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Does a Large Navy Mean China Is Going on the Offensive?
https://nationalinterest.org/ ^ | December 20, 2021 | by James Holmes

Posted on 12/25/2021 7:32:43 PM PST by RomanSoldier19

ere's What to Remember: "These analysts see little reason to expect China, historically a continental power, to turn its attentions seaward. But their predictions of Chinese passivity do not hold up under scrutiny. To see why not, consult Mao Zedong, who inscribed his distinctive strategic outlook on contemporary China through his writings on political and military affairs."

Western analysts are fond of describing Chinese foreign policy in terms of the Great Wall. Built to halt incursions along China's northern frontier, the wall was clearly meant for defensive purposes. When they deploy the Great Wall metaphor, Western commentators thus imply that China will content itself with defensive ends and means, more or less permanently.

The unspoken assumption that Beijing will remain on the defensive has tangible consequences for U.S. policy and military strategy in East Asia. It bears reexamining, lest Washington mistake Beijing's actions.

In The Great Wall and the Empty Fortress, for example, Robert Ross and Andrew Nathan declare that China has adopted a "Great Wall strategy" derived from "the perception that one controls territory by surrounding it." Beijing's military strategy, say Ross and Nathan, "is one of protracted defensive resistance" which concedes that likely opponents will have pronounced edges in "mobility, concentrated force, and explosive violence."

Will China apply this Great Wall logic to nearby waters? If it attempts to "surround" and control these waters, will Beijing adopt defensive strategies and tactics? Yes, say Ross and Nathan. American naval mastery leaves China no alternative: "The United States possesses strategic superiority throughout Asia. Its navy faces no challenger," least of all China's.

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalinterest.org ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: ccp
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1 posted on 12/25/2021 7:32:43 PM PST by RomanSoldier19
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To: RomanSoldier19

Is the Pope Catholic?

That’s trick question.


2 posted on 12/25/2021 7:34:22 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum ("Communism is not love. Communism is a hammer which we use to crush the enemy." ― Mao Zedong)
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To: RomanSoldier19

Can’t speak for it. But it looks like a coherent plan.


3 posted on 12/25/2021 7:35:01 PM PST by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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To: RomanSoldier19

China stands no chance against the USN.


4 posted on 12/25/2021 7:40:29 PM PST by Azeem (There are four boxes to be used in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury and ammo.)
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To: RomanSoldier19

bkmk


5 posted on 12/25/2021 7:40:53 PM PST by sauropod (Resident Bidet. A confused old man at the wrong bus stop.)
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To: Azeem

They’ll give them HIV.


6 posted on 12/25/2021 7:43:22 PM PST by Dead Dog
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To: Azeem

“China stands no chance against the USN.”

Agree, we spend more money than they do and they have slanty eyes...therefore they don’t stand a chance!


7 posted on 12/25/2021 7:43:53 PM PST by BobL (I shop at Walmart and eat at McDonald's, I just don't tell anyone, like most here.)
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To: RomanSoldier19

DUH.


8 posted on 12/25/2021 7:47:04 PM PST by Shady (The #JihadJunta is now a Dictatorship, there are no more “laws..”)
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To: RomanSoldier19

China has a huge army, has build many warships including carriers, has produced drones and numerous modern aircraft. Yet none of their personnel, ships, planes or drones have been combat tested or have combat experience especially among their officers. Any large scale hostile deployment of these forces may be very problematic for the Chinese.


9 posted on 12/25/2021 7:49:08 PM PST by allendale
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To: RomanSoldier19

“Does a Large Navy Mean China Is Going on the Offensive?”

It means more targets.


10 posted on 12/25/2021 7:52:05 PM PST by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists Call 'em what you will, they all have fairies livin' in their trees)
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To: RomanSoldier19

China is thinking and planning offensively. However, there are some very important things that they are missing, and they don’t know they are missing them, or how important they are.

1) Ground combat experience. A “green” military (and I don’t mean “eco-friendly”), is going to be brutalized the first time out. Army, Navy, Air Forces, all have to pay in blood to get vital experience.

2) Even Lao Tzu knew that to have a chance, you must know your own side, *and* know your enemy, to have a chance at winning.

3) You can steal technology, but you cannot steal experience. The US has been operating aircraft carriers for over 100 years now. We know how to do it all. Even the Russians were limited in the size of their carrier, because they could not figure out stabilization beyond that size.

4) The US Navy has mastered damage control, which by itself has saved several ships. Repairing a damaged ship is a LOT faster and cheaper than replacing it.


11 posted on 12/25/2021 7:56:36 PM PST by yefragetuwrabrumuy (META - Make Everything Trump Again)
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To: allendale
Our last significant naval war was WW2.

China can outbuild us. They control significant resources we need for ship building and our economy.

12 posted on 12/25/2021 7:59:49 PM PST by ealgeone
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To: RomanSoldier19

Does China running an insurgency and civil disruption campaign in the US indicate something nefarious?

Ya think?


13 posted on 12/25/2021 8:05:19 PM PST by Skywise
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To: RomanSoldier19

Too bad the average Chinaman soldier is a schmuck drone. Cant imagine the quality of their military is much more advanced than the meat curtains they were were in the Korean war.


14 posted on 12/25/2021 8:12:20 PM PST by Wilderness Conservative (Nature is the ultimate conservative)
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To: allendale

Just asking, when was our last large scale naval battle experience against a formidable blue ocean opponent?

I don’t think I’m missing one. 1945?


15 posted on 12/25/2021 8:15:34 PM PST by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
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To: ealgeone

China has made one huge strategic mistake. It has alarmed Japan so much that Japan is rearming. The last thing China needs is a rearmed Japan. Lesser Pacific rim nations are also rearming. China has very few friends in the far east.


16 posted on 12/25/2021 8:15:42 PM PST by jpsb
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To: Wilderness Conservative

Yeah those “meat curtains” almost threw us off the penninsula. At the end of the day, long desperate fighting led to an armistice far below the point we were at when the Chinese entered the conflict.


17 posted on 12/25/2021 8:19:07 PM PST by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
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To: RomanSoldier19

China lacks the ability to project military power. The US projects its power through a second-to-none Air Force and Navy.

China is trying to get the traditional projection force, a navy, up to snuff.

It’s not there yet, but they’re working feverishly to get it there.


18 posted on 12/25/2021 8:19:18 PM PST by Nathan _in_Arkansas (Hoist the black flag and begin slitting throats. )
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To: Wilderness Conservative
Can't imagine the quality of their military is much more advanced than the meat curtains they were in the Korean war.

The problem is that our military is deteriorating under incompetent and malicious political leadership.

It may be a question of who makes the biggest and earliest mistakes. It is unwise to assume that the Chinese military would be a pushover. And they are very good at bribing our politicians. Our guys might just be ordered to stand down and withdraw from any conflicts.

19 posted on 12/25/2021 8:25:36 PM PST by flamberge (Believe half of what you see, and none of what you hear)
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To: RomanSoldier19

Chinese fish food.....


20 posted on 12/25/2021 8:31:44 PM PST by LeoWindhorse
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