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China has a very big problem: Ironically, the big problem is that China is inexorably becoming a smaller country
American Thinker ^ | 02/05/2021 | Andrea Widburg

Posted on 02/05/2021 8:23:33 AM PST by SeekAndFind

In 1979, China introduced its "one-child policy," the most drastic population control measure in world history.  Although it was eventually modified to allow rural parents, and then all parents, to have two children, the policy was carried out with single-minded ferocity, including forced sterilization and abortion.  Ironically, China is now facing a stunning population deficit from which there may be no turning back.

It's probable that American leftists kind of like China's stringent birth control policies.  After all, Democrats view humans as a blight upon the planet.  There's a whole movement out there that is ensnaring teenagers who promise not to have children until climate change is alleviated.  This is probably a good thing.  Can you image Greta Thunberg as a mother?

Her children would be irreparably damaged.

But I digress.  The point is that the Chinese Communist Party, which has the power that the American Democrat party dreams of, imposed zero population growth on its people.  These things, however, have a habit of getting out of hand.  One of the problems was that the Chinese engaged heavily in sex-selective abortion.  Normally, 106 boys are born for every 100 girls.  In China, however, there are 130 boys per 100 girls in rural regions with an overall average of about 119 boys per 100 girls.

This imbalance does not portend well for the future, and in China, the future might be now.  The Chinese currently have the lowest replacement rate in the world.  For a population to remain stable, the replacement rate needs to be 2.1 children per woman.  For it to grow, obviously, there need to be more than 2.1 children per woman.  (America's rate is only 1.8 live births per woman.  Israel, by contrast, has 3.0 live births per woman.)


(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; demographics
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1 posted on 02/05/2021 8:23:33 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
According to an article in the Epoch Times, China has had a catastrophic collapse in its birth rate:

The National Bureau of Statistics of the Communist Party of China stated at a press conference on Jan. 18 that it would be postponing the release of China's birth data for 2020. But according to data released by some local governments, the mainland's population appears to be declining, and at an alarming rate in some areas where the births have dropped by more than 20 percent.

[snip]

According to Liang [Jianzhang, the founder of China's leading travel website Ctrip.com and professor at Peking University's Guanghua School of Management], Guangzhou city's population saw approximately 195,500 births last year, a decrease of 9 percent from 2019; Wenzhou city saw approximately 73,230 births, a year-on-year decrease of 19.01 percent; Hefei city saw a decrease of 23 percent compared with 2019; and the birth population in Taizhou city decreased by 32.6 percent. No jurisdictions have yet to report an increase in the birth rate.

To put this into context, for the first three quarters of 2020, the birth rate in the United States declined approximately 5 percent, according to preliminary data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control. A Brookings Institute report found that during the Spanish Flu epidemic, birth rates in the United States fell by 12.5 percent.

In other words, even as China is expanding its territorial ambitions to have outposts throughout the occupied continents, it may be losing the one thing it really needs to make that happen: manpower (and womanpower).  More than that, it's going to have the same problem that truly bedevils Japan and that's becoming an issue (and raising medical costs) throughout the West: an aging population without enough young people to care for it.


And before we look at China, we might want to ask ourselves here in the United States if we face the same Demographic problems that China has.
2 posted on 02/05/2021 8:25:43 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

China is also sitting on 7 Trillion dollars in toxic corporate debt - 10 times the size of the Subprime bubble.


3 posted on 02/05/2021 8:25:47 AM PST by MattMusson (Sometimes the wind blows too much)
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To: SeekAndFind

I read the article and have only one problem. Every movie you see that takes place anywhere in Asia is crowded with people. China won’t change. They better start that war while all the excess men are young.


4 posted on 02/05/2021 8:26:49 AM PST by DIRTYSECRET (1)
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To: SeekAndFind

It is irreversible. Chinese don’t want more than one kid now, no matter what.


5 posted on 02/05/2021 8:27:28 AM PST by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults. )
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To: SeekAndFind

Russia is in the same boat.


6 posted on 02/05/2021 8:28:02 AM PST by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults. )
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To: SeekAndFind

With 2 kids, I’ve beat America’s rate, but I’m not quite sustainable.

I guess my green card is cancelled.


7 posted on 02/05/2021 8:28:30 AM PST by DannyTN
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To: SeekAndFind

They got old before they got rich.


8 posted on 02/05/2021 8:28:42 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: SeekAndFind

They should import communists from the US. We have plenty to spare.


9 posted on 02/05/2021 8:28:44 AM PST by Fresh Wind (Joe Biden: The best president Chinese money can buy.)
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To: SeekAndFind

“ There’s a whole movement out there that is ensnaring teenagers who promise not to have children until climate change is alleviated. ”

Please, God, let this be true.


10 posted on 02/05/2021 8:28:54 AM PST by Dr. Pritchett
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To: SeekAndFind

Actually, until the Covid Disaster, the USA was pretty Demographically sound. But, 30 years after the One Child Policy - China is running out of 30 year olds.

I guess the Chinese are not as good at Math as we have led to believe.


11 posted on 02/05/2021 8:29:13 AM PST by MattMusson (Sometimes the wind blows too much)
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To: SeekAndFind

China’s Demographic Time Bomb

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3930611/posts


12 posted on 02/05/2021 8:29:25 AM PST by Pining_4_TX (‘You can drive out Nature with a pitchfork, but she keeps on coming back.’ – Horace)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

Good catch. That is a major problem for China.


13 posted on 02/05/2021 8:30:21 AM PST by Pining_4_TX (‘You can drive out Nature with a pitchfork, but she keeps on coming back.’ – Horace)
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To: Jonty30

Almost the entire world is in the same boat, even the Muslim world. Israel is still having babies, as is sub-Saharan Africa. That’s about it.


14 posted on 02/05/2021 8:31:11 AM PST by Pining_4_TX (‘You can drive out Nature with a pitchfork, but she keeps on coming back.’ – Horace)
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To: SeekAndFind

The CCP has demonstrated that they are willing kill tens of millions without hesitation in order maintain power. The COVID virus seems tailor-made to cure their demographic problem.


15 posted on 02/05/2021 8:32:21 AM PST by PapaBear3625 ("Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." -- Voltaire)
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To: Pining_4_TX

All for the same reason, we’ve made it too expensive to have children.


16 posted on 02/05/2021 8:40:00 AM PST by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults. )
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To: PapaBear3625

Covid and the control of the power grid and a computer controlling the social and monetary system. Who needs Manpower???


17 posted on 02/05/2021 8:41:29 AM PST by taterjay
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To: taterjay

And some agreeable Communist acolytes scattered across the world.


18 posted on 02/05/2021 8:42:17 AM PST by taterjay
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To: PapaBear3625
Communist Party Tightens Control on Chinese Social Media, License Now Required to Comment on Current Affairs

February 5, 2021 3:54, Last Updated: February 5, 2021 4:16 By Alex Wu
China’s ruling communist party has further tightened its control over speech, information, and thought among the Chinese people, announcing limits on what is allowed on Chinese social media.

19 posted on 02/05/2021 8:42:30 AM PST by newfreep (“Leftism, under all of its brand names, is a severe, violent & evil mental disorder.”)
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To: SeekAndFind
I've been talking about this for years, China shot themselves in the foot with the one child policy.
If they want to be a dominant power they'll have to make a move now, because they're going to fail as a society within a generation. It doesn't matter how many jets and ships you build from stolen tech if you have no people to man them.
20 posted on 02/05/2021 8:47:15 AM PST by chud
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