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Belarusian forces will not take part in Ukraine war, Lukashenko says
Reuters via The Business Standard ^ | March 4, 20229:55 AM UTC | John Stonestreet

Posted on 03/05/2022 7:15:40 PM PST by Zhang Fei

Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko said on Friday that the Belarusian armed forces were not taking part and would not take part in Russia's military operation in Ukraine.

(Excerpt) Read more at tbsnews.net ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: biden; minime; moreoldnews; putin; russia; ukraine
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There are rumors on Twitter that Belarusian generals oppose the invasion and officers are urging the lower ranks to desert or mutiny. Lukashenko may be getting cold feet because of the high* rate of Russian losses.

In Afghanistan, Russia cried uncle after an officially-reported 13,000 dead. That was a Russia with almost 2x the population and a government with coercive powers foreign to the current regime. My guess is Russia’s uncle point is will arrive in months, especially given the tempo of losses in Ukraine dwarfs the desultory rate characteristic of Afghan warfare. During Iraqi Freedom, the invasion cost 172 Coalition lives over 6 weeks. The Russians have already admitted to 500 dead in the course of 1 week.

The great side benefit of the EU's relatively open borders for Ukraine is the possibility that Russian deserters can be funneled there. These deserters would presumably get the standard EU refugee stipend while applying for asylum and waiting for their families in Russia to join them.

* Russian losses are low compared to WWII, but this isn't WWII. In WWII, the Russians were threatened with literal extinction. The Nazis literally wanted to kill them all, and starved 2/3 of the Russian POW's in their custody to death, in addition to engaging in killing rampages against millions of Russian civilians.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hunger_Plan

Whereas other Russian wars have triggered mutinies.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1905_Russian_Revolution
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_Revolution

1 posted on 03/05/2022 7:15:40 PM PST by Zhang Fei
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To: Zhang Fei

Lukashenko needs to be hanging upside down from a gas station.

Only problem is, if it happens, most likely the Russians will occupy Belarus.


2 posted on 03/05/2022 7:16:34 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Zhang Fei

Never trust a BeloRussian.
Everyone was counting on them slaughtering the Ukrainians, and then they pull this!


3 posted on 03/05/2022 7:18:14 PM PST by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
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To: Zhang Fei

Belarusian forces are there but fighting for Ukraine, maybe that has something to do with it.


4 posted on 03/05/2022 7:20:32 PM PST by dila813
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To: Zhang Fei

One interesting aspect of this refugee crisis is no refugee camps. Private citizens are driving to the Poland-Ukraine border from all over Europe and lifting civilians out of Putin’s murderous gun sights.


5 posted on 03/05/2022 7:22:07 PM PST by lodi90
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To: Zhang Fei

Putin’s rat has scurried away. Which he has done repeatedly after agreeing to do something Putin wanted him to do but that he viewed as inimical to his interests. May be a good sign regarding which way the wind is blowing.


6 posted on 03/05/2022 7:24:37 PM PST by pierrem15 ("Massacrez-les, car le seigneur connait les siens" )
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To: dfwgator

Just be thankful that that this method of escalation is off the table for now.


7 posted on 03/05/2022 7:26:50 PM PST by hardspunned (former GOP globalist stooge)
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To: Zhang Fei

Problem is that they already took part. Same goes for Kazakh forces. Another thing is that there arent many actual Russians taking part either, lots of central Asians though.

Another possibility is that Putin wants Belarus to host Minsk II, and to have sanctions lifted on it so he can trade with the west, similar to 2014.

Putin is keeping avenues open within the CSTO to trade and do transactions with the West, as some won’t go through the Chinese systems.


8 posted on 03/05/2022 7:26:54 PM PST by Thunder90 (All posts soley represent my own opinion.)
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To: pierrem15

Oh not so fast. Lindsey g is on the job. JB is in the basement and here he comes. Whatever his motivation is.


9 posted on 03/05/2022 7:34:03 PM PST by stanne
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To: Zhang Fei

He’s a puppet.


10 posted on 03/05/2022 7:36:04 PM PST by simpson96
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To: Thunder90
Another possibility is that Putin wants Belarus to host Minsk II, and to have sanctions lifted on it so he can trade with the west, similar to 2014.

I think you nailed it. Now that Kiev is in a stranglehold, Russia doesn’t need Belarus’s troops in the Ukrainian operation. But Russia might need its ally’s help afterward, when Minsk’s clean hands may be beneficial.

11 posted on 03/05/2022 7:37:48 PM PST by Always A Marine ("When you strike at a king, you must kill him" - Ralph Waldo Emerson)
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To: simpson96

Benito Lukashenko.


12 posted on 03/05/2022 7:39:02 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: lodi90
One interesting aspect of this refugee crisis is no refugee camps. Private citizens are driving to the Poland-Ukraine border from all over Europe and lifting civilians out of Putin’s murderous gun sights.

Because they are actual refugees, fleeing an invading Russian army. Their not just people fleeing a s#!+hole country looking for welfare and handouts that will drag their hosts into the sewer.

13 posted on 03/05/2022 7:51:26 PM PST by ETCM
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To: stanne

WAIT,,,WAIT,,,,KAMALA TO THE RESCUE GOING TO POLAND NOW!!!!


14 posted on 03/05/2022 7:54:56 PM PST by Recovering Ex-hippie (The 2020 election Trump victory determines the fate f America and Freedom.)
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To: Zhang Fei

Belarusian forces will not take part in Ukraine, they will take part in the Poland invasion.


15 posted on 03/05/2022 8:07:41 PM PST by DEPcom (Make the enemy live up to its own book of rules)
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To: Williams

What do the belarussians have against The Ukranes?


16 posted on 03/05/2022 9:16:36 PM PST by InvisibleChurch (https://thepurginglutheran.wordpress.com)
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To: InvisibleChurch

What did Italy have against France when Mussolini “plunged the dagger into his neighbor” in 1940?


17 posted on 03/05/2022 9:18:04 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Zhang Fei

I am sorry for the sons of russia and their mothers but I am not sorry they are dead if that is what it takes to repel this naked aggression of Ukraine.

There is no excuse for the attack. None.

Kill more russians. Long live Ukraine!


18 posted on 03/05/2022 9:19:31 PM PST by Sequoyah101 (Politicians are only marginally good at one thing, being politicians. Otherwise they are fools.)
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To: Sequoyah101

Putin is to blame for every death in this war, Ukrainian and Russians alike.


19 posted on 03/05/2022 9:31:16 PM PST by nbenyo
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To: Zhang Fei
In Afghanistan, Russia cried uncle after an officially-reported 13,000 dead.

It's only two weeks and it wouldn't surprise me that at least 5,000 Russian soldiers have been killed in action. Another two weeks like this, it'll be over 10,000. May be twice that number, especially if Russian forces enter Kiev.

20 posted on 03/05/2022 9:47:41 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
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