Defining Away Vaccine Safety Signals

Rounding the Earth Newsletter ^ | 7/26/21 | Mathew Crawford

[tatown]

This means that one vaccine that kills and cripples 20 or 50 or 1,000 times as much as a very safe vaccine will show the same PRR (mild adjustments for variables c and d notwithstanding), and no safety signal will be identified by the CDC. By design.

...

Calling this a safety system is decidedly unsafe. Even worse---given that numerous academics, including statisticians, reviewed this document, it is hard to believe that the scale invariance embedded in the definition of PRR, or the logic that includes meeting multiple criteria at the same time, went unnoticed. It certainly appears that the CDC's goal was to establish an illusion of safety, and a reason to ignore the true signs of danger.

[tatown]

If you are a math geek this one is fun.

[tatown]

Ping

[Jane Long]

Thanks for the ping.

[RitaOK]

Yes... well, right... “IF” I’m a math geek. Lol! 🥴

Great post. Great ammo.

[tatown]

Haha...the punch line is that no matter how many adverse events are documented the CDC formula to alert them of a potential problem will never flash red. It’s even less reliable than a PCR test set for 40+ cycles.

[palmer]

From the article: A safety signal is defined as a PRR of at least 2, chi-squared statistic of at least 4, and 3 or more cases of the AE following receipt of the specific vaccine of interest.

Not only does the PRR need to get out of line for a safety signal to be generated, the use of 'and' instead of 'or' means that other additional criteria must also be satisfied before the CDC self-reports a safety signal!

3 or more cases is a pretty minimal criteria. If they can't find more than 2 cases of something (e.g. head exploding after receiving vaccine), then they should probably just ignore those onr or two cases.

However the rest of the analysis seems sound and means the system is designed to minimize the reporting.

[dadfly]

good post. hadn’t looked at the cdc defintion before. can’t argue with it at all.

money quote:

“Mathematicians and statisticians worthy of the title do not miss the kind of scale invariance or mean-reversion we see embedded in the PRR-—particularly not when working in a dedicated group on a serious problem. There is a pride among geeks in identifying subtle mathematical or logical flaws in a system, and this is not subtle at all.”

[tatown]

Yep it’s pretty obvious that they’ve done their best to hide adverse signals. The question is why?

[Sons of Union Vets]

Re: What if it turns out that vaccines are killing and crippling millions of people around the world, but that those harmed are just well enough spread out that almost nobody saw sufficient signals to build an intuition about the problem? And what if the agency most responsible for examining safety signals defines their algorithm using a nonsensical mathematical formula that hides nearly all serious problems?

Right after the untested "vaccines" were given emergency use authorisation by the FDA,Moderna and Pfizer decided to breach protocol and notify the control group that they were not inoculated throughout the trial. Almost all the control group were then given the vaccine.

Moderna and Pfizer Lost the Clinical Trial Control Group Testing Efficacy and Safety By Joe Hoft

Published August 7, 2021

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2021/08/moderna-pfizer-intentionally-lost-clinical-trial-control-group-testing-efficacy-safety/

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This is Nuts, Moderna and Pfizer Intentionally Lost The Clinical Trial Control Group Testing Vaccine Efficacy and Safety

August 6, 2021

https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2021/08/06/this-is-nuts-moderna-and-pfizer-intentionally-lost-the-clinical-trial-control-group-testing-vaccine-efficacy-and-safety/

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Long-Term Studies Of COVID-19 Vaccines Hurt By Placebo Recipients Getting Immunized

February 19, 2021

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/02/19/969143015/long-term-studies-of-covid-19-vaccines-hurt-by-placebo-recipients-getting-immuni

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Moderna And Pfizer Lost The Clinical Trial Control Group Testing Vaccine Efficacy And Safety

....Just so we are clear, the final FDA authorization and approval for the vaccines are based on the outcome of these trials. (emphasis mine) As noted in the example above, the control group was intentionally lost under the auspices of “the right thing to do”, so there is no way for the efficacy, effectiveness or safety of the vaccine itself to be measured.

There’s no one left within the control group, of a statistically valid value, to give an adequate comparison of outcomes for vaxxed -vs- non-vaxxed.

Whiskey – Tango – Foxtrot !!! This is nuts.

That NPR article is one to bookmark when people start claiming the vaccination is effective.

How can the vaccine not be considered effective when there is no group of non-vaccinated people to compare the results to?

Good grief, the entire healthcare system is operating on a massive hive mindset where science, and the scientific method, is thrown out the window in favor of ideological outcomes and self-fulfilling prophecies. The fact that the researchers and doctors, apparently under the payroll of the pharmaceutical companies that have a vested financial interest in the vaccine outcome, lost the control group on purpose is alarming.

Of course, Big Pharma will promote the vaccine as beneficial, and the controlled media will promote that message with a complete disconnect from the clinical trial details, and the FDA will grant approval on results that were intentionally constructed to produce only one outcome.

Madness…. All of it.

https://teamtuckercarlson.com/news/moderna-and-pfizer-lost-the-clinical-trial-control-group-testing-vaccine-efficacy-and-safety/

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So much for "following the science." As for the math......

August 9, 2021

The Vaccine: Experimental Times Two

By Huck Davenport

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/08/the_vaccine_experimental_times_two.html

[jonno]

"good post. hadn’t looked at the cdc defintion before. can’t argue with it at all."

I'm not entirely clear on what 'it' is.

Does 'it' refer to the "good post" - or the "cdc defintion"?

[Truthoverpower]

https://phoreveryoung.wordpress.com/2015/05/14/the-worst-cover-up-in-the-history-of-the-world-vaccinations-are-monkey-business/

It’s been going on 100 plus years now. Long before CDC or FDA

[dadfly]

i’m referring to the author’s claims in his/her post.

the cdc definition, if the author has written it down correctly stands for itself, it’s in the blog.

[Captain7seas]

‘It’s even less reliable than a PCR test set for 40+ cycles.”

“40 cycles”. Exactly what a Florida LabCorp rep. told me Thursday that they run the PCR test at.

“... Dr. Anthony Fauci, Chief Medical Advisor to President Joe Biden, admitted in an interview on July 16, 2020 that high cycle threshold settings would create false positive results by default& stated anything over a 35 setting would be ‘dead nucleotides’ period, a dead and non-infectious material (see full petition below) demonstrating a full awareness of the severity and implications of this issue.”

https://www.unite4truth.com/post/emergency-petition-halt-covid-19-protocols-severe-testing-flaws-vaccines-safety-risks-exposed

[grey_whiskers]

Thank you tatown, will read it when I get done putting newly-cooked dinner away.

[M-cubed]

Yep it's pretty obvious that they've done their best to hide adverse signals. The question is why? <<<

the question really is..who the hell are “THEY” ??
confront “THEM” and you'll find out the reason “Why”...lol...common sense does not exist with them..it still amazes me as to "why"

[grey_whiskers]

I’m speechless.

This is a deliberate act of malfeasance.

Is it time for Nuremberg yet?

[Jane Long]

Between this, and the VAERS “attack”/pausing....it’s so obvious what they’re doing.

[Tellurian]

Some pretty vile stuff claimed in your link. This one example is diabolical:

July, 1989 after years of denial, a scientific paper demonstrates conclusively that WHO tetanus vaccines used in the Philippines contained female reproductive hormones, inducing permanent sterility without consent or knowledge of the women treated. Tetanus toxoid is linked to the human reproductive hormone to overcome immunological tolerance to the hormone and prod the body of the woman into producing antibodies to her own reproductive hormones.

[tatown]

It is stunning and it’s laid out for everyone to see. Nuremberg please.