The Democrats must have been doing some really dirty stuff in Ukraine.
With the amount of bombers and artillery Russia has. Im suprised they just havent flattened everything.
If the rumors about Putin’s health are true, he may be retiring to a nice grave sometime soon. And maybe helped along by some generals.
Not sure if its 20k dead Russians. I think its more likely to be 10k.
Once Putin goes under anesthesia …sayonara Putin. From the operating room he goes straight to the mortuary. Patrushev will be Russia’s new boss. And don’t be surprised if he announces a ceasefire and blames everything on Putin.
Oh dear, the Putin golden idol worshippers will have to crawl over more broken glass to prop up his regime now
They’re showing defeat aversion. Kharkiv is unattainable. They’re putting their forces where they can win.
I would think that every soldier ever born, except maybe the great Audie Murphy, would be “casualty averse”.
A Trump win would have denied putin and his shirtless fan boy club the oppurtunity to invade Ukraine.
Its one huge tradon they hate Trump.
I read the Ukrainians are 220km west of the road and rail junctions supporting the Russian’s Izyum offensive. However, I read the orcs did reach the Severyskyi Donets river and threw a pontoon bridge over it. But I assume Ukrainian artillery will wait for some Russians to cross before blowing it.
New YouTube video just put up from Kharkiv.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1c_tybu54VU
Destroyed UKR S-300 Battalion
May 2, 2022
Footage from a destroyed UKR base in Kharkov Region that included a S-300 Btn and at least 1 x Tochka-U Tactical Missile System
Anyone heard if Putin woke up from his surgery?
3 of the best videos I’ve seen in the last couple of days outlining this situation
Michael Weiss commenting
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w1eENwQOp_c
3 guests in India TV show discussing learnings from this war
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uy7qJPZ8Tbw&t=6s
In short, the ascendance of PrecisionGuidedMunitions/Drones/Anti[tank-ship-air-]Missiles and Logistics/CombinedArms.
A Ukrainian counter-offensive pushed Russian forces 25 miles east of Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second largest city, US officials said on Monday night.
—
That’s because the Russians withdrew most of its best troops for the Pincer movement at the Izyum salient. What remains are conscripts in 2nd rate units with low morale. They keep counter attacking none-the-less.
War criminals identified: identification data of scouts of the Russian 64th Motorized Rifle Brigade
https://informnapalm.org/en/war-criminals-identified-personal-data-of-scouts-of-the-russian-64th-motorized-rifle-brigade/
The aversion to casualties is a function of the number of dead generals and senior officers
The quality of leadership has had to significantly decline as officers are forced into command authority and responsibility.
When a whole theater headquarters was wiped out, it has to make a big difference immediately going forward
That article on War Criminals has individual and group photos, backgrounds, passports, other personal data on 50 of them - and that’s just Part 1. All based on OSINT (Open-source intelligence); some comes from a dropped cell phone one guy lost.
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, May 2, 2022
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
**Front line is static
**UA Strategic options:
1 Become 4-5 more efficient - whole system at top has to change - Low
2 Weapons from west over comes Russian weapons advantage - Likely
3 US buying time until West weapons arrive. Needs far more than 90 M-777s. Before war had the UA had 1500 units, but at least 200-400 units lost. Russia has 3000-4000 pieces. UA needs 1000 units to make a quantitive and qualitative advantage, plus the 200-400 units lost.
4. Ukraine has no ammo or shell producing capacity. The West would have to supply several thousand arty units and the several million shells for them to make a real difference.
**UA Failure to have successful offenses:
Killing generals on either side: like troops they are expendable - based on old USSR system. Mediocre quality of top command on both sides is why no real advances on either side: ask no questions, follow orders, follow plans, show no initiative.
**Artillery:
Russian Arty is relatively advanced relative to UA.
1. Orlan-10 Drone not GPA dependent, Flt time is 16 hr, for up to 120-600km, embedded in arty units for fire correction. Fire is exact, precise and destroys UA troops before they get close to Orc lines. System works well and Arty troops well trained on it.
