Posted on 12/29/2021 3:29:06 AM PST by Kaslin
The Democratic Party's problem with Hispanic voters is worse than leaders think, according to a new assessment by the highly regarded strategist Ruy Teixeira. That conclusion is particularly important because Teixeira wrote the influential 2002 book "The Coming Democratic Majority," which convinced many Democrats that a growing Hispanic population -- one that heavily supported Democrats -- was the key to permanent Democratic dominance of American politics.
Now, with Hispanic voters abandoning the Democratic Party in droves, it's all falling apart. "The seriousness of this problem tends to be underestimated in Democratic circles for a couple of reasons," Teixeira writes in a recent Substack article. "(1) They don't realize how big the shift is; and (2) they don't realize how thoroughly it undermines the most influential Democratic theory of the case for building their coalition."
Teixeira's last point is an understatement. The idea of a permanent Democratic majority is based totally on Hispanic voters. No other group is growing at the rate the Hispanic population is growing. When Democrats looked forward to the day when a nonwhite-majority America elected Democrat after Democrat, they were basing it on the growth in the number of Hispanic Americans, coupled with the assumption that those voters would loyally support Democrats. If that doesn't happen, there's no permanent Democratic majority.
And for now, at least, it doesn't seem to be working out. Instead, Teixeira cites several measures of Hispanic voters increasingly supporting Republicans. A new Wall Street Journal poll found them split evenly on the question of whether to support the GOP or Democrats in the 2022 congressional elections. That's a big change from an imposing Democratic advantage in previous races. The poll also showed the Hispanic vote virtually tied in a hypothetical 2024 Joe Biden-Donald Trump rematch -- after supporting Biden by more than 25 points in 2020.
There's more. In Texas, which Teixeira calls "perhaps the Democrats' most prized target" for winning with growing Hispanic support, "Biden's ratings among Hispanics have been dreadful." A recent Dallas Morning News poll found Biden's support at 35% approval and 54% disapproval among Texas Hispanics. Those voters particularly disapprove of Biden's handling of the crisis at the U.S.-Mexico border. Meanwhile, in the Virginia governor's race, Teixeira notes with some astonishment, "Democrat Terry McAuliffe actually lost the Latino vote." That took some work, but McAuliffe accomplished it.
Teixeira also points out that Hispanic voters moved in large numbers to Trump between 2016 and 2020. And not just in Florida and Texas -- the shift was also seen in Wisconsin, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Georgia.
Hispanic voters are particularly cool toward Biden. "Working Class Joe" does not seem to connect with those voters, who are largely working class. Hispanic voters without a college degree "[gave] Trump a remarkable 41% of their vote in 2020," Teixeira notes. That is especially important because about 80% of the Hispanic vote nationwide could be classified as working class.
But it's not just Biden. Latino voters appear to be increasingly turned off by the Democratic Party itself, and particularly by its progressive leaders. That was certainly true in 2020, the year of Black Lives Matter for much of the party. The Democrats' increasing focus on racial issues left Hispanic voters unmoved. And that leads to what is perhaps Teixeira's most important point:
"It is hard to avoid the conclusion that Democrats have seriously erred by lumping Hispanics in with 'people of color' and assuming they embraced the activism around racial issues that dominated so much of the political scene in 2020, particularly in the summer," Teixiera writes. "This was a flawed assumption. The reality of the Hispanic population is that they are, broadly speaking, an overwhelmingly working class, economically progressive, socially moderate constituency that cares above all about jobs, the economy and health care."
Hispanic voters did not want to defund the police. They did not want to slash police budgets or reduce the number of officers. They didn't want to reduce the role of law enforcement in keeping the peace. And they didn't like the idea of reparations. They were, in other words, entirely out of touch with the Summer of BLM.
Finally, many Hispanic voters are repelled by the anti-Americanism of some progressives. Hispanics in a recent survey "said they would rather be a citizen of the United States than any other country in the world and by 35 points said they were proud of the way American democracy works," Teixeira notes. Such opinions, he adds, "contrasted starkly with the negative views of progressive activists."
In other words, Hispanic voters seem to be out of sync with the most powerful trends in today's Democratic Party. Will it last? Who knows? But at this moment, the Democrats' problem presents a huge opportunity for Republicans.
Plan #1: Persuade American citizens that the Democrat Party is awesome and deserves their vote <— this plan failed.
Plan #2: Import millions of illegal immigrants and get them to vote for the Democrat Party <— this plan failed.
Plan #3: Just steal the damn election <— big success.
The regime needs to throw the machine into Brown Lies Matter mode.
Latinx says it all.
Will BLM endorse any Caucasian candidates?
You could go back to 1990s and already then say that two-thirds of all Hispanics lean right on most issues. I don’t see anything new here. Maybe the Democrats thought they could recruit or pump up propaganda but that’s been mostly a failure.
Dream on. Hispanics have voted in the past for Dems over Reps 2:1. Don’t expect that to turn around very much.
Black males are slowly moving Republican, particularly younger ones. Hispanics are moving Republican. The eyes of some suburban women are opening. Who’s holding out? Single white women. And particularly Black women. Many of them tend to be very angry. Have dealt with a number of them in work settings. This close to saying to more than one of them:”Don’t take your missing daddy issues out on me.” Didn’t say it. Knew it would be my job or endless sensitivity training.
It’s true that so, so many have a dedication to the letter “D”.
Polls are irrelevant.. and we’ve seen this over and over.
What matters is who actually votes and as we saw in the last election wbere about 70 million people gave Biden 80 million votes.
Always, there are many exceptions; but largely:
1) Many Hispanics are traditional Catholic, with a moral code that is strict.
2) Many Hispanics have first-hand negative experience with so-called liberal or socialist government.
3) Many Hispanics come from countries where corruption is total, and deeply entrenched.
4) Many Hispanics think “Latinx” is stupid, insulting, and patronizing. (It is.)
5) Many Hispanics came to America amid expensive and difficult and dangerous hardship. There is a Reason they were willing to suffer through that.
6) Nobody is trying to break into Venezuela or Cuba.
I’ve been saying for a few years that democrats thinking they know just who Hispanics are, is a big miscalculation.
They lean right on social issues, but not on economic ones. They are going to vote for the same failed policies from the countries they came from., otherwise they would stay and vote for change in their own coutries.
Always, there are many exceptions; but largely:
1) Many Hispanics are traditional Catholic, with a moral code that is strict.
When the price of gasoline goes up, it hits them as hard as the rest of us. And they don't want some woke white teacher telling them their son is really a girl. And they don't want men in the school little girls' room.
What you’re seeing here is the divergence in two different Hispanic groups: the multi-generational welfare cases that you find in cities, and the ones that have aspirations to just live like Americans and work their way up our socioeconomic ladder.
What we are seeing is an invasion of both legal and illegal “migrants”.
True. That’s pretty much been the history of this country, hasn’t it?
Rinse and repeat. The Communist Party can lose ALL of the black, Hispanic, and criminal vote and still, magically,
garner 55% of any election.
Legal immigrants hate illegals...but the GOP loves cheap labor..
Not a problem! Dominion will simply turn the dial up to a higher number. When it's uncontested what's a little more voter fraud?
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