Trump isn’t going to be the nominee. I don’t know who is. But Trump cannot get enough independent voters. Period. If he gets the nomination, he loses.
Plus he will be 79. 4 years past the average males expiration date means stuff goes wrong with no warning.
Don’t vote for anyone over 70.
In most states, independents don't vote in the Republican primaries. In most polls today, independents give Biden less than 30% approval.
Plus he will be 79. 4 years past the average males expiration date means stuff goes wrong with no warning.
Trump was born June 14, 1946. He is currently 75 years old. In November 2024, he will be 78 years old. Life expectancy at birth for American males is 78.18 year old. For males who have reached the age of 78, the average number of years left is 9.43 years.
Of course he can. More importantly, he also attracts a lot of support among DEMOCRATS in key swing states. It's not uncommon for him to have more than 40% of the attendees show up who are NOT registered Republicans.
The problem for Trump is that he has a very tough time attracting a certain type of independent voter -- namely, the suburban dingbat Karen who has her kids locked down 24 hours a day and has a lifetime supply of face masks in her SUV.
‘But Trump cannot get enough independent voters.’
he can get a sizeable amount of them, een those who bailed on him in 2020, just because Biden is a non-starter...
‘Plus he will be 79.’
this is the most salient point of all...the electorate is in the mood for a fresh start, regardless of party; octogenarians do not signal fresh...
that being said, I see DeSantis refraining due to familial concerns...