Your post #22 are my thoughts exactly.
Plus, no doubt the Chi-Coms have plenty of friendly Taiwanese to support them.
But it's not yet a "done deal".
And remember, Taiwanese refugees are unlikely to vote for the party of Kamala Biden.
Taiwan is divided up in population roughly in thirds
1/3 are native Taiwanese who want their own independence.
1/3 are culturally and historically Chinese. These are the arrogant bass turds who claim to be the rightful ‘rulers’ of China and Formosa. They have blocked moves to independence.
1/3 are apathetic soyboys who don’t care who’s in charge as long as they can get cable TV and good noodles.