Posted on 08/05/2021 5:56:57 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
Just prior to the start of the first televised debate in the Gavin Newsom recall election Wednesday evening, a shock poll showed the governor losing the first question ("Should Gavin Newsom be recalled?") by double digits.
The poll came from Survey USA and the San Diego Union Tribune, and was conducted among 1,100 Californians from Aug. 2 to Aug. 4. It found that 51% of respondents were in favor of recalling Newsom, while only 40% wanted to keep him in power. The previous Survey USA/San Diego Union Tribune poll from May found 36% in favor of the recall with 47% opposed.
Unlike a recent UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Time poll that was weighted by whether the respondent was likely to vote in the Sept. 14 recall election, the Survey USA carried no such weight, which is even more alarming for the governor. The Berkeley/Los Angeles Time poll found double-digit opposition to the recall, but a dead heat when weighted by likelihood to vote. Polls have consistently shown a large enthusiasm gap, strongly suggesting Republicans are more likely to turn out.
The new poll's other shocking finding is a new leader on question two ("Which candidate should replace Newsom if he loses question one"): YouTuber Kevin Paffrath, the most high-profile Democrat on the bottom of the ballot.
Paffrath received 27% support, with conservative radio host Larry Elder, who led three separate polls released in recent weeks, at 23% support.
(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...
Is it really a “shock poll?”
The shock would have been if he was behind by only single digits.
Maybe Californians are finally getting sick of two-bit phonies.
One can dream...
Yes it was a shock.
Only a few days ago, polls showed Newsome ahead on the recall, but within the margin error (i.e. close enough to steal). Now it shows him 10+ points down.
I guess the polls decided to stop covering for him.
He will lose and then he will win; Too many Republicans on the ballot.
Voters are stupid. I watch this guy explaining why he is so inept at fighting the fires and says it’s the fault of climate change, ugh.
Even if if they throw out Newsom, will it really matter? California might as well be part of Mexico now.
The RATS have completely destroyed the state.
It’s shocking that they are reporting it.
Although,if they are admitting to double digits ..it must be worse than that.
Newsom will cheat with impunity and win.
We put up with the tyranny we are willing to tolerate.
Oh dear.
“Is it really a “shock poll?””
If you’re writing from a Democrat viewpoint, yes.
Dude,like that makes total sense..
climate change..totally.
Like the science spot on.
In several polls in recent weeks, Paffrath was mired in single digits. Now all of a sudden he has zoomed to the lead?
So why have millions of Mexicans fled to (and still fleeing to) California?
That’s one of the best arguments for splitting up Cali into 3 separate states.
The leotards get central west Cali.
We would want southern and northern Cali in order to control the borders
Do you know how the recall works in California?
You can’t lose recall and win at the same time.
If it’s really happening Californians will not go for the flash. Larry Elder is more serious than Arnold was. Those 4 in last nights debate seem like just politicians. I don’t think any stood out other than the pretty-boy questioner who asked stupid questions but not too stupid for the average voter-sad.
Its not the voters that count, its the vote harvesters ...
With forced mail in ballots? Fascinating…
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