Posted on 11/01/2021 11:27:37 AM PDT by TexasGurl24
Now… as for the race itself.
We know based on President Biden’s sagging approval rating that the environment is, frankly, horrible for Democrats. . . McAuliffe will need some Biden disapprovers to win — there may be some disaffected Democrats who nonetheless will vote for McAuliffe, but in a nationalized era, having to win presidential disapprovers is difficult for any candidate. Democrats hope that the polls are underestimating them, as the polls did in the recent California gubernatorial recall. But the trendlines in the Virginia polls have been bad for the Democrats, as several pollsters who have conducted multiple polls of the race have shown earlier McAuliffe leads disappearing in the closing stages. …
(Excerpt) Read more at centerforpolitics.org ...
He consistently projects democrats in the lead in every close race.
Today, he just switched his result.
They are already spinning about how this doesn’t mean much for the midterms. That’s another sign that they are very, very worried.
Come on, Virginia
BTTT
Who’s counting the ballots?
Please vote tomorrow in Virginia!!!!!!
I’m not optimistic after all we’ve learned about extensive election rigging.
I am voting tomorrow and texting everyone who hasn’t already voted.
It’s come down to a 1 point difference, last I heard.
Keep this in mind too.
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“A couple of additional things to watch tomorrow: Because of changes to Virginia law, mail-in and early ballots will be tabulated more quickly than in 2020, so instead of the Republicans jumping out to an early lead, Democrats are likely to. Then it will be a question of whether Youngkin catches up to and passes McAuliffe, and there may be late drama depending on the rhythm of the vote count. Also, for all of the focus on the suburbs, keep an eye on the red, rural counties in central and western Virginia. The turnout and the GOP performance in those areas are a very important part of this story too. So too is Democratic turnout and performance in heavily Black areas, particularly in the Greater Richmond and Hampton Roads regions. In an election that has the potential to be extremely close, it’s never just one place or one group that decides the outcome.”
The biggest issue if there is no cheating is that all the bad information came out after early voting started. A whole lot of Dems voted early, then the education stuff came out. They might be unhappy with him now, but their votes still count.
As I said on earlier thread, Youngkin used his own money to set up a network of election Officers, Poll Watchers, lawyers, hotlines, etc. because he knew this would be like 2020. The Dems were shocked when (R)Poll Watchers showed up at voting places and were nervous because it was all new to them. Youngkin has a legal team in Fairfax County right now ready to do what is needed. I pray it has an effect because the legislature changed so many voting laws that the system can be gamed w/o actual fraud.
Republican votes come in early so the Democrats can see how many they need to win.
They are already spinning about how this doesn’t mean much for the midterms.
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If they lose (and that’s still a big IF) the Dems will simply blame it all on McAuliffe as a terrible candidate. And actually, there’s some truth to that. In Virginia all he had to do to win was avoid making blunders.
While it would be great for Youngkin to pull out a victory its not necessarily a bell weather.
Virginia has mail in voting.
Youngkin needs a miracle.
5.56mm
Early voting is way, way down from 2020.
2.8 million people voted early in 2020.
It’s 1.14 million today and early voting is over.
It will be a real shame if the Republican gets out to an early lead and they have technical issues counting the votes and need to shut down for a few hours and then start counting again only to realize that the Democrat has taken the lead.
I wonder if that will wake all of the Charlie Browns up to the fact that Lucy is never going to hold the ball. My guess is that it won’t wake them up and they will come up with a plan to vote harder next time.
Mail in voting is WAY down.
283k voted by mail.
108k potential mail in ballots are outstanding.
1.02 million people voted by mail in 2020.
Look again. Mail-in and early vote will be counted first this time.
Actually, Younkgin’s campaign told his voters to also vote early because they believe that voting day is when the most monkey business will occur. Dems (Moderate) in a June primary here (who ended up losing to Progressive Dems) said the same thing. I just don’t know the answer to that one.
I can tell you from being at different early voting locations, over the past week, the liens were out the door all day.
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