Why a War Over Ukraine is Unlikely

American Thinker.com ^ | January 28, 2022 | Jacob Fraden

[Kaslin]

The whole world is waiting nervously for developments in Ukraine. Masses of Russian soldiers are engaged in "military exercises" near the Ukrainian border. "Siberian regiments" are being redeployed from the Far Eastern districts, just as they were sent to defend Moscow in 1941.

Russian propaganda stirs up the local population with a patriotic fervor, blaming Ukraine and the collective West for the heat of the international situation. The Ukrainian army, one of the strongest in Europe, is preparing to fight back, and the United States is planning to send eighty–five hundred soldiers to help the NATO countries in Europe. The bowstring is taut and the finger holding it can slip at any moment. The world is tense.

Tense time in the Kremlin

Wars between countries have always started for fairly prosaic reasons: to seize someone else's land or wealth, out of lust for revenge, to proliferate their religion, ideology or political influence. The cause of the current conflict, like a patchwork quilt, includes all these factors: from Russia's imperial desire to expand its holdings to a primitive passion to avenge Ukraine's willfulness. However, if we take a sober look at the situation, none of these reasons alone, or even all of them together, are enough to start hostilities. Even if war breaks out and Russia achieves its military goals, the price of victory will be too high, so is it worth the risk of a Pyrrhic victory?

Although Russia has always been ready to pay the price for its desires, are those individuals who are comfortably ensconced at the top of power willing to pay any price themselves?

A country of mediocrities

Just as in the U.S., which has had a mediocre government for the last year (see my essay on this topic),

[tlozo]

Of course, Belarusians and Kazakhs are not like the Russian people, who are used to a yoke and even love it. Russia's rulers, while not of high intelligence, still understand that a bad example is contagious. That is what they fear most.

The Russian authorities see only two possible solutions to the problem: either to buy off or to scare. The first one: to buy off the people means showering them with handouts. Yet, there is no way to do that — where can they get these freebies? The second solution: to impose on the country some scary disaster, which may unite the people and sweep under the carpet all the lesser troubles. This solution is more realistic: a kind of a sluggish war, or at least the occasional international tension would do.

For this purpose, Russia has long cultivated the image of an enemy who wants to "enslave and rob" the kind-hearted Russian people. The U.S. is perfect for this role. Indeed, say the Czech Republic or Japan would be too small to fit the image of a scary enemy. The Russian people's memory still holds the horrors of past wars, so propaganda feeds them with a made-up fear of NATO, under whose wing the ungrateful Ukrainians are striving to hide. So, they want to say: we must unite against the enemy, tighten our belts, and show Europe and the U.S. our strong fist.

[no-to-illegals]

china will be heartbroken ……

[NorseViking]

Is that a description of what Biden is doing to the United States?

[Candor7]

Invite Pooty to Florida, take him toDisney World and let him brush up onhis diploacy skills at Mar-a-Largo.

Make Pooty feel at home. Why not?

This is why Joe biden is failing. America is not great enough to do that in his line of thinking.

[Gen.Blather]

“This is why Joe biden is failing. “

I find it hard to believe that people use Joe’s name as though he’s actually the country’s leader. Listen to him. He’s in the final stages of mental decline. He isn’t leading anything. At this point, the people propping him up on the world stage are guilty of elder abuse. I think those people can use drugs to push Biden into a few minutes of “clarity” so he can give a speech, but it’s obviously getting harder and harder for Joe to perform.

We do not know who is doing the actual managing of the country. Whoever it is, she isn’t elected. (Yeah, I’m thinking it’s Jill. The first female American president. Well, second, actually, after Edith Wison.)

[griswold3]

The whole world saw the fiasco in Afghanistan. Think anyone believes the current administration has any credibility?
No Confidence

[PIF]

the U.S., which has had a mediocre government for the last year

—

He’s too kind. How much is the BCF (Biden Crime Family) paying him to write nice things about them?

[Eagles6]

Yeah, sounds like it.

[PIF]

You are forgetting Big Mike and VJ to whom Barrack had to defer all decisions ...

[COBOL2Java]

Russian rulers have always selected their subordinates on the basis of having a simpler intellect combined with a stronger loyalty. Having such lackeys, it is safer to rule.

Just like Obama...

[Vaduz]

Ukraine Biden’s war id a diversion for all screw up inflation riots cop murders.........................................

Mao media approved

[Candor7]

We do not know who is doing the actual managing of the country>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

My guess on who is managing the country is Obama, Valerie Jarrett, Susan Rice, and Xi Jen Ping.

Jpe is acting just like any adversary of America would . Internally the Obamoids want to disunify America and reach a critical point of disorder so we can have a “revlooshun.”

I detest these leftists. The remove us from being a COnstitutional Republic to a socialist nanny state with hatred for their own population.