Posted on 12/24/2021 8:02:56 PM PST by BeauBo
There are also reasons to believe the models may be dramatically overestimating the ultimate size of the wave, and perhaps reason to believe that, thanks to its immune-escape properties, the Omicron wave may be qualitatively different than those produced by earlier strains...
the Omicron wave has been defined primarily by breakthrough infections and reinfection, rather than new illnesses among the unvaccinated and unprotected. Three-quarters of early U.S. Omicron cases were among the vaccinated or already infected...
This doesn’t mean that Omicron prefers the vaccinated, or that the vaccinated are more vulnerable to infection than the unvaccinated, but that the immune evasiveness of the new variant gives it a much bigger relative competitive advantage over Delta among those with prior immune protection than among the unprotected, among whom it may not be more transmissible than Delta at all...
Delta and Omicron may be sufficiently distinct that the growth of Omicron doesn’t mean the end of Delta, but that the two ongoing waves are running basically in parallel...
it may only be among the vaccinated or previously infected that the new variant has a significant advantage...
This hypothesis may help explain both why Omicron is producing a significant reduction in severe outcomes, at least for now, and why the ongoing Delta wave that preceded it does not yet appear to be receding all that quickly...
Omicron is growing very rapidly, but it seems to be growing on top of Delta, rather than replacing it, which suggests that they might be occupying different spaces.
(Excerpt) Read more at nymag.com ...
"...a shorter generation time, which many of us are speculating about now.
That would mean that what appeared at first to be a genuine transmission advantage could just reflect how fast the reproduction time was. In other words, we thought each Omicron case was infecting more new people than each Delta case had. But it may be that it was just cycling through that transmission cycle much more quickly, so in a period of a week, say, we had twice as many links in the chain of transmission — not that each link was linking out to more chains.
It would mean that you could kind of go up quickly, but also come down quickly."
The O-my-CON was the CCP’s attempt to cancel Christmas.
Take a decongestant, wash it down with chicken soup and get some extra rest.
The left is quickly losing the narrative.
Might as make it a quadratic virus that can only be solved by taking the nano-juice.
It's yet another in a long line of Democrat BS.
Straight from the world god.
“Omi”
Luciferian doing everything he can to imitate.
“The Theo who made the world and all (panta Grk.) (pan)
......for In Him we live (zoe) and move (kinesis) and ARE (essense)...”
Acts 16:24-31
the writer:
Wikipedia: David Wallace-Wells...known for his writings on climate change. He wrote the 2017 essay “The Uninhabitable Earth”, which he later expanded into the 2019 book The Uninhabitable Earth...work has appeared in New York magazine, where he is a deputy editor. He also writes for The Guardian...
He has said that he is optimistic about the earth’s environmental future, but he remains cautious...
Writing in The Guardian in 2021, Wallace‑Wells argues that the scale of climate change adaptation required globally is unprecedented. Indeed, Wallace‑Wells opines that “the world’s vanguard infrastructure is failing in today’s climate, which is the most benign we will ever see again”.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Wallace-Wells
a mention in the socialist New Statesman. Wallace-Wells the “optimist” when it comes to manmade gloBULL warming!
17 Nov: New Statesman: Should the left abandon the Green New Deal?
There are serious questions to ask, but Aditya Chakrabortty’s critique fails to convince.
By Richard Seymour
By 2050, global coal use would have to decline by 97 per cent, oil use by 87 per cent, and natural gas use by 74 per cent.
If this doesn’t happen, the environmentalist ***DAVID WALLACE-WELLS writes, “hundreds of millions of lives” will be at stake. Almost “all coral reefs would die out, wildfires and heat waves would sweep across the planet annually, and the interplay between drought and flooding and temperature would mean that the world’s food supply would become dramatically less secure”.
https://www.newstatesman.com/ideas/2021/11/should-the-left-abandon-the-green-new-deal
Run parallel and combine, Delta, Omicron, and Domicron.
“The left is quickly losing the narrative”.
That’s for certain.
I am not buying the premises of this article, but I can’t reject them either, at this point.
Plausible hypotheses, but time will tell.
The author’s pseudoscience opinions on “climate change” certainly don’t strengthen his credibility.
I looked up the main source for the article (Deepti Gurdasani), and she seems pretty political (Leftist) as well.
The chart you posted @ #5, seems to show Omicron moving without a corresponding slowdown among the other variants, as if they are not competing, but rather are behaving more like separate diseases (when it comes to transmission).
I think there is more cross-immunity with Omicron and the others when it comes to severity, but they don’t seem to impede each other that much, in terms of infection.
My bet is it’s the same basic bug, but it’s losing it’s power to cause serious illness. I.E. like all past flues it’s dying out - the Spanish Flu took a couple years before it petered out until just it’s “A” strain great grandchildren are left as run of the mill, garden variety flues today.
Bookmark
Its a cold
Because of scientific studies that were done in Hong Kong, we know that the virus replicates 70 times faster in the earlier stages of infection, before it gets to the actual lung tissue, where it for some reason replicates much less.
That is why it is more contagious, and also why it is less severe. A lot depends on the actual biology.
Omicrap.
In South Africa it definitely displaced Delta. It became 98%. Less so in the U.K., but heading that direction in the U.S.
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