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Congressional Republicans Left Office In Droves Under Trump. Just How Conservative Are Their Replacements?
fivethirtyeight.com ^ | 4/27/21 | Nathaniel Rakich

Posted on 04/27/2021 5:10:04 AM PDT by cotton1706

The current 117th Congress is only four months old, but already five Republican senators and six Republican representatives have announced they will not stay in their current jobs.1 Add in a slew of Republican retirements in the 2018 and 2020 election cycles, and a narrative has formed that longtime GOP stalwarts are heading to the exits because they are unhappy with the fanatical turn the party took under former President Donald Trump. “We live in an increasingly polarized country where members of both parties are being pushed further to the right and further to the left, and that means too few people who are actively looking to find common ground,” Sen. Rob Portman said in January when announcing his retirement. “This is a tough time to be in public service.”

There has been a remarkable amount of turnover among congressional Republicans in the Trump (and post-Trump) era. Of the 293 Republicans who were serving in the Senate or House on Jan. 20, 2017 — the day of Trump’s inauguration — a full 132 (45 percent) are no longer in Congress or have announced their retirement or resignation.

snip

The Republican exodus since Trump took office has gotten plenty of attention — but the coverage too often focuses on incomplete takeaways like what Republican retirements mean for Democrats’ chances. But given that the vast majority of states and congressional districts are safe for one party or the other, turnover has far more impact on the ideology and direction of the party itself. That story is a complicated one for the GOP, with some moderates giving way to conservatives and some conservatives giving way to moderates. But overall, it does seem as if the conservative, pro-Trump side is winning out.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections
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"Of the 293 Republicans who were serving in the Senate or House on Jan. 20, 2017 — the day of Trump’s inauguration — a full 132 (45 percent) are no longer in Congress or have announced their retirement or resignation."

Man, that's progress!!

The next Republican majority will not be a Hastert/Boehner/Ryan type majority.

Interesting article.

1 posted on 04/27/2021 5:10:04 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Or they are going with, gasp, TERM LIMITS!


2 posted on 04/27/2021 5:12:48 AM PDT by Pikachu_Dad ("the media are selling you a line of soap)
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To: cotton1706

Finally-term limits! lol


3 posted on 04/27/2021 5:13:16 AM PDT by ohiogrammy (12)
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To: cotton1706

The writer says this like it’s a bad thing, and it’s somehow all Trump’s fault.

He is clueless.

Does he not realize that the left became radicalized when Obama became president?

Does he not realize that Trump did not form the new Republican Party but was more a product of the new Republican Party?

When at war, we must fight, and that means we needs soldiers more than inn-keepers.


4 posted on 04/27/2021 5:15:37 AM PDT by beancounter13 (A Republic, if you can keep it.)
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To: cotton1706

Ten Reps in the House voted for impeachment and seven in the Senate. They all need to go one way or the other.


5 posted on 04/27/2021 5:18:41 AM PDT by kabar
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To: beancounter13

Trump resurrected a party on its death bed. He expanded the party and made it into the party of the American worker. Trump was far more than “a product of the new Rep party.” He led and shaped it.


6 posted on 04/27/2021 5:22:44 AM PDT by kabar
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To: cotton1706

So, the way I see it, we had 132 RINOs or closeted Dems that realized their goose was cooked and bailed out. Sounds like mission accomplished to me.


7 posted on 04/27/2021 5:29:59 AM PDT by Third Wheel
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To: cotton1706

Well Republicans made major gains in the House, despite the retirements, and the new congress people are mostly more conservative.


8 posted on 04/27/2021 5:34:11 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: beancounter13

Trump could die between now and the next election and it would not stop the changes within the republican party. Trump who is not a hardcore conservative ideologue saved the party from becoming irrelevant through the acceptance of libral orthodoxly by its DC congressional presence on the national scene.

The party is now more connected to its base then its ever been. Most of those who are retiring at some point stopped representing the people who elected them or never identified internally as republican and ran as republican becouse that’s how you got political power in the districts they lived in not becouse they saw themselves as conservatives.


9 posted on 04/27/2021 5:37:16 AM PDT by PCPOET7 (`)
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To: cotton1706

Please don’t insult Trump by calling him a Conservative. Liz Cheney is a Conservative, Bill Kristol is a Conservative. Jeff Sessions, Paul Ryan, John Boehner, Denny Hastert.
Trump is a Constitutional Populist. The will of the people, limited only by the Constitution, rules


10 posted on 04/27/2021 5:37:59 AM PDT by steve8714 (Evidently the Oxford comma is racist, sexist, or homophobic. You decide which.)
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To: Third Wheel

Yes


11 posted on 04/27/2021 5:39:47 AM PDT by KeyLargo
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To: cotton1706

Bush League Republicans quitting is good thing.


12 posted on 04/27/2021 5:53:52 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizens Are Born Here of Citizen Parents)(Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: cotton1706

too few people who are actively looking to find common ground,

What common ground does a republic have with communism?
What common ground do wolves and sheep have?

The days of when all our elected officials wanted what is best for our country, but had different ideas how to get there are over. It died when communists were first elected 100 years ago.


13 posted on 04/27/2021 5:54:48 AM PDT by Paperpusher
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To: kabar

I disagree with your assessment. The Tea Party came before Trump.

I think Trump, being the astute businessman, could see a movement that was building. He only needed to find a way to get on board the train. Thus, his push on Obama’s Birth Certificate which was a sure way to gets lots of attention among the core republicans who formed the Tea Party.

Yes, he now holds the Republican Party because so many people respect him. He actually fought for us rather than join the swamp creatures.


14 posted on 04/27/2021 6:05:12 AM PDT by beancounter13 (A Republic, if you can keep it.)
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To: Pikachu_Dad
Or they are going with, gasp, TERM LIMITS!

IMHO, Michigan's term limits have worked , but not that well.

The second stage is limits on the entrenched bureaucracy.
15 posted on 04/27/2021 6:20:01 AM PDT by farming pharmer (fork you :(){ :|:& };:)
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To: beancounter13

What do we do with Mace? I sent her $10 and she backstabs Trump.


16 posted on 04/27/2021 6:22:58 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (`)
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To: cotton1706

“the conservative, pro-Trump side is winning out”


17 posted on 04/27/2021 7:02:33 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (Trans Undocumented. Anti Woke Supremacist. Covid Abortionist.)
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To: Uncle Miltie

“the conservative, pro-Trump side is winning out”

(the author says with gritted teeth!)


18 posted on 04/27/2021 7:08:46 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: beancounter13

I was heavily involved in the VA tea party. It was a grassroots movement, but its focus was on taxes and financial matters along with a return to the Constitution and First Principles. I attended the famous 2009 Sep 12 demonstration at the Capitol along with many other demonstrations, including when the Black Caucus marched through. I headed the VA state tea party immigration task force, a subject the national tea party did not want to touch.

The Trump movement focused on economic nationalism and America first. Immigration was a key area along with trade policies and the American worker, who had been sold out by the globalist elites.

The Trump movement is different than the Tea Party, but both are real grassroots movements. The Tea Party demonstrated that citizen involvement can make a difference. The Tea Party still exists separate from the Trump movement.


19 posted on 04/27/2021 7:55:48 AM PDT by kabar
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To: cotton1706

Wait til you see the results of the next election. The next one is the first election since the RINO betrayal last November....when RINOs stepped out of the shadows to stick a knife in our backs. They had their say. The next election we will finally get our say.

Let’s see what this looks like then.


20 posted on 04/27/2021 8:55:17 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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