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OPINION: Historic pro-GOP voting gap revealed, potential 70-seat pickup
washingtonexaminer.com ^ | November 16, 2021 | Paul Bedard, Washington Secrets Columnist

Posted on 11/16/2021 3:53:36 PM PST by Liz

Voters socked by inflation and underwhelmed by President Joe Biden now favor Republicans in the 2022 midterm elections by a historic margin, prompting predictions of the largest gain in House seats in the modern voting era.

The latest Rasmussen Reports survey just out said likely voters favor Republicans over Democrats by 13 points, 51%-38%. The survey found that Democrats are only favored over Republicans among younger voters, black people, Democrats, and liberals.

However, there is a huge 20-point gap among independents who would choose a generic Republican over a generic Democrat by a margin of 48%-26%.

While the questioning is a bit different in the new Rasmussen survey than in past years, the gap is apparently historic and even stronger because the latest survey offered the alternatives of “some other candidate” and “not sure,” said the polling outfit.

Newt Gingrich, who rode an earlier GOP wave to the House speakership in 1994, has been bullish on the chances Republicans would take back control of the chamber. He just upped his prediction to a GOP gain of 40-70 seats. That would top the 63-seat gain by Republicans in 2010, the height of the Tea Party movement and the highest for both parties since 1948.

Citing the winning formula used by Virginia Gov.-elect Glenn Youngkin, Gingrich recently wrote, “I believe an immediate, consistent, and effective Republican application of the lessons of 2021 could lead to a 40- to 70-seat gain in the House; at least a four-seat gain in the Senate; and gains in governorships, state legislatures, and local offices including school boards next year.”

What's more, former President Donald Trump has stepped up his endorsement of candidates. He has a winning record in elections that he has endorsed candidates in. He is also quickly helping to nationalize the 2022 midterm elections as a vote on Biden's performance.

Republicans expect that as the polling settles in among House Democrats, older members will retire rather than face a tough election and loss. Just this morning, California Rep. Jackie Speier, a friend of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and survivor of the Jim Jones murder field in Guyana in 1978, announced she is retiring.

Yesterday, eight-term Vermont Sen. Patrick Leahy announced that he, too, will leave in 2022.

“Think we are going to see a wave between now and before Christmas,” said a GOP campaign official.

The new data and retirements are driven in part by poor polling for Biden, congressional Democrats, and their spend-and-tax plans that are landing as inflation and supply chain concerns are surging.

A memo from the National Republican Campaign Committee, for example, showed weak support for the president’s “Build Back Better” plan to spend $1.75 trillion on social programs.

The survey detailed in the memo shows that voters are more focused on the economy and immigration issues and favor GOP policies over Biden’s.

“Among these economy-focused voters, a generic Republican leads a generic Democrat by a 2:1 margin (58%-29%). When it comes to border security, Republicans hold an astonishing 83-point advantage, 87% Republican to 4% Democrat,” said the memo, posted below.......at web site.


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls; rasmussen
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To: hercuroc

Racist hood-wearing MAGA UFOs from Neptune, coming up in October 2022...


41 posted on 11/16/2021 4:43:23 PM PST by rfp1234 (Comitia asinorum et rhinocerum delenda sunt.)
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To: Liz

That is the excuse the Dems will use when they lose bigly in 2022.
42 posted on 11/16/2021 4:44:58 PM PST by TomGuy (!)
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In political terms the next election is a century away.


43 posted on 11/16/2021 5:09:38 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (“There are no rules here – we're trying to accomplish something.” -Thomas A. Edison )
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To: All

Economic Discontent, Criticisms of Biden Lift the GOP to a Record Early Advantage
ABC News/Washington Compost ^ | 11/14/2021 | LangerResearch
Posted on 11/14/2021, 1:07:35 PM by TexasGurl24

Republican congressional candidates hold their largest lead in midterm election vote preferences in ABC News/Washington Post polls dating back 40 years, underscoring profound challenges for Democrats hoping to retain their slim majorities in Congress next year.

While a year is a lifetime in politics, the Democratic Party’s difficulties are deep; they include soaring economic discontent, a president who’s fallen 12 percentage points under water in job approval and a broad sense that the party is out of touch with the concerns of most Americans; 62 percent say so.

(Excerpt) Read more at langerresearch.com ...


44 posted on 11/16/2021 5:15:35 PM PST by Liz (Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doesn't know which bathroom to use.)
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To: MNJohnnie

Thanks for taking the time to type out the ad hominem. 10 years ago I might have refuted your points. Unfortunately I just find the ad hominem tactic, well, terribly boring. So for the sake of furthering the discussion, let’s assume that you, who have never met me, are correct about my character.

So let’s get back to the issue at hand.

We already know how the GOP has led in the past when it has had power. So what gives us any logical reason to think that this time will be any different? What if anything should lead us to expect anything other than a repeat of Trent Lott or John Boehner?