Small RCS. Maybe 3000 units built. Needs imported components. Orcs can’t make more. Uses old software, can only detect large items like tanks, bad at detecting small items like soldiers.
**(Bonus: War criminals identified: identification data of scouts of the Russian 64th Motorized Rifle Brigade, Part 1)
https://informnapalm.org/en/war-criminals-identified-personal-data-of-scouts-of-the-russian-64th-motorized-rifle-brigade/
Open source intel - listing the first 50 of 100 Orcs responsible. Photos and personal data included, group photos. Sources and methodology explained.
Summary:
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead - no expansion today.
- Russian troops are slowly mopping up corner between Oskil and Siverskiy Donets rivers controlled by Ukrainian side before.
- Zaporizhya frontline - no changes today.
1. Kharkiv: Static frontline after yesterday’s exchange of attacks.
**No Changes. Very low quality 3rd rate. Good troops moved to Izyum region.
**Orcs: 200th, 2ndsfB, 138th, 59thTRgt/144thD, 92nd, 37th
**UA: 93rd, 17thBt. 92nd, 113th, Irish/Finnish Vol
2. Izyum bridgehead: No major Russian progress today. It is extremely dangerous penetration by Russian troops that potentially could lead to large pocket for Ukrainian troops west of Donetsk.
**No Changes.
**Orc chances going down everyday. But is still focus of Orc efforts.
**Orcs: 12th EngB, 38th, 76thAD, 6thTB/47thTD, 4thTD, 3rdmD, 21st, 106thAD, 39th, 30th, 24sfB
**UA: 81st, 93rd, 25th, 95th, 128th, 3TB, 95th, 57th, 56th, 24th
**UA 128th in danger of being encircled by the Orc 30th and 24thsfB.
3. Lyman bridgehead. No changes today.
4. Popasna, Rubizhne and Severodonetsk. Russian troops captured majority of Rubizhne. Popasna is about 70-80% captured by Russian troops. Russian mercenaries - Wagner Group operates in Popasna, also Russian 57 brigade operates there as well.
**No Changes.
**Severodonetsk, Rubizhne front stable
**Popasna
**Orc have 1/2 in SSE part; UA has north half
**Orcs: 2AK(4th, 7th, ?), 57thD, Wagner Grp
**UA: 57th, 56th, 24th, 30th
5. West of Donetsk: Avidyivka and Maryinka. Avdiyivaka - never ending attempts of the Russian side to break-through there.
**No Changes.
**Orcs: 1stAK(1st, 5th, 100th, 3?, 9?), 4th MC (Military Camp)
**UA: 25th, 79th, 54th, 53rd
6. Vugledar is in Ukrainian hands.
7. (Zaporizhzhia) Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. Ukrainian strongholds are towns of Gulyaypole and village of Velyka Novosilka. Russian 19D is operating there. Russian troops are consolidating their gains. Also, 42D has been spotted in the area. Russian troops caputred village Vremivka attached to Velyka Novosilka from west and separate by small river. The most northern group of Russian troops has been stopped before village of Vilne Pole.
**Orcs: 4thMC, 19thD, 42ndD
**UA: 109th, 53rd, 503rdBt, 128th, 110th, 35thNB, International and Chechen Vols.
**UA 109th and 110th have suffered significant losses; are falling back as Orcs push southern end of Izyum pincer.
**128th was brought back from Izyum region to stop the Orc 19th and 42nd
**Mixed units on both sides means they are both stretched thin.
8. No new attacks on Orikhiv.
9. Mariupol: opportunity to do a breakout attempt by the Ukrainian forces might have been lost as density of Russian troops increased due to smaller perimeter. Based on other sources, opportunity to break out is still viable.
10. Mykolayiv: No major changes. Both sides on defensive.
**Orcs: 10thsfB, 205th, 126th, 7thMC, 7thAD, 20thD
**UA: 59th, 80th, 14th, 60th