
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