45 posted on 11/16/2021 5:42:33 PM PST by RKBA Democrat (Culture, culture, culture. Not partisan politics. )
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To: RKBA Democrat

The difference between now and years past is DonaldTrump. Not just endorsements, though they will be a net gain for those who get them. But the fact that Donald Trump showed the people that they could speak up, gave voice to their concerns, and supported the boldness that, eg, led to the Virginia school board rebellion and Dounkin victory. What the Tea Party promised, Donald Trump delivered— he put power in the hands of the people.

The only thing left to the democrats is violent repression. Wait for it after the Rittenhouse verdict.


46 posted on 11/16/2021 5:44:06 PM PST by hinckley buzzard ( Resist the narrative.)
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To: Liz

The key will be replacing Democrat and RINO governors in Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania.

Then getting real election integrity laws with teeth passed in those states quickly.


47 posted on 11/16/2021 5:49:32 PM PST by FLT-bird
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To: Liz
"70-seat pickup"

My first impression was "that's a big truck". Then I read the article and was disappointed.

48 posted on 11/16/2021 5:49:44 PM PST by Senator_Blutarski
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To: Liz

Yeah, but the election is quite a few false flag events away…


49 posted on 11/16/2021 5:50:19 PM PST by Mr. Jeeves ([CTRL]-[GALT]-[DELETE])
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To: MNJohnnie

Bingo! Many of these people are ShareBlue trolls. Their only purpose is to depress conservative turnout.

They were throwing tantrums over the Virginia results and they see their buddies grip on power slipping.

Daddy Soros isn’t going to be happy with them.


50 posted on 11/16/2021 5:52:18 PM PST by TexasGurl24
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To: austinaero

Need to elect enough new conservative real republicans to not capture a paper GOP majority, but to replace all the GOP House/Senate leadership with real conservatives. There is already significant support for making Jim Jordan Speaker so that they could coalesce around him with enough votes. Much less clear who could do the same on the right. There may well be too many RINOs not up in ‘22 for a truly good Senate to be possible. But we need get enough for giant coat tails to drag them over the top in ‘24. Assuming we can manage an honest election then. And our new Speaker, ideally Jordan, needs to think long and hard about how to accomplish as much as possible while potentially having solid control of just the House. And how to sell that because the left will try to blame everything on him.


51 posted on 11/16/2021 5:52:37 PM PST by JohnBovenmyer (Biden/Harris press events are called dodo ops.)
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To: RKBA Democrat

Let’s make the guy who wants President Trump personally sued for 1/6 Senate Majority Leader again. That will MAGA. No doubt.


52 posted on 11/16/2021 6:04:28 PM PST by lodi90
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Don’t underestimate the GOP’s ability to F it up.


53 posted on 11/16/2021 6:06:58 PM PST by bhl
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To: lodi90

When are you going to quit lying and admit you are a Democrat? You have been the number one Democrart Party propagadist since your 1st day here.


54 posted on 11/16/2021 6:13:12 PM PST by MNJohnnie (They would have abandon leftism to achieve sanity. Freeper Olog-hai)
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To: MNJohnnie

Speaking of Democrats. Did you happen to see Romney at Biden’s Marxist infrastructure bill signing ceremony? I voted for Romney. Does that make me a Democrat? LOL.


55 posted on 11/16/2021 6:20:47 PM PST by lodi90
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To: hinckley buzzard

“The difference between now and years past is DonaldTrump. Not just endorsements, though they will be a net gain for those who get them. But the fact that Donald Trump showed the people that they could speak up, gave voice to their concerns, and supported the boldness that, eg, led to the Virginia school board rebellion and Dounkin victory. What the Tea Party promised, Donald Trump delivered— he put power in the hands of the people.”

HB- You make a very good point. I do think Donald Trump was a game-changer. I was an early fan of his from pretty much the escalator. I also think that the swamp flanked him and thoroughly sandbagged him. Is he even all that interested in the 2022 election?


56 posted on 11/16/2021 6:24:44 PM PST by RKBA Democrat (Culture, culture, culture. Not partisan politics. )
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To: lodi90
Your posting history exposes the truth. There is nothing even remotely Conservative or Republican about you.

You are a standard issue leftist Democrat die hard Biden bot. I cannot imagine why you are still here crying about everything like this. The US Federal Government is now run by your dream team.

So take a bow. Take credit for the current Democrat Marxist Party Government you worked so hard all these years to elect

57 posted on 11/16/2021 6:26:45 PM PST by MNJohnnie (They would have abandon leftism to achieve sanity. Freeper Olog-hai)
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To: MNJohnnie

Well, I must admit that I voted for Rubio. He voted to confirm the stolen election and disenfranchised us all in 2020. I guess I’m outed as a Democrat there, too.


58 posted on 11/16/2021 6:45:25 PM PST by lodi90
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To: Liz

A lot of battles will be fought in the next year. Stop playing to hold onto a lead. Fight it out.


59 posted on 11/16/2021 6:46:51 PM PST by nagant
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To: Liz

Only 70 seat pickup I've seen.

60 posted on 11/16/2021 6:58:51 PM PST by Cvengr ( Adversity in life & death is inevitable; Stress is optional through faith in Christ.)
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