Posted on 01/30/2021 5:23:29 PM PST by Peter ODonnell
You probably heard that a snowstorm is approaching the major cities of the northeastern U.S. and the mid-Atlantic states.
Some forecasting models have outcomes as high as 24-36 inches of snow for some areas. Most at risk appears to be eastern PA, NJ, and MD. NYC and LI could also get hit with 18-24 inch amounts.
So far it looks a bit less extreme for most of New England, with forecast models saying 6-12 inches for most areas. That is also the case for western PA, central NY state, and some parts of the Midwest where the storm has already started.
Low pressure moving through Missouri at present time will track into Kentucky by Sunday. At that time, a coastal low will form off North Carolina, capture most of the energy of the inland storm, and produce heavy snowfall near the I-95 corridor. Strong east winds will develop near the coast, and inland the snow may blow around at times with near-blizzard conditions.
If you've heard a forecast for 6-12 inches, that may in fact verify but be aware that there are significant chances of a much heavier total snowfall especially around Baltimore to Philadelphia to NYC.
This thread can now be used for actual storm observations as we go forward. The east coast snowfall will begin Sunday afternoon. It will start soon in Ohio and w PA.
Temperatures with the snowfall are around 28-30 F, and a mixing zone is likely in parts of Delaware, southeast MD and southeast VA (sleet, ice etc). Heavy rain is the most likely outcome for Norfolk VA and that region. But the storm could transition to wet snow near the final portions on Tuesday.
Would advise some to stock up today before it gets messy as this may be a long-duration storm with a slow recovery period Tues-Wed. Could be Thursday before you'd want to go out again once the storm begins.
My plan is to issue them beach balls for exhalation and turn them in at the nearest collection center at the end of the day. That of course will create great logistical problems but it’s for the good of the planet.
You don’t have to shovel rain.
In these parts (rural northern CT) the local snow plows are amazing.
The roads are usually in excellent shape just a few hours after any storm.
(The secret—we don’t have very many roads to plow!)
Yeh...It’s definitely warming....which is why i’m friggin’ feezing here in upstate. At least my area hasn’t been clobbered with snow...yet.
Pete,
I’m watching an Alaska movie, “The Edge” ... to gain some insight.
Keeping the firewood above the snow is a challenge
Just watched Joe Bastardi on Weatherbells Saturday Summary. He says, yeah, we’re going to get clobbered.
I don’t care what you call it. It’s a hell of a lot to shovel.
Y’all be careful out there!
The storm just before Christmas that was supposed to give us6-8 “ dumped 42” on us.
The one before that was a complete wash. Didn’t get more than an inch.
So who knows what this one will bring. It doesn’t matter as we are all prepped anyways.
I guess the only thing we may need to do is fill the wood rack inside as it’s beginning to run a little low.
We’re in NH
Can do, will do.
It has been a while since I had to dig tunnels through the snow to get to the firewood....around here that means we have to have over four feet of accumulated snow—very rare.
There should be a law that if DC shuts down, no new Executive Orders allowed.
The worst storm I ever had to commute in (though not the worst storm here ever) was on an afternoon when the local news predicted ‘flurries’ for the DC area.
I had the foresight to leave work early, in case “they” were wrong. (My husband was out of town, I had no car, and was using Public Transportation.)
I got to the bus stop, and no bus came. I waited well over an hour in cold and snow (more than flurries) and had to finally take an alternate bus that took me out of my way to a Metro station - where I had to wait over an hour again for another bus.
Normally, the trip would have been direct, and taken about 20 minutes. This time, it took me several hours to get home, and when the bus finally stopped outside my home, the snow was up to my ankles, and coming down hard.
I had been sick with a ‘flu and gotten over it. A day or two after this, I relapsed with the worst illness I’ve ever had. Some local school-bus kids didn’t get home that night until about 10PM.
Take meteorologists with a grain of salt. They are generally good at what they do - but they can be very wrong. Nature is far more complicated than all of our extravagant instruments can measure or predict.
How well I know, METmom
No offence intended - just a warning to complacent people :-)
No offense at all.
Nor’easters are notoriously difficult to forecast. There are just way too many variables, the biggest of which is the storm track. Slight variations in storm track can make huge differences in how much moisture is pulled in.
I hope mother nature gives all those biden voters every bit of foul weather she can inflict.
All ready had 22 inches here in Western Nevada. 8 feet in the mountains. Enjoy the storm.
Bookmark
yes I despise this lol
I live in an area where it is always on the line of A LOT or NOTHING.
Usually winds up shifting more north and I get nada.
I think it all depends on where the low pressure front develops over the next 12-18 hours.
